{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}/Users/amirajadoon/Dropbox/3.Clemson/7. General Research/Bryan Early/P3 OSV and sanctions/4. FPA 2023/Round 3 Final/Replication Files/3.EWV_log.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res} 9 Jan 2024, 15:17:53

{com}. do "/var/folders/8l/ld6mg8510f5bl1x7fp3d3qgw0000gn/T//SD85839.000000"
{txt}
{com}.         
. ********Table 1. Analyzing Impartial Arms Embargoes and MCW Flows 
. * Model 1
. zinb One_sidedviolence embargofull_yes_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if civilwar_yes ==1, inflate(polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2504.7043}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1550.9435}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1470.0027}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1459.325}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1455.9571}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1455.9227}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1455.9225}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1455.9225}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1455.9225}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1432.2614}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1420.8375}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1408.8517}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:  -1407.59}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1399.3501}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1398.9114}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1398.9083}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1398.9083}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       895
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       154
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       741

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}9{txt})      = {res}     61.53
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1398.908                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}  One_sidedviolence{col 21}{c |}      Coef.{col 33}   Std. Err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% Con{col 74}f. Interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence   {txt}{c |}
embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.674922{col 33}{space 2} .5283516{col 44}{space 1}    3.17{col 53}{space 3}0.002{col 61}{space 4} .6393718{col 74}{space 3} 2.710472
{txt}{space 12}polity2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.158877{col 33}{space 2} .0621268{col 44}{space 1}   -2.56{col 53}{space 3}0.011{col 61}{space 4}-.2806433{col 74}{space 3}-.0371107
{txt}{space 3}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .9916537{col 33}{space 2}  .372932{col 44}{space 1}    2.66{col 53}{space 3}0.008{col 61}{space 4} .2607205{col 74}{space 3} 1.722587
{txt}{space 12}ethfrac {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-3.536647{col 33}{space 2} 1.033623{col 44}{space 1}   -3.42{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4} -5.56251{col 74}{space 3}-1.510784
{txt}{space 10}lrexclpop {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1299825{col 33}{space 2} .1836982{col 44}{space 1}   -0.71{col 53}{space 3}0.479{col 61}{space 4}-.4900244{col 74}{space 3} .2300593
{txt}{space 12}regchg3 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1553099{col 33}{space 2} .3750715{col 44}{space 1}    0.41{col 53}{space 3}0.679{col 61}{space 4}-.5798167{col 74}{space 3} .8904366
{txt}{space 9}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0013158{col 33}{space 2} .0003369{col 44}{space 1}    3.91{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0006555{col 74}{space 3}  .001976
{txt}{space 9}poplog_lag {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0614521{col 33}{space 2} .1270582{col 44}{space 1}   -0.48{col 53}{space 3}0.629{col 61}{space 4}-.3104817{col 74}{space 3} .1875775
{txt}{space 1}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0037711{col 33}{space 2} .0071722{col 44}{space 1}   -0.53{col 53}{space 3}0.599{col 61}{space 4}-.0178284{col 74}{space 3} .0102861
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 6.507394{col 33}{space 2} 1.373979{col 44}{space 1}    4.74{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 3.814445{col 74}{space 3} 9.200343
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate             {txt}{c |}
{space 12}polity2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0625875{col 33}{space 2} .0200511{col 44}{space 1}    3.12{col 53}{space 3}0.002{col 61}{space 4} .0232882{col 74}{space 3} .1018869
{txt}{space 3}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.170074{col 33}{space 2} .2700614{col 44}{space 1}   -8.04{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-2.699385{col 74}{space 3}-1.640764
{txt}{space 12}ethfrac {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.857039{col 33}{space 2} .5019254{col 44}{space 1}   -3.70{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-2.840794{col 74}{space 3}-.8732829
{txt}{space 10}lrexclpop {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.315038{col 33}{space 2} .1068909{col 44}{space 1}   -2.95{col 53}{space 3}0.003{col 61}{space 4}-.5245403{col 74}{space 3}-.1055357
{txt}{space 12}regchg3 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4651215{col 33}{space 2} .3065617{col 44}{space 1}   -1.52{col 53}{space 3}0.129{col 61}{space 4}-1.065971{col 74}{space 3} .1357284
{txt}{space 9}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.000152{col 33}{space 2} .0001494{col 44}{space 1}   -1.02{col 53}{space 3}0.309{col 61}{space 4}-.0004449{col 74}{space 3} .0001409
{txt}{space 9}poplog_lag {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.037929{col 33}{space 2} .0889183{col 44}{space 1}   -0.43{col 53}{space 3}0.670{col 61}{space 4}-.2122057{col 74}{space 3} .1363477
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 5.234414{col 33}{space 2} .9793128{col 44}{space 1}    5.34{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 3.314996{col 74}{space 3} 7.153831
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 11}/lnalpha {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.232335{col 33}{space 2} .2330926{col 44}{space 1}    5.29{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}  .775482{col 74}{space 3} 1.689188
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
              alpha {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 3.429228{col 33}{space 2} .7993279{col 61}{space 4} 2.171639{col 74}{space 3} 5.415084
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * Model 2
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.embargofull_yes_lag sa_yes_lag MCW_import_state_zeros_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if civilwar_yes ==1, inflate( polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2464.0674}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1516.7471}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1435.5757}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1426.1661}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1422.6532}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1421.6764}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1415.464}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1397.089}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1385.9724}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1380.5556}  (backed up)
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1368.0034}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1363.5344}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1363.4151}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1363.4147}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1363.4147}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       881
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       151
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       730

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}11{txt})     = {res}     68.38
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1363.415                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 27}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 28}{c |}{col 40}    Robust
{col 1}         One_sidedviolence{col 28}{c |}      Coef.{col 40}   Std. Err.{col 52}      z{col 60}   P>|z|{col 68}     [95% Con{col 81}f. Interval]
{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence          {txt}{c |}
{space 5}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 1.919763{col 40}{space 2}  .527452{col 51}{space 1}    3.64{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} .8859764{col 81}{space 3}  2.95355
{txt}{space 16}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .5164015{col 40}{space 2} .5259227{col 51}{space 1}    0.98{col 60}{space 3}0.326{col 68}{space 4}-.5143879{col 81}{space 3} 1.547191
{txt}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0004557{col 40}{space 2} .0004728{col 51}{space 1}   -0.96{col 60}{space 3}0.335{col 68}{space 4}-.0013824{col 81}{space 3}  .000471
{txt}{space 19}polity2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.1626885{col 40}{space 2} .0635781{col 51}{space 1}   -2.56{col 60}{space 3}0.011{col 68}{space 4}-.2872994{col 81}{space 3}-.0380777
{txt}{space 10}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .7938651{col 40}{space 2}  .350309{col 51}{space 1}    2.27{col 60}{space 3}0.023{col 68}{space 4} .1072721{col 81}{space 3} 1.480458
{txt}{space 19}ethfrac {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-3.809847{col 40}{space 2} 1.102407{col 51}{space 1}   -3.46{col 60}{space 3}0.001{col 68}{space 4}-5.970524{col 81}{space 3} -1.64917
{txt}{space 17}lrexclpop {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.2905088{col 40}{space 2} .2266691{col 51}{space 1}   -1.28{col 60}{space 3}0.200{col 68}{space 4}-.7347721{col 81}{space 3} .1537546
{txt}{space 19}regchg3 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .1188352{col 40}{space 2}  .378334{col 51}{space 1}    0.31{col 60}{space 3}0.753{col 68}{space 4}-.6226859{col 81}{space 3} .8603562
{txt}{space 16}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0011164{col 40}{space 2} .0003209{col 51}{space 1}    3.48{col 60}{space 3}0.001{col 68}{space 4} .0004874{col 81}{space 3} .0017455
{txt}{space 16}poplog_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0155035{col 40}{space 2} .1872262{col 51}{space 1}   -0.08{col 60}{space 3}0.934{col 68}{space 4}-.3824602{col 81}{space 3} .3514532
{txt}{space 8}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0035765{col 40}{space 2} .0072557{col 51}{space 1}   -0.49{col 60}{space 3}0.622{col 68}{space 4}-.0177974{col 81}{space 3} .0106444
{txt}{space 21}_cons {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 6.674111{col 40}{space 2} 1.624106{col 51}{space 1}    4.11{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} 3.490922{col 81}{space 3} 9.857301
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                    {txt}{c |}
{space 19}polity2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}  .055941{col 40}{space 2} .0199295{col 51}{space 1}    2.81{col 60}{space 3}0.005{col 68}{space 4} .0168799{col 81}{space 3} .0950021
{txt}{space 10}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-2.361784{col 40}{space 2} .2856372{col 51}{space 1}   -8.27{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}-2.921623{col 81}{space 3}-1.801946
{txt}{space 19}ethfrac {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-2.197264{col 40}{space 2} .5266203{col 51}{space 1}   -4.17{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}-3.229421{col 81}{space 3}-1.165107
{txt}{space 17}lrexclpop {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.4055449{col 40}{space 2} .1116833{col 51}{space 1}   -3.63{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}-.6244401{col 81}{space 3}-.1866497
{txt}{space 19}regchg3 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.3066124{col 40}{space 2} .3134181{col 51}{space 1}   -0.98{col 60}{space 3}0.328{col 68}{space 4}-.9209005{col 81}{space 3} .3076758
{txt}{space 16}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0002075{col 40}{space 2} .0001569{col 51}{space 1}   -1.32{col 60}{space 3}0.186{col 68}{space 4} -.000515{col 81}{space 3}    .0001
{txt}{space 16}poplog_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0315956{col 40}{space 2} .0947948{col 51}{space 1}   -0.33{col 60}{space 3}0.739{col 68}{space 4}  -.21739{col 81}{space 3} .1541987
{txt}{space 21}_cons {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 5.859804{col 40}{space 2} 1.026209{col 51}{space 1}    5.71{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} 3.848472{col 81}{space 3} 7.871137
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 18}/lnalpha {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 1.193463{col 40}{space 2}  .244562{col 51}{space 1}    4.88{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} .7141306{col 81}{space 3} 1.672796
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                     alpha {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 3.298485{col 40}{space 2} .8066841{col 68}{space 4}  2.04241{col 81}{space 3} 5.327041
{txt}{hline 27}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * Model 3
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.embargofull_yes_lag##c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag sa_yes_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if civilwar_yes ==1, inflate(polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2464.0674}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1516.7471}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1435.5757}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1426.1661}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1422.6532}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1421.6764}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1418.6969}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1394.6825}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1380.4047}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:  -1369.49}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1363.737}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1361.4905}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1361.4866}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1361.4866}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       881
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       151
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       730

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}12{txt})     = {res}     72.54
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1361.487                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 30}{c |}{col 42}    Robust
{col 1}           One_sidedviolence{col 30}{c |}      Coef.{col 42}   Std. Err.{col 54}      z{col 62}   P>|z|{col 70}     [95% Con{col 83}f. Interval]
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence            {txt}{c |}
{space 7}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 2.108268{col 42}{space 2} .5440292{col 53}{space 1}    3.88{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}  1.04199{col 83}{space 3} 3.174546
{txt}{space 2}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -.000159{col 42}{space 2} .0004516{col 53}{space 1}   -0.35{col 62}{space 3}0.725{col 70}{space 4}-.0010442{col 83}{space 3} .0007262
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 9}embargofull_yes_lag#{c |}
c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}
{space 26}1  {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}  -.00272{col 42}{space 2} .0008563{col 53}{space 1}   -3.18{col 62}{space 3}0.001{col 70}{space 4}-.0043982{col 83}{space 3}-.0010417
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 18}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .6592089{col 42}{space 2} .5239569{col 53}{space 1}    1.26{col 62}{space 3}0.208{col 70}{space 4}-.3677277{col 83}{space 3} 1.686145
{txt}{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.1711116{col 42}{space 2}   .06638{col 53}{space 1}   -2.58{col 62}{space 3}0.010{col 70}{space 4} -.301214{col 83}{space 3}-.0410093
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .7844028{col 42}{space 2} .3481967{col 53}{space 1}    2.25{col 62}{space 3}0.024{col 70}{space 4} .1019498{col 83}{space 3} 1.466856
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-3.774825{col 42}{space 2} 1.123502{col 53}{space 1}   -3.36{col 62}{space 3}0.001{col 70}{space 4}-5.976848{col 83}{space 3}-1.572802
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.2508239{col 42}{space 2} .2202602{col 53}{space 1}   -1.14{col 62}{space 3}0.255{col 70}{space 4} -.682526{col 83}{space 3} .1808782
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0757795{col 42}{space 2} .3760074{col 53}{space 1}    0.20{col 62}{space 3}0.840{col 70}{space 4}-.6611815{col 83}{space 3} .8127404
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0011211{col 42}{space 2} .0003137{col 53}{space 1}    3.57{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .0005063{col 83}{space 3} .0017359
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0501171{col 42}{space 2} .1870372{col 53}{space 1}   -0.27{col 62}{space 3}0.789{col 70}{space 4}-.4167033{col 83}{space 3} .3164691
{txt}{space 10}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0040923{col 42}{space 2} .0070755{col 53}{space 1}   -0.58{col 62}{space 3}0.563{col 70}{space 4}  -.01796{col 83}{space 3} .0097755
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 6.705544{col 42}{space 2} 1.625623{col 53}{space 1}    4.12{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 3.519381{col 83}{space 3} 9.891707
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                      {txt}{c |}
{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0540554{col 42}{space 2} .0206757{col 53}{space 1}    2.61{col 62}{space 3}0.009{col 70}{space 4} .0135318{col 83}{space 3} .0945791
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -2.36995{col 42}{space 2} .2884002{col 53}{space 1}   -8.22{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-2.935204{col 83}{space 3}-1.804697
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-2.159591{col 42}{space 2} .5308278{col 53}{space 1}   -4.07{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-3.199995{col 83}{space 3}-1.119188
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.4097607{col 42}{space 2} .1128035{col 53}{space 1}   -3.63{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-.6308514{col 83}{space 3}  -.18867
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.3045049{col 42}{space 2} .3145682{col 53}{space 1}   -0.97{col 62}{space 3}0.333{col 70}{space 4}-.9210472{col 83}{space 3} .3120375
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -.000204{col 42}{space 2} .0001564{col 53}{space 1}   -1.30{col 62}{space 3}0.192{col 70}{space 4}-.0005105{col 83}{space 3} .0001025
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0393833{col 42}{space 2} .0941435{col 53}{space 1}   -0.42{col 62}{space 3}0.676{col 70}{space 4}-.2239012{col 83}{space 3} .1451345
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 5.914808{col 42}{space 2}  1.02525{col 53}{space 1}    5.77{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 3.905355{col 83}{space 3} 7.924261
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}/lnalpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.197385{col 42}{space 2} .2557537{col 53}{space 1}    4.68{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .6961164{col 83}{space 3} 1.698653
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                       alpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 3.311445{col 42}{space 2} .8469143{col 70}{space 4} 2.005947{col 83}{space 3} 5.466577
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * Model 4
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.embargofull_yes_lag sa_yes_lag MCW_import_state_zeros_lag polity2 ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if IntrastateBinary ==1, inflate( polity2 ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1586.598}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1222.4459}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1191.4921}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1184.6951}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1183.9326}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1183.9064}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1183.9064}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1183.9064}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1178.5414}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1161.6924}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1147.3039}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1139.455}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1136.1121}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1136.0842}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1136.0841}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       389
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       128
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       261

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}10{txt})     = {res}     67.85
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1136.084                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 27}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 28}{c |}{col 40}    Robust
{col 1}         One_sidedviolence{col 28}{c |}      Coef.{col 40}   Std. Err.{col 52}      z{col 60}   P>|z|{col 68}     [95% Con{col 81}f. Interval]
{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence          {txt}{c |}
{space 5}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 1.883518{col 40}{space 2} .6715746{col 51}{space 1}    2.80{col 60}{space 3}0.005{col 68}{space 4} .5672561{col 81}{space 3}  3.19978
{txt}{space 16}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .5112101{col 40}{space 2} .5332014{col 51}{space 1}    0.96{col 60}{space 3}0.338{col 68}{space 4}-.5338454{col 81}{space 3} 1.556266
{txt}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0005021{col 40}{space 2} .0004951{col 51}{space 1}   -1.01{col 60}{space 3}0.310{col 68}{space 4}-.0014724{col 81}{space 3} .0004682
{txt}{space 19}polity2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.1944691{col 40}{space 2} .0641217{col 51}{space 1}   -3.03{col 60}{space 3}0.002{col 68}{space 4}-.3201453{col 81}{space 3}-.0687929
{txt}{space 19}ethfrac {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-3.446701{col 40}{space 2} 1.121867{col 51}{space 1}   -3.07{col 60}{space 3}0.002{col 68}{space 4}-5.645521{col 81}{space 3}-1.247882
{txt}{space 17}lrexclpop {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.3859163{col 40}{space 2} .2620452{col 51}{space 1}   -1.47{col 60}{space 3}0.141{col 68}{space 4}-.8995154{col 81}{space 3} .1276827
{txt}{space 19}regchg3 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.1388264{col 40}{space 2}  .472556{col 51}{space 1}   -0.29{col 60}{space 3}0.769{col 68}{space 4}-1.065019{col 81}{space 3} .7873665
{txt}{space 16}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0011144{col 40}{space 2} .0004052{col 51}{space 1}    2.75{col 60}{space 3}0.006{col 68}{space 4} .0003202{col 81}{space 3} .0019086
{txt}{space 16}poplog_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0063048{col 40}{space 2} .1947791{col 51}{space 1}    0.03{col 60}{space 3}0.974{col 68}{space 4}-.3754552{col 81}{space 3} .3880647
{txt}{space 8}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0038243{col 40}{space 2} .0079751{col 51}{space 1}   -0.48{col 60}{space 3}0.632{col 68}{space 4}-.0194551{col 81}{space 3} .0118065
{txt}{space 21}_cons {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 7.356001{col 40}{space 2} 1.777468{col 51}{space 1}    4.14{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} 3.872228{col 81}{space 3} 10.83977
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                    {txt}{c |}
{space 19}polity2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0557657{col 40}{space 2} .0240916{col 51}{space 1}    2.31{col 60}{space 3}0.021{col 68}{space 4} .0085471{col 81}{space 3} .1029843
{txt}{space 19}ethfrac {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-1.713791{col 40}{space 2} .5721519{col 51}{space 1}   -3.00{col 60}{space 3}0.003{col 68}{space 4}-2.835188{col 81}{space 3}-.5923938
{txt}{space 17}lrexclpop {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.3931667{col 40}{space 2} .1211536{col 51}{space 1}   -3.25{col 60}{space 3}0.001{col 68}{space 4}-.6306234{col 81}{space 3}  -.15571
{txt}{space 19}regchg3 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0907389{col 40}{space 2} .3512449{col 51}{space 1}    0.26{col 60}{space 3}0.796{col 68}{space 4}-.5976885{col 81}{space 3} .7791663
{txt}{space 16}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0002272{col 40}{space 2} .0001954{col 51}{space 1}   -1.16{col 60}{space 3}0.245{col 68}{space 4}-.0006103{col 81}{space 3} .0001558
{txt}{space 16}poplog_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .1330397{col 40}{space 2} .1243086{col 51}{space 1}    1.07{col 60}{space 3}0.285{col 68}{space 4}-.1106006{col 81}{space 3}   .37668
{txt}{space 21}_cons {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 1.449494{col 40}{space 2} 1.262885{col 51}{space 1}    1.15{col 60}{space 3}0.251{col 68}{space 4}-1.025714{col 81}{space 3} 3.924703
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 18}/lnalpha {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 1.299666{col 40}{space 2} .2431993{col 51}{space 1}    5.34{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} .8230036{col 81}{space 3} 1.776327
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                     alpha {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}  3.66807{col 40}{space 2} .8920721{col 68}{space 4}  2.27733{col 81}{space 3} 5.908119
{txt}{hline 27}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * Model 5
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.embargofull_yes_lag##c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag sa_yes_lag polity2 ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if IntrastateBinary ==1, inflate(polity2  ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1586.598}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1222.4459}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1191.4921}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1184.6951}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1183.9326}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1183.9064}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1183.9064}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1183.9064}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1179.8518}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1160.4273}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1155.3411}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1143.3179}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:  -1134.45}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1133.9555}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1133.9523}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1133.9523}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       389
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       128
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       261

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}11{txt})     = {res}     83.72
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1133.952                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 30}{c |}{col 42}    Robust
{col 1}           One_sidedviolence{col 30}{c |}      Coef.{col 42}   Std. Err.{col 54}      z{col 62}   P>|z|{col 70}     [95% Con{col 83}f. Interval]
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence            {txt}{c |}
{space 7}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 2.062643{col 42}{space 2} .6868857{col 53}{space 1}    3.00{col 62}{space 3}0.003{col 70}{space 4} .7163717{col 83}{space 3} 3.408914
{txt}{space 2}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0001407{col 42}{space 2}  .000479{col 53}{space 1}   -0.29{col 62}{space 3}0.769{col 70}{space 4}-.0010794{col 83}{space 3}  .000798
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 9}embargofull_yes_lag#{c |}
c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}
{space 26}1  {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0029513{col 42}{space 2} .0009204{col 53}{space 1}   -3.21{col 62}{space 3}0.001{col 70}{space 4}-.0047554{col 83}{space 3}-.0011473
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 18}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}  .685136{col 42}{space 2}  .529348{col 53}{space 1}    1.29{col 62}{space 3}0.196{col 70}{space 4} -.352367{col 83}{space 3} 1.722639
{txt}{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.2044237{col 42}{space 2} .0668863{col 53}{space 1}   -3.06{col 62}{space 3}0.002{col 70}{space 4}-.3355185{col 83}{space 3} -.073329
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-3.430705{col 42}{space 2} 1.128532{col 53}{space 1}   -3.04{col 62}{space 3}0.002{col 70}{space 4}-5.642586{col 83}{space 3}-1.218824
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.3199798{col 42}{space 2} .2516577{col 53}{space 1}   -1.27{col 62}{space 3}0.204{col 70}{space 4}-.8132199{col 83}{space 3} .1732602
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.2905982{col 42}{space 2} .4519945{col 53}{space 1}   -0.64{col 62}{space 3}0.520{col 70}{space 4}-1.176491{col 83}{space 3} .5952947
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}  .001068{col 42}{space 2} .0003872{col 53}{space 1}    2.76{col 62}{space 3}0.006{col 70}{space 4} .0003091{col 83}{space 3}  .001827
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0389345{col 42}{space 2} .1947574{col 53}{space 1}   -0.20{col 62}{space 3}0.842{col 70}{space 4} -.420652{col 83}{space 3}  .342783
{txt}{space 10}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0048244{col 42}{space 2} .0076371{col 53}{space 1}   -0.63{col 62}{space 3}0.528{col 70}{space 4}-.0197927{col 83}{space 3}  .010144
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 7.465687{col 42}{space 2} 1.751591{col 53}{space 1}    4.26{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 4.032632{col 83}{space 3} 10.89874
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                      {txt}{c |}
{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0525078{col 42}{space 2} .0251598{col 53}{space 1}    2.09{col 62}{space 3}0.037{col 70}{space 4} .0031956{col 83}{space 3}   .10182
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-1.644303{col 42}{space 2} .5734441{col 53}{space 1}   -2.87{col 62}{space 3}0.004{col 70}{space 4}-2.768233{col 83}{space 3} -.520373
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.3977956{col 42}{space 2} .1212365{col 53}{space 1}   -3.28{col 62}{space 3}0.001{col 70}{space 4}-.6354147{col 83}{space 3}-.1601765
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0877865{col 42}{space 2} .3488748{col 53}{space 1}    0.25{col 62}{space 3}0.801{col 70}{space 4}-.5959954{col 83}{space 3} .7715685
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0002242{col 42}{space 2} .0001938{col 53}{space 1}   -1.16{col 62}{space 3}0.247{col 70}{space 4} -.000604{col 83}{space 3} .0001556
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .1186631{col 42}{space 2} .1233214{col 53}{space 1}    0.96{col 62}{space 3}0.336{col 70}{space 4}-.1230424{col 83}{space 3} .3603686
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.545062{col 42}{space 2} 1.254037{col 53}{space 1}    1.23{col 62}{space 3}0.218{col 70}{space 4}-.9128062{col 83}{space 3} 4.002929
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}/lnalpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.300345{col 42}{space 2} .2498182{col 53}{space 1}    5.21{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .8107103{col 83}{space 3}  1.78998
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                       alpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 3.670563{col 42}{space 2} .9169735{col 70}{space 4} 2.249505{col 83}{space 3} 5.989331
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ********Table 2. Analyzing US versus non-US Impartial Arms Embargoes 
. * Model 6
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.Non_US_fullembargo_only_lag##c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag sa_yes_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq , inflate(polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4009.0529}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1765.8978}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1628.8846}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1547.4437}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1528.9409}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1525.6745}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.8148}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.4988}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.2806}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.1967}  
Iteration 10:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.1964}  
Iteration 11:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.1964}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.1964}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1519.9202}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1493.9469}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1486.9574}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1473.7332}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1472.8826}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1472.829}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1472.8288}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1472.8288}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,832
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       160
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}     1,672

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}12{txt})     = {res}     91.80
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1472.829                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 30}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 31}{c |}{col 43}    Robust
{col 1}            One_sidedviolence{col 31}{c |}      Coef.{col 43}   Std. Err.{col 55}      z{col 63}   P>|z|{col 71}     [95% Con{col 84}f. Interval]
{hline 30}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence             {txt}{c |}
1.Non_US_fullembargo_only_lag {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2}  1.06617{col 43}{space 2} 1.170015{col 54}{space 1}    0.91{col 63}{space 3}0.362{col 71}{space 4}-1.227017{col 84}{space 3} 3.359358
{txt}{space 3}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2}-.0006123{col 43}{space 2} .0004933{col 54}{space 1}   -1.24{col 63}{space 3}0.214{col 71}{space 4}-.0015791{col 84}{space 3} .0003544
{txt}{space 29} {c |}
{space 2}Non_US_fullembargo_only_lag#{c |}
{space 1}c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}
{space 27}1  {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2} -.002685{col 43}{space 2} .0010425{col 54}{space 1}   -2.58{col 63}{space 3}0.010{col 71}{space 4}-.0047282{col 84}{space 3}-.0006417
{txt}{space 29} {c |}
{space 19}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2} .2173759{col 43}{space 2} .5903363{col 54}{space 1}    0.37{col 63}{space 3}0.713{col 71}{space 4} -.939662{col 84}{space 3} 1.374414
{txt}{space 22}polity2 {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2}-.2656166{col 43}{space 2} .0696702{col 54}{space 1}   -3.81{col 63}{space 3}0.000{col 71}{space 4}-.4021676{col 84}{space 3}-.1290656
{txt}{space 13}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2} .5120084{col 43}{space 2}  .423549{col 54}{space 1}    1.21{col 63}{space 3}0.227{col 71}{space 4}-.3181325{col 84}{space 3} 1.342149
{txt}{space 22}ethfrac {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2}-1.311758{col 43}{space 2} 1.327831{col 54}{space 1}   -0.99{col 63}{space 3}0.323{col 71}{space 4}-3.914258{col 84}{space 3} 1.290743
{txt}{space 20}lrexclpop {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2}-.1275534{col 43}{space 2} .1726783{col 54}{space 1}   -0.74{col 63}{space 3}0.460{col 71}{space 4}-.4659967{col 84}{space 3} .2108898
{txt}{space 22}regchg3 {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2}-.5559863{col 43}{space 2} .4487453{col 54}{space 1}   -1.24{col 63}{space 3}0.215{col 71}{space 4}-1.435511{col 84}{space 3} .3235382
{txt}{space 19}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2} .0011071{col 43}{space 2} .0003365{col 54}{space 1}    3.29{col 63}{space 3}0.001{col 71}{space 4} .0004475{col 84}{space 3} .0017667
{txt}{space 19}poplog_lag {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2}-.0703493{col 43}{space 2} .2146731{col 54}{space 1}   -0.33{col 63}{space 3}0.743{col 71}{space 4}-.4911007{col 84}{space 3} .3504022
{txt}{space 11}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2} .0001588{col 43}{space 2} .0093416{col 54}{space 1}    0.02{col 63}{space 3}0.986{col 71}{space 4}-.0181503{col 84}{space 3}  .018468
{txt}{space 24}_cons {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2} 5.726697{col 43}{space 2} 1.747442{col 54}{space 1}    3.28{col 63}{space 3}0.001{col 71}{space 4} 2.301773{col 84}{space 3} 9.151622
{txt}{hline 30}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                       {txt}{c |}
{space 22}polity2 {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2}  .007105{col 43}{space 2} .0368166{col 54}{space 1}    0.19{col 63}{space 3}0.847{col 71}{space 4}-.0650542{col 84}{space 3} .0792641
{txt}{space 13}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2}-4.943324{col 43}{space 2} 1.935336{col 54}{space 1}   -2.55{col 63}{space 3}0.011{col 71}{space 4}-8.736513{col 84}{space 3}-1.150135
{txt}{space 22}ethfrac {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2} -5.12743{col 43}{space 2} 1.799601{col 54}{space 1}   -2.85{col 63}{space 3}0.004{col 71}{space 4}-8.654584{col 84}{space 3}-1.600277
{txt}{space 20}lrexclpop {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2}-.6798526{col 43}{space 2}  .161687{col 54}{space 1}   -4.20{col 63}{space 3}0.000{col 71}{space 4}-.9967532{col 84}{space 3}-.3629519
{txt}{space 22}regchg3 {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2}-1.406944{col 43}{space 2} .6549591{col 54}{space 1}   -2.15{col 63}{space 3}0.032{col 71}{space 4} -2.69064{col 84}{space 3}-.1232474
{txt}{space 19}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2}  .000559{col 43}{space 2} .0004401{col 54}{space 1}    1.27{col 63}{space 3}0.204{col 71}{space 4}-.0003036{col 84}{space 3} .0014216
{txt}{space 19}poplog_lag {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2}-.3526702{col 43}{space 2} .3185707{col 54}{space 1}   -1.11{col 63}{space 3}0.268{col 71}{space 4}-.9770573{col 84}{space 3} .2717168
{txt}{space 24}_cons {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2} 10.66603{col 43}{space 2} 3.634227{col 54}{space 1}    2.93{col 63}{space 3}0.003{col 71}{space 4} 3.543081{col 84}{space 3} 17.78899
{txt}{hline 30}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 21}/lnalpha {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2} 2.529883{col 43}{space 2} .2963986{col 54}{space 1}    8.54{col 63}{space 3}0.000{col 71}{space 4} 1.948952{col 84}{space 3} 3.110813
{txt}{hline 30}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                        alpha {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2} 12.55203{col 43}{space 2} 3.720404{col 71}{space 4} 7.021325{col 84}{space 3} 22.43928
{txt}{hline 30}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * Model 7
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.Non_US_fullembargo_only_lag##c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag sa_yes_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if civilwar_yes ==1, inflate(polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2464.0674}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1516.7471}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1435.5757}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1426.1661}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1422.6532}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1421.6764}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1418.3569}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1394.2151}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1387.9146}  (not concave)
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1377.1751}  (not concave)
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1375.8269}  (not concave)
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1374.5493}  (not concave)
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1373.6811}  (not concave)
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1372.8712}  (not concave)
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1371.9617}  (not concave)
Iteration 10:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1371.1158}  
Iteration 11:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1369.1142}  
Iteration 12:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1368.0316}  
Iteration 13:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1368.0142}  
Iteration 14:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1368.0142}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       881
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       151
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       730

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}12{txt})     = {res}    236.30
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1368.014                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 30}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 31}{c |}{col 43}    Robust
{col 1}            One_sidedviolence{col 31}{c |}      Coef.{col 43}   Std. Err.{col 55}      z{col 63}   P>|z|{col 71}     [95% Con{col 84}f. Interval]
{hline 30}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence             {txt}{c |}
1.Non_US_fullembargo_only_lag {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2} 3.353177{col 43}{space 2} .4862384{col 54}{space 1}    6.90{col 63}{space 3}0.000{col 71}{space 4} 2.400168{col 84}{space 3} 4.306187
{txt}{space 3}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2}-.0005202{col 43}{space 2} .0004588{col 54}{space 1}   -1.13{col 63}{space 3}0.257{col 71}{space 4}-.0014194{col 84}{space 3}  .000379
{txt}{space 29} {c |}
{space 2}Non_US_fullembargo_only_lag#{c |}
{space 1}c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}
{space 27}1  {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2}-.0036028{col 43}{space 2} .0007368{col 54}{space 1}   -4.89{col 63}{space 3}0.000{col 71}{space 4} -.005047{col 84}{space 3}-.0021587
{txt}{space 29} {c |}
{space 19}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2} .3387891{col 43}{space 2} .6570652{col 54}{space 1}    0.52{col 63}{space 3}0.606{col 71}{space 4}-.9490349{col 84}{space 3} 1.626613
{txt}{space 22}polity2 {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2}-.1886454{col 43}{space 2} .0778823{col 54}{space 1}   -2.42{col 63}{space 3}0.015{col 71}{space 4}-.3412919{col 84}{space 3} -.035999
{txt}{space 13}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2}  1.28753{col 43}{space 2} .3761142{col 54}{space 1}    3.42{col 63}{space 3}0.001{col 71}{space 4} .5503598{col 84}{space 3} 2.024701
{txt}{space 22}ethfrac {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2}-2.779498{col 43}{space 2} 1.270918{col 54}{space 1}   -2.19{col 63}{space 3}0.029{col 71}{space 4}-5.270452{col 84}{space 3}-.2885443
{txt}{space 20}lrexclpop {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2}-.0780447{col 43}{space 2} .2239738{col 54}{space 1}   -0.35{col 63}{space 3}0.727{col 71}{space 4}-.5170252{col 84}{space 3} .3609359
{txt}{space 22}regchg3 {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2}-.2078681{col 43}{space 2} .4627808{col 54}{space 1}   -0.45{col 63}{space 3}0.653{col 71}{space 4}-1.114902{col 84}{space 3} .6991655
{txt}{space 19}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2} .0008833{col 43}{space 2} .0003835{col 54}{space 1}    2.30{col 63}{space 3}0.021{col 71}{space 4} .0001316{col 84}{space 3}  .001635
{txt}{space 19}poplog_lag {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2} .0016645{col 43}{space 2} .2168998{col 54}{space 1}    0.01{col 63}{space 3}0.994{col 71}{space 4}-.4234512{col 84}{space 3} .4267802
{txt}{space 11}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2} .0061417{col 43}{space 2} .0080436{col 54}{space 1}    0.76{col 63}{space 3}0.445{col 71}{space 4}-.0096235{col 84}{space 3} .0219069
{txt}{space 24}_cons {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2} 5.703179{col 43}{space 2} 1.559948{col 54}{space 1}    3.66{col 63}{space 3}0.000{col 71}{space 4} 2.645738{col 84}{space 3}  8.76062
{txt}{hline 30}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                       {txt}{c |}
{space 22}polity2 {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2} .0541223{col 43}{space 2} .0210571{col 54}{space 1}    2.57{col 63}{space 3}0.010{col 71}{space 4} .0128511{col 84}{space 3} .0953936
{txt}{space 13}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2}-2.322347{col 43}{space 2} .2784613{col 54}{space 1}   -8.34{col 63}{space 3}0.000{col 71}{space 4}-2.868121{col 84}{space 3}-1.776573
{txt}{space 22}ethfrac {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2}-2.047453{col 43}{space 2} .5227669{col 54}{space 1}   -3.92{col 63}{space 3}0.000{col 71}{space 4}-3.072057{col 84}{space 3}-1.022848
{txt}{space 20}lrexclpop {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2}-.3973837{col 43}{space 2} .1115349{col 54}{space 1}   -3.56{col 63}{space 3}0.000{col 71}{space 4}-.6159881{col 84}{space 3}-.1787793
{txt}{space 22}regchg3 {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2}-.3055349{col 43}{space 2} .3087111{col 54}{space 1}   -0.99{col 63}{space 3}0.322{col 71}{space 4}-.9105976{col 84}{space 3} .2995277
{txt}{space 19}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2}-.0002221{col 43}{space 2} .0001566{col 54}{space 1}   -1.42{col 63}{space 3}0.156{col 71}{space 4}-.0005291{col 84}{space 3} .0000848
{txt}{space 19}poplog_lag {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2}-.0448311{col 43}{space 2} .0957209{col 54}{space 1}   -0.47{col 63}{space 3}0.640{col 71}{space 4}-.2324406{col 84}{space 3} .1427784
{txt}{space 24}_cons {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2} 5.876386{col 43}{space 2} 1.031433{col 54}{space 1}    5.70{col 63}{space 3}0.000{col 71}{space 4} 3.854815{col 84}{space 3} 7.897957
{txt}{hline 30}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 21}/lnalpha {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2} 1.212646{col 43}{space 2} .2446624{col 54}{space 1}    4.96{col 63}{space 3}0.000{col 71}{space 4} .7331165{col 84}{space 3} 1.692175
{txt}{hline 30}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                        alpha {c |}{col 31}{res}{space 2}  3.36237{col 43}{space 2} .8226454{col 71}{space 4} 2.081558{col 84}{space 3} 5.431283
{txt}{hline 30}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * Model 8
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.US_fullembargo_only_lag##c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag sa_yes_lag  polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq , inflate(polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4009.0529}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1765.8978}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1628.8846}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1547.4437}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1528.9409}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1525.6745}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.8148}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.4988}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.2806}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.1967}  
Iteration 10:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.1964}  
Iteration 11:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.1964}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.1964}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1519.6833}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1505.897}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1494.4844}  (not concave)
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1481.5604}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1469.7529}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1462.9194}  (not concave)
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1462.8323}  (not concave)
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1462.7656}  (not concave)
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1462.7435}  (not concave)
Iteration 10:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1462.7206}  (not concave)
Iteration 11:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1462.3499}  (not concave)
Iteration 12:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1462.0118}  (not concave)
Iteration 13:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1461.7688}  (not concave)
Iteration 14:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1461.5384}  (not concave)
Iteration 15:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1461.3407}  (not concave)
Iteration 16:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1461.1547}  (not concave)
Iteration 17:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1460.7787}  
Iteration 18:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1460.0765}  
Iteration 19:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1458.9677}  
Iteration 20:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1458.9388}  
Iteration 21:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1458.9388}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,832
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       160
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}     1,672

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}12{txt})     = {res}     93.32
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1458.939                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 30}{c |}{col 42}    Robust
{col 1}           One_sidedviolence{col 30}{c |}      Coef.{col 42}   Std. Err.{col 54}      z{col 62}   P>|z|{col 70}     [95% Con{col 83}f. Interval]
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence            {txt}{c |}
{space 3}1.US_fullembargo_only_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 3.021547{col 42}{space 2} .7341801{col 53}{space 1}    4.12{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}  1.58258{col 83}{space 3} 4.460514
{txt}{space 2}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -.000457{col 42}{space 2} .0004558{col 53}{space 1}   -1.00{col 62}{space 3}0.316{col 70}{space 4}-.0013504{col 83}{space 3} .0004363
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 5}US_fullembargo_only_lag#{c |}
c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}
{space 26}1  {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0064289{col 42}{space 2} .0049489{col 53}{space 1}    1.30{col 62}{space 3}0.194{col 70}{space 4}-.0032708{col 83}{space 3} .0161286
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 18}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .1853573{col 42}{space 2} .4882839{col 53}{space 1}    0.38{col 62}{space 3}0.704{col 70}{space 4}-.7716617{col 83}{space 3} 1.142376
{txt}{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.1343905{col 42}{space 2} .0581434{col 53}{space 1}   -2.31{col 62}{space 3}0.021{col 70}{space 4}-.2483494{col 83}{space 3}-.0204316
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0505808{col 42}{space 2} .5190594{col 53}{space 1}   -0.10{col 62}{space 3}0.922{col 70}{space 4}-1.067919{col 83}{space 3} .9667569
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-4.900887{col 42}{space 2}  1.73307{col 53}{space 1}   -2.83{col 62}{space 3}0.005{col 70}{space 4}-8.297642{col 83}{space 3}-1.504132
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.2017468{col 42}{space 2} .1928901{col 53}{space 1}   -1.05{col 62}{space 3}0.296{col 70}{space 4}-.5798044{col 83}{space 3} .1763108
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .7299147{col 42}{space 2} .5482624{col 53}{space 1}    1.33{col 62}{space 3}0.183{col 70}{space 4}-.3446599{col 83}{space 3} 1.804489
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0008891{col 42}{space 2} .0003157{col 53}{space 1}    2.82{col 62}{space 3}0.005{col 70}{space 4} .0002704{col 83}{space 3} .0015078
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0530495{col 42}{space 2} .1713463{col 53}{space 1}    0.31{col 62}{space 3}0.757{col 70}{space 4} -.282783{col 83}{space 3}  .388882
{txt}{space 10}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}  -.01467{col 42}{space 2} .0045582{col 53}{space 1}   -3.22{col 62}{space 3}0.001{col 70}{space 4} -.023604{col 83}{space 3}-.0057361
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 7.694677{col 42}{space 2} 1.749874{col 53}{space 1}    4.40{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 4.264987{col 83}{space 3} 11.12437
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                      {txt}{c |}
{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0446406{col 42}{space 2} .0187414{col 53}{space 1}    2.38{col 62}{space 3}0.017{col 70}{space 4} .0079081{col 83}{space 3}  .081373
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-2.721219{col 42}{space 2} .3066585{col 53}{space 1}   -8.87{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-3.322259{col 83}{space 3} -2.12018
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-2.591659{col 42}{space 2} .5759506{col 53}{space 1}   -4.50{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-3.720502{col 83}{space 3}-1.462817
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.4797484{col 42}{space 2} .1063556{col 53}{space 1}   -4.51{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-.6882017{col 83}{space 3}-.2712952
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.4253377{col 42}{space 2} .3326537{col 53}{space 1}   -1.28{col 62}{space 3}0.201{col 70}{space 4}-1.077327{col 83}{space 3} .2266517
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0000884{col 42}{space 2} .0001469{col 53}{space 1}   -0.60{col 62}{space 3}0.548{col 70}{space 4}-.0003763{col 83}{space 3} .0001996
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0960283{col 42}{space 2} .0845391{col 53}{space 1}   -1.14{col 62}{space 3}0.256{col 70}{space 4}-.2617218{col 83}{space 3} .0696653
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 7.167185{col 42}{space 2} .9224918{col 53}{space 1}    7.77{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 5.359134{col 83}{space 3} 8.975236
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}/lnalpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.185589{col 42}{space 2}  .327152{col 53}{space 1}    3.62{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .5443825{col 83}{space 3} 1.826795
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                       alpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 3.272613{col 42}{space 2} 1.070642{col 70}{space 4} 1.723544{col 83}{space 3} 6.213938
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * Model 9
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.US_fullembargo_only_lag##c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag sa_yes_lag  polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if civilwar_yes ==1, inflate(polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2464.0674}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1516.7471}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1435.5757}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1426.1661}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1422.6532}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1421.6764}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1415.4737}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1394.6491}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1373.1634}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1359.6008}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1354.1172}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1354.0675}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1354.0674}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       881
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       151
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       730

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}12{txt})     = {res}     81.77
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1354.067                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 30}{c |}{col 42}    Robust
{col 1}           One_sidedviolence{col 30}{c |}      Coef.{col 42}   Std. Err.{col 54}      z{col 62}   P>|z|{col 70}     [95% Con{col 83}f. Interval]
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence            {txt}{c |}
{space 3}1.US_fullembargo_only_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 3.330649{col 42}{space 2}  .677355{col 53}{space 1}    4.92{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 2.003058{col 83}{space 3} 4.658241
{txt}{space 2}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0007333{col 42}{space 2} .0004742{col 53}{space 1}   -1.55{col 62}{space 3}0.122{col 70}{space 4}-.0016627{col 83}{space 3} .0001961
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 5}US_fullembargo_only_lag#{c |}
c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}
{space 26}1  {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0084415{col 42}{space 2} .0047593{col 53}{space 1}    1.77{col 62}{space 3}0.076{col 70}{space 4}-.0008865{col 83}{space 3} .0177695
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 18}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}  .099098{col 42}{space 2} .4672201{col 53}{space 1}    0.21{col 62}{space 3}0.832{col 70}{space 4}-.8166366{col 83}{space 3} 1.014833
{txt}{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.1840105{col 42}{space 2} .0676104{col 53}{space 1}   -2.72{col 62}{space 3}0.006{col 70}{space 4}-.3165245{col 83}{space 3}-.0514964
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .3672852{col 42}{space 2} .4250454{col 53}{space 1}    0.86{col 62}{space 3}0.388{col 70}{space 4}-.4657886{col 83}{space 3} 1.200359
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -4.71102{col 42}{space 2} 1.332564{col 53}{space 1}   -3.54{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-7.322798{col 83}{space 3}-2.099243
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.5382306{col 42}{space 2} .3226703{col 53}{space 1}   -1.67{col 62}{space 3}0.095{col 70}{space 4}-1.170653{col 83}{space 3} .0941915
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .9980037{col 42}{space 2} .5015016{col 53}{space 1}    1.99{col 62}{space 3}0.047{col 70}{space 4} .0150787{col 83}{space 3} 1.980929
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0009183{col 42}{space 2} .0003052{col 53}{space 1}    3.01{col 62}{space 3}0.003{col 70}{space 4} .0003202{col 83}{space 3} .0015164
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .1190717{col 42}{space 2} .1658412{col 53}{space 1}    0.72{col 62}{space 3}0.473{col 70}{space 4} -.205971{col 83}{space 3} .4441145
{txt}{space 10}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0174116{col 42}{space 2} .0044118{col 53}{space 1}   -3.95{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-.0260586{col 83}{space 3}-.0087646
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 7.549789{col 42}{space 2} 1.896651{col 53}{space 1}    3.98{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 3.832421{col 83}{space 3} 11.26716
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                      {txt}{c |}
{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}  .056938{col 42}{space 2} .0203074{col 53}{space 1}    2.80{col 62}{space 3}0.005{col 70}{space 4} .0171363{col 83}{space 3} .0967397
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -2.39988{col 42}{space 2} .2929741{col 53}{space 1}   -8.19{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-2.974099{col 83}{space 3}-1.825662
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-2.159067{col 42}{space 2} .5430422{col 53}{space 1}   -3.98{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} -3.22341{col 83}{space 3}-1.094724
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.4174399{col 42}{space 2} .1150363{col 53}{space 1}   -3.63{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-.6429068{col 83}{space 3}-.1919729
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.2419302{col 42}{space 2} .3126736{col 53}{space 1}   -0.77{col 62}{space 3}0.439{col 70}{space 4}-.8547593{col 83}{space 3} .3708988
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0002402{col 42}{space 2}  .000158{col 53}{space 1}   -1.52{col 62}{space 3}0.128{col 70}{space 4}-.0005499{col 83}{space 3} .0000695
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0444367{col 42}{space 2} .0927805{col 53}{space 1}   -0.48{col 62}{space 3}0.632{col 70}{space 4} -.226283{col 83}{space 3} .1374097
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 6.052569{col 42}{space 2}  1.03254{col 53}{space 1}    5.86{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 4.028828{col 83}{space 3} 8.076311
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}/lnalpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.114925{col 42}{space 2} .2489306{col 53}{space 1}    4.48{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .6270304{col 83}{space 3}  1.60282
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                       alpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}  3.04934{col 42}{space 2}  .759074{col 70}{space 4} 1.872043{col 83}{space 3} 4.967021
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. ***************** FIGURES ( edited in manuscript for style)
. * Figure 1
. twoway (scatter MCW_import_state_zeros Year), by(embargofull_yes)
{res}{txt}
{com}. * Figure 2
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.embargofull_yes_lag##c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag sa_yes_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if civilwar_yes ==1, inflate(polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2464.0674}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1516.7471}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1435.5757}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1426.1661}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1422.6532}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1421.6764}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1418.6969}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1394.6825}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1380.4047}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:  -1369.49}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1363.737}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1361.4905}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1361.4866}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1361.4866}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       881
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       151
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       730

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}12{txt})     = {res}     72.54
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1361.487                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 30}{c |}{col 42}    Robust
{col 1}           One_sidedviolence{col 30}{c |}      Coef.{col 42}   Std. Err.{col 54}      z{col 62}   P>|z|{col 70}     [95% Con{col 83}f. Interval]
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence            {txt}{c |}
{space 7}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 2.108268{col 42}{space 2} .5440292{col 53}{space 1}    3.88{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}  1.04199{col 83}{space 3} 3.174546
{txt}{space 2}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -.000159{col 42}{space 2} .0004516{col 53}{space 1}   -0.35{col 62}{space 3}0.725{col 70}{space 4}-.0010442{col 83}{space 3} .0007262
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 9}embargofull_yes_lag#{c |}
c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}
{space 26}1  {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}  -.00272{col 42}{space 2} .0008563{col 53}{space 1}   -3.18{col 62}{space 3}0.001{col 70}{space 4}-.0043982{col 83}{space 3}-.0010417
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 18}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .6592089{col 42}{space 2} .5239569{col 53}{space 1}    1.26{col 62}{space 3}0.208{col 70}{space 4}-.3677277{col 83}{space 3} 1.686145
{txt}{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.1711116{col 42}{space 2}   .06638{col 53}{space 1}   -2.58{col 62}{space 3}0.010{col 70}{space 4} -.301214{col 83}{space 3}-.0410093
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .7844028{col 42}{space 2} .3481967{col 53}{space 1}    2.25{col 62}{space 3}0.024{col 70}{space 4} .1019498{col 83}{space 3} 1.466856
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-3.774825{col 42}{space 2} 1.123502{col 53}{space 1}   -3.36{col 62}{space 3}0.001{col 70}{space 4}-5.976848{col 83}{space 3}-1.572802
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.2508239{col 42}{space 2} .2202602{col 53}{space 1}   -1.14{col 62}{space 3}0.255{col 70}{space 4} -.682526{col 83}{space 3} .1808782
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0757795{col 42}{space 2} .3760074{col 53}{space 1}    0.20{col 62}{space 3}0.840{col 70}{space 4}-.6611815{col 83}{space 3} .8127404
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0011211{col 42}{space 2} .0003137{col 53}{space 1}    3.57{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .0005063{col 83}{space 3} .0017359
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0501171{col 42}{space 2} .1870372{col 53}{space 1}   -0.27{col 62}{space 3}0.789{col 70}{space 4}-.4167033{col 83}{space 3} .3164691
{txt}{space 10}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0040923{col 42}{space 2} .0070755{col 53}{space 1}   -0.58{col 62}{space 3}0.563{col 70}{space 4}  -.01796{col 83}{space 3} .0097755
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 6.705544{col 42}{space 2} 1.625623{col 53}{space 1}    4.12{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 3.519381{col 83}{space 3} 9.891707
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                      {txt}{c |}
{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0540554{col 42}{space 2} .0206757{col 53}{space 1}    2.61{col 62}{space 3}0.009{col 70}{space 4} .0135318{col 83}{space 3} .0945791
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -2.36995{col 42}{space 2} .2884002{col 53}{space 1}   -8.22{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-2.935204{col 83}{space 3}-1.804697
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-2.159591{col 42}{space 2} .5308278{col 53}{space 1}   -4.07{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-3.199995{col 83}{space 3}-1.119188
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.4097607{col 42}{space 2} .1128035{col 53}{space 1}   -3.63{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-.6308514{col 83}{space 3}  -.18867
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.3045049{col 42}{space 2} .3145682{col 53}{space 1}   -0.97{col 62}{space 3}0.333{col 70}{space 4}-.9210472{col 83}{space 3} .3120375
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -.000204{col 42}{space 2} .0001564{col 53}{space 1}   -1.30{col 62}{space 3}0.192{col 70}{space 4}-.0005105{col 83}{space 3} .0001025
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0393833{col 42}{space 2} .0941435{col 53}{space 1}   -0.42{col 62}{space 3}0.676{col 70}{space 4}-.2239012{col 83}{space 3} .1451345
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 5.914808{col 42}{space 2}  1.02525{col 53}{space 1}    5.77{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 3.905355{col 83}{space 3} 7.924261
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}/lnalpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.197385{col 42}{space 2} .2557537{col 53}{space 1}    4.68{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .6961164{col 83}{space 3} 1.698653
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                       alpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 3.311445{col 42}{space 2} .8469143{col 70}{space 4} 2.005947{col 83}{space 3} 5.466577
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. coefplot, drop(_cons) xline(0)
{res}{txt}
{com}. * Figure 3
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.embargofull_yes_lag##c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag sa_yes_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if civilwar_yes ==1, inflate(polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2464.0674}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1516.7471}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1435.5757}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1426.1661}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1422.6532}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1421.6764}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1418.6969}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1394.6825}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1380.4047}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:  -1369.49}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1363.737}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1361.4905}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1361.4866}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1361.4866}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       881
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       151
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       730

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}12{txt})     = {res}     72.54
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1361.487                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 30}{c |}{col 42}    Robust
{col 1}           One_sidedviolence{col 30}{c |}      Coef.{col 42}   Std. Err.{col 54}      z{col 62}   P>|z|{col 70}     [95% Con{col 83}f. Interval]
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence            {txt}{c |}
{space 7}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 2.108268{col 42}{space 2} .5440292{col 53}{space 1}    3.88{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}  1.04199{col 83}{space 3} 3.174546
{txt}{space 2}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -.000159{col 42}{space 2} .0004516{col 53}{space 1}   -0.35{col 62}{space 3}0.725{col 70}{space 4}-.0010442{col 83}{space 3} .0007262
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 9}embargofull_yes_lag#{c |}
c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}
{space 26}1  {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}  -.00272{col 42}{space 2} .0008563{col 53}{space 1}   -3.18{col 62}{space 3}0.001{col 70}{space 4}-.0043982{col 83}{space 3}-.0010417
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 18}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .6592089{col 42}{space 2} .5239569{col 53}{space 1}    1.26{col 62}{space 3}0.208{col 70}{space 4}-.3677277{col 83}{space 3} 1.686145
{txt}{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.1711116{col 42}{space 2}   .06638{col 53}{space 1}   -2.58{col 62}{space 3}0.010{col 70}{space 4} -.301214{col 83}{space 3}-.0410093
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .7844028{col 42}{space 2} .3481967{col 53}{space 1}    2.25{col 62}{space 3}0.024{col 70}{space 4} .1019498{col 83}{space 3} 1.466856
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-3.774825{col 42}{space 2} 1.123502{col 53}{space 1}   -3.36{col 62}{space 3}0.001{col 70}{space 4}-5.976848{col 83}{space 3}-1.572802
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.2508239{col 42}{space 2} .2202602{col 53}{space 1}   -1.14{col 62}{space 3}0.255{col 70}{space 4} -.682526{col 83}{space 3} .1808782
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0757795{col 42}{space 2} .3760074{col 53}{space 1}    0.20{col 62}{space 3}0.840{col 70}{space 4}-.6611815{col 83}{space 3} .8127404
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0011211{col 42}{space 2} .0003137{col 53}{space 1}    3.57{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .0005063{col 83}{space 3} .0017359
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0501171{col 42}{space 2} .1870372{col 53}{space 1}   -0.27{col 62}{space 3}0.789{col 70}{space 4}-.4167033{col 83}{space 3} .3164691
{txt}{space 10}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0040923{col 42}{space 2} .0070755{col 53}{space 1}   -0.58{col 62}{space 3}0.563{col 70}{space 4}  -.01796{col 83}{space 3} .0097755
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 6.705544{col 42}{space 2} 1.625623{col 53}{space 1}    4.12{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 3.519381{col 83}{space 3} 9.891707
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                      {txt}{c |}
{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0540554{col 42}{space 2} .0206757{col 53}{space 1}    2.61{col 62}{space 3}0.009{col 70}{space 4} .0135318{col 83}{space 3} .0945791
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -2.36995{col 42}{space 2} .2884002{col 53}{space 1}   -8.22{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-2.935204{col 83}{space 3}-1.804697
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-2.159591{col 42}{space 2} .5308278{col 53}{space 1}   -4.07{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-3.199995{col 83}{space 3}-1.119188
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.4097607{col 42}{space 2} .1128035{col 53}{space 1}   -3.63{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-.6308514{col 83}{space 3}  -.18867
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.3045049{col 42}{space 2} .3145682{col 53}{space 1}   -0.97{col 62}{space 3}0.333{col 70}{space 4}-.9210472{col 83}{space 3} .3120375
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -.000204{col 42}{space 2} .0001564{col 53}{space 1}   -1.30{col 62}{space 3}0.192{col 70}{space 4}-.0005105{col 83}{space 3} .0001025
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0393833{col 42}{space 2} .0941435{col 53}{space 1}   -0.42{col 62}{space 3}0.676{col 70}{space 4}-.2239012{col 83}{space 3} .1451345
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 5.914808{col 42}{space 2}  1.02525{col 53}{space 1}    5.77{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 3.905355{col 83}{space 3} 7.924261
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}/lnalpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.197385{col 42}{space 2} .2557537{col 53}{space 1}    4.68{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .6961164{col 83}{space 3} 1.698653
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                       alpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 3.311445{col 42}{space 2} .8469143{col 70}{space 4} 2.005947{col 83}{space 3} 5.466577
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. margins, dydx(embargofull_yes_lag) at(MCW_import_state_zeros_lag=(0(500)3000)) atmeans vsquish predict(xb)
{res}
{txt}Conditional marginal effects{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       881
{txt}{col 1}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Linear prediction, predict(xb)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:dy/dx w.r.t.}:{space 1}{res:1.embargofull_yes_lag}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:0.embargof~g}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.814983 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:1.embargof~g}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.185017 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:MCW_import~g}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:sa_yes_lag}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 3}.8785471 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:polity2}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}1.494892 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:Intrastate~y}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.4415437 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ethfrac}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}.4999317 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:lrexclpop}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}2.565963 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:regchg3}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}.2009081 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:TradeOpen2}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 3}1130.439 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:poplog_lag}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 3}9.631524 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:embargofu~sq}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}9.809308 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:0.embargof~g}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.814983 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:1.embargof~g}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.185017 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:MCW_import~g}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}500}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:sa_yes_lag}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 3}.8785471 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:polity2}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}1.494892 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:Intrastate~y}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.4415437 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ethfrac}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}.4999317 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:lrexclpop}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}2.565963 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:regchg3}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}.2009081 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:TradeOpen2}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 3}1130.439 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:poplog_lag}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 3}9.631524 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:embargofu~sq}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}9.809308 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:3._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:0.embargof~g}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.814983 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:1.embargof~g}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.185017 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:MCW_import~g}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 7}1000}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:sa_yes_lag}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 3}.8785471 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:polity2}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}1.494892 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:Intrastate~y}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.4415437 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ethfrac}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}.4999317 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:lrexclpop}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}2.565963 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:regchg3}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}.2009081 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:TradeOpen2}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 3}1130.439 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:poplog_lag}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 3}9.631524 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:embargofu~sq}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}9.809308 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:4._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:0.embargof~g}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.814983 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:1.embargof~g}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.185017 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:MCW_import~g}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 7}1500}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:sa_yes_lag}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 3}.8785471 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:polity2}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}1.494892 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:Intrastate~y}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.4415437 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ethfrac}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}.4999317 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:lrexclpop}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}2.565963 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:regchg3}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}.2009081 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:TradeOpen2}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 3}1130.439 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:poplog_lag}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 3}9.631524 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:embargofu~sq}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}9.809308 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:5._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:0.embargof~g}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.814983 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:1.embargof~g}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.185017 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:MCW_import~g}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 7}2000}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:sa_yes_lag}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 3}.8785471 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:polity2}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}1.494892 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:Intrastate~y}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.4415437 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ethfrac}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}.4999317 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:lrexclpop}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}2.565963 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:regchg3}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}.2009081 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:TradeOpen2}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 3}1130.439 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:poplog_lag}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 3}9.631524 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:embargofu~sq}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}9.809308 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:6._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:0.embargof~g}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.814983 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:1.embargof~g}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.185017 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:MCW_import~g}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 7}2500}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:sa_yes_lag}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 3}.8785471 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:polity2}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}1.494892 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:Intrastate~y}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.4415437 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ethfrac}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}.4999317 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:lrexclpop}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}2.565963 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:regchg3}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}.2009081 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:TradeOpen2}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 3}1130.439 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:poplog_lag}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 3}9.631524 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:embargofu~sq}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}9.809308 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:7._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:0.embargof~g}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.814983 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:1.embargof~g}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 4}.185017 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:MCW_import~g}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 7}3000}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:sa_yes_lag}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 3}.8785471 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:polity2}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}1.494892 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:Intrastate~y}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}.4415437 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:ethfrac}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}.4999317 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:lrexclpop}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}2.565963 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:regchg3}{space 9}{txt:=} {space 3}.2009081 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:TradeOpen2}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 3}1130.439 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:poplog_lag}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 3}9.631524 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:embargofu~sq}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 3}9.809308 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}      dy/dx{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}{res}0.embargof~g{col 14}{txt}{c |}  (base outcome)
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}1.embargof~g {txt}{c |}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.108268{col 26}{space 2} .5440292{col 37}{space 1}    3.88{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  1.04199{col 67}{space 3} 3.174546
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7482857{col 26}{space 2} .4637674{col 37}{space 1}    1.61{col 46}{space 3}0.107{col 54}{space 4}-.1606818{col 67}{space 3} 1.657253
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6116966{col 26}{space 2} .7076546{col 37}{space 1}   -0.86{col 46}{space 3}0.387{col 54}{space 4}-1.998674{col 67}{space 3} .7752809
{txt}{space 10}4  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.971679{col 26}{space 2} 1.073803{col 37}{space 1}   -1.84{col 46}{space 3}0.066{col 54}{space 4}-4.076293{col 67}{space 3} .1329357
{txt}{space 10}5  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.331661{col 26}{space 2} 1.473741{col 37}{space 1}   -2.26{col 46}{space 3}0.024{col 54}{space 4} -6.22014{col 67}{space 3}-.4431824
{txt}{space 10}6  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.691643{col 26}{space 2} 1.886095{col 37}{space 1}   -2.49{col 46}{space 3}0.013{col 54}{space 4}-8.388321{col 67}{space 3}-.9949655
{txt}{space 10}7  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.051626{col 26}{space 2} 2.304209{col 37}{space 1}   -2.63{col 46}{space 3}0.009{col 54}{space 4}-10.56779{col 67}{space 3} -1.53546
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{p 0 6 0 78}Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.{txt}{p_end}
{res}{txt}
{com}. marginsplot, legend(position(1) ring(0))
{res}
{text}{p 2 6 2}Variables that uniquely identify margins: MCW_import_state_zeros_lag{p_end}
{res}{txt}
{com}. * Figure 4 
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.embargofull_yes_lag##c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag sa_yes_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if civilwar_yes ==1, inflate(polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2464.0674}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1516.7471}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1435.5757}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1426.1661}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1422.6532}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1421.6764}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1418.6969}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1394.6825}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1380.4047}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:  -1369.49}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1363.737}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1361.4905}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1361.4866}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1361.4866}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       881
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       151
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       730

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}12{txt})     = {res}     72.54
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1361.487                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 30}{c |}{col 42}    Robust
{col 1}           One_sidedviolence{col 30}{c |}      Coef.{col 42}   Std. Err.{col 54}      z{col 62}   P>|z|{col 70}     [95% Con{col 83}f. Interval]
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence            {txt}{c |}
{space 7}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 2.108268{col 42}{space 2} .5440292{col 53}{space 1}    3.88{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}  1.04199{col 83}{space 3} 3.174546
{txt}{space 2}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -.000159{col 42}{space 2} .0004516{col 53}{space 1}   -0.35{col 62}{space 3}0.725{col 70}{space 4}-.0010442{col 83}{space 3} .0007262
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 9}embargofull_yes_lag#{c |}
c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}
{space 26}1  {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}  -.00272{col 42}{space 2} .0008563{col 53}{space 1}   -3.18{col 62}{space 3}0.001{col 70}{space 4}-.0043982{col 83}{space 3}-.0010417
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 18}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .6592089{col 42}{space 2} .5239569{col 53}{space 1}    1.26{col 62}{space 3}0.208{col 70}{space 4}-.3677277{col 83}{space 3} 1.686145
{txt}{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.1711116{col 42}{space 2}   .06638{col 53}{space 1}   -2.58{col 62}{space 3}0.010{col 70}{space 4} -.301214{col 83}{space 3}-.0410093
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .7844028{col 42}{space 2} .3481967{col 53}{space 1}    2.25{col 62}{space 3}0.024{col 70}{space 4} .1019498{col 83}{space 3} 1.466856
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-3.774825{col 42}{space 2} 1.123502{col 53}{space 1}   -3.36{col 62}{space 3}0.001{col 70}{space 4}-5.976848{col 83}{space 3}-1.572802
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.2508239{col 42}{space 2} .2202602{col 53}{space 1}   -1.14{col 62}{space 3}0.255{col 70}{space 4} -.682526{col 83}{space 3} .1808782
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0757795{col 42}{space 2} .3760074{col 53}{space 1}    0.20{col 62}{space 3}0.840{col 70}{space 4}-.6611815{col 83}{space 3} .8127404
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0011211{col 42}{space 2} .0003137{col 53}{space 1}    3.57{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .0005063{col 83}{space 3} .0017359
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0501171{col 42}{space 2} .1870372{col 53}{space 1}   -0.27{col 62}{space 3}0.789{col 70}{space 4}-.4167033{col 83}{space 3} .3164691
{txt}{space 10}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0040923{col 42}{space 2} .0070755{col 53}{space 1}   -0.58{col 62}{space 3}0.563{col 70}{space 4}  -.01796{col 83}{space 3} .0097755
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 6.705544{col 42}{space 2} 1.625623{col 53}{space 1}    4.12{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 3.519381{col 83}{space 3} 9.891707
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                      {txt}{c |}
{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0540554{col 42}{space 2} .0206757{col 53}{space 1}    2.61{col 62}{space 3}0.009{col 70}{space 4} .0135318{col 83}{space 3} .0945791
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -2.36995{col 42}{space 2} .2884002{col 53}{space 1}   -8.22{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-2.935204{col 83}{space 3}-1.804697
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-2.159591{col 42}{space 2} .5308278{col 53}{space 1}   -4.07{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-3.199995{col 83}{space 3}-1.119188
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.4097607{col 42}{space 2} .1128035{col 53}{space 1}   -3.63{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-.6308514{col 83}{space 3}  -.18867
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.3045049{col 42}{space 2} .3145682{col 53}{space 1}   -0.97{col 62}{space 3}0.333{col 70}{space 4}-.9210472{col 83}{space 3} .3120375
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -.000204{col 42}{space 2} .0001564{col 53}{space 1}   -1.30{col 62}{space 3}0.192{col 70}{space 4}-.0005105{col 83}{space 3} .0001025
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0393833{col 42}{space 2} .0941435{col 53}{space 1}   -0.42{col 62}{space 3}0.676{col 70}{space 4}-.2239012{col 83}{space 3} .1451345
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 5.914808{col 42}{space 2}  1.02525{col 53}{space 1}    5.77{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 3.905355{col 83}{space 3} 7.924261
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}/lnalpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.197385{col 42}{space 2} .2557537{col 53}{space 1}    4.68{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .6961164{col 83}{space 3} 1.698653
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                       alpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 3.311445{col 42}{space 2} .8469143{col 70}{space 4} 2.005947{col 83}{space 3} 5.466577
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. //predict pi_hat, pr
. //predict mu_hat
. //gen expected_count = (1 - pi_hat) * mu_hat
. //egen avg_expected_embargo = mean(expected_count) if embargofull_yes_lag == 1
. //egen avg_expected_no_embargo = mean(expected_count) if embargofull_yes_lag == 0
. twoway (scatter mu_hat MCW_import_state_zeros_lag) if MCW_import_state_zeros_lag<3000 , by(embargofull_yes)
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
{txt}end of do-file

{com}. do "/var/folders/8l/ld6mg8510f5bl1x7fp3d3qgw0000gn/T//SD85839.000000"
{txt}
{com}. ******** Datafile: APPENDIX REPLICATION FILE FOR Embargoes, Weapons and Violence: The Conditional Effects of Arms Embargoes on Civilian Targeting - 2024 **********************
. // (Results are rounded:bdec(3) sdec(3) rdec(3))
. 
. 
. 
. ******** Table A1: Summary Statistics ***************
. summarize One_sidedviolence embargofull_yes_lag MCW_import_state_zeros_lag sa_yes_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag

{txt}    Variable {c |}        Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
One_sidedv~e {c |}{res}      2,078    273.4427    10970.65          0     500000
{txt}embargoful~g {c |}{res}      1,945    .1660668    .3722363          0          1
{txt}MCW_import~g {c |}{res}      1,887    161.1012    398.3728          0       4002
{txt}{space 2}sa_yes_lag {c |}{res}      1,944     .912037    .2833139          0          1
{txt}{space 5}polity2 {c |}{res}      2,038    2.261531     6.82762        -10         10
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
Intrastate~y {c |}{res}      2,078     .213667     .409993          0          1
{txt}{space 5}ethfrac {c |}{res}      2,078    .4175689    .2839518       .001   .9250348
{txt}{space 3}lrexclpop {c |}{res}      2,062     1.94338    1.508305          0   4.524055
{txt}{space 5}regchg3 {c |}{res}      2,078    .1491819    .3563534          0          1
{txt}{space 2}TradeOpen2 {c |}{res}      2,077    1177.005    831.9096          1       2707
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 2}poplog_lag {c |}{res}      2,056    9.373804    1.340599    6.66506   14.06732
{txt}
{com}. 
. **********Table A2:Correlation Matrix Correlation Matrix **************
. pwcorr One_sidedviolence embargofull_yes_lag MCW_import_state_zeros_lag sa_yes_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag, sig

             {txt}{c |} One_si~e embarg.. MCW_im~g sa_yes~g  polity2 Intras~y  ethfrac
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
One_sidedv~e {c |} {res}  1.0000 
             {txt}{c |}
             {c |}
embargoful~g {c |} {res} -0.0073   1.0000 
             {txt}{c |}{res}   0.7473
             {txt}{c |}
MCW_import~g {c |} {res} -0.0101   0.0850   1.0000 
             {txt}{c |}{res}   0.6610   0.0002
             {txt}{c |}
  sa_yes_lag {c |} {res}  0.0068  -0.1102   0.0951   1.0000 
             {txt}{c |}{res}   0.7653   0.0000   0.0000
             {txt}{c |}
     polity2 {c |} {res} -0.0292  -0.2534   0.0556   0.2029   1.0000 
             {txt}{c |}{res}   0.1873   0.0000   0.0168   0.0000
             {txt}{c |}
Intrastate~y {c |} {res}  0.0463   0.1460   0.1013  -0.1160  -0.1478   1.0000 
             {txt}{c |}{res}   0.0347   0.0000   0.0000   0.0000   0.0000
             {txt}{c |}
     ethfrac {c |} {res} -0.0208  -0.0854  -0.1764  -0.0597  -0.2114   0.2008   1.0000 
             {txt}{c |}{res}   0.3428   0.0002   0.0000   0.0085   0.0000   0.0000
             {txt}{c |}
   lrexclpop {c |} {res}  0.0157   0.1579   0.0170  -0.0360  -0.1561   0.2908   0.2594 
             {txt}{c |}{res}   0.4761   0.0000   0.4623   0.1145   0.0000   0.0000   0.0000
             {txt}{c |}
     regchg3 {c |} {res} -0.0080   0.0320  -0.1005  -0.0136   0.0020   0.0421   0.0965 
             {txt}{c |}{res}   0.7141   0.1587   0.0000   0.5494   0.9286   0.0552   0.0000
             {txt}{c |}
  TradeOpen2 {c |} {res}  0.0164  -0.0431  -0.0072   0.2162   0.0649  -0.1189  -0.0225 
             {txt}{c |}{res}   0.4556   0.0574   0.7542   0.0000   0.0034   0.0000   0.3044
             {txt}{c |}
  poplog_lag {c |} {res} -0.0072   0.1448   0.4451   0.1853   0.0157   0.2088   0.0477 
             {txt}{c |}{res}   0.7433   0.0000   0.0000   0.0000   0.4802   0.0000   0.0305
             {txt}{c |}

             {c |} lrexcl~p  regchg3 TradeO~2 poplog~g
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 36}
   lrexclpop {c |} {res}  1.0000 
             {txt}{c |}
             {c |}
     regchg3 {c |} {res}  0.0020   1.0000 
             {txt}{c |}{res}   0.9271
             {txt}{c |}
  TradeOpen2 {c |} {res} -0.0701   0.0153   1.0000 
             {txt}{c |}{res}   0.0014   0.4864
             {txt}{c |}
  poplog_lag {c |} {res}  0.1905  -0.0190  -0.0283   1.0000 
             {txt}{c |}{res}   0.0000   0.3903   0.1998
             {txt}{c |}

{com}. 
. 
. ********Table A3.  Analyzing Impartial Arms Embargoes, MCW Flows, and Other Economic Sanctions
. * Model 6
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.embargofull_yes_lag sanc_imposed_zero_lag sa_yes_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if civilwar_yes ==1, inflate( polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2504.7043}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1550.9435}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1470.0027}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1459.325}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1455.9571}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1455.9227}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1455.9225}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1455.9225}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1455.9225}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1432.3701}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1421.2144}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1410.1503}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1402.3856}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1397.7588}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1397.5601}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1397.5594}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1397.5594}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       895
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       154
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       741

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}11{txt})     = {res}     67.48
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1397.559                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 22}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 23}{c |}{col 35}    Robust
{col 1}    One_sidedviolence{col 23}{c |}      Coef.{col 35}   Std. Err.{col 47}      z{col 55}   P>|z|{col 63}     [95% Con{col 76}f. Interval]
{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence     {txt}{c |}
1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.832195{col 35}{space 2} .5109044{col 46}{space 1}    3.59{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .8308404{col 76}{space 3} 2.833549
{txt}sanc_imposed_zero_lag {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.5811309{col 35}{space 2} .4181884{col 46}{space 1}   -1.39{col 55}{space 3}0.165{col 63}{space 4}-1.400765{col 76}{space 3} .2385033
{txt}{space 11}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .7346056{col 35}{space 2} .5107751{col 46}{space 1}    1.44{col 55}{space 3}0.150{col 63}{space 4}-.2664952{col 76}{space 3} 1.735706
{txt}{space 14}polity2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1589085{col 35}{space 2} .0602722{col 46}{space 1}   -2.64{col 55}{space 3}0.008{col 63}{space 4}-.2770399{col 76}{space 3}-.0407772
{txt}{space 5}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.078163{col 35}{space 2} .3728993{col 46}{space 1}    2.89{col 55}{space 3}0.004{col 63}{space 4}  .347294{col 76}{space 3} 1.809032
{txt}{space 14}ethfrac {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-3.303033{col 35}{space 2} 1.051924{col 46}{space 1}   -3.14{col 55}{space 3}0.002{col 63}{space 4}-5.364765{col 76}{space 3}  -1.2413
{txt}{space 12}lrexclpop {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.1851165{col 35}{space 2} .1956202{col 46}{space 1}   -0.95{col 55}{space 3}0.344{col 63}{space 4}-.5685251{col 76}{space 3} .1982922
{txt}{space 14}regchg3 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0956172{col 35}{space 2} .3490583{col 46}{space 1}    0.27{col 55}{space 3}0.784{col 63}{space 4}-.5885246{col 76}{space 3} .7797589
{txt}{space 11}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}  .001189{col 35}{space 2} .0003347{col 46}{space 1}    3.55{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .0005329{col 76}{space 3} .0018451
{txt}{space 11}poplog_lag {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0974309{col 35}{space 2} .1383836{col 46}{space 1}   -0.70{col 55}{space 3}0.481{col 63}{space 4}-.3686578{col 76}{space 3}  .173796
{txt}{space 3}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0038942{col 35}{space 2} .0075861{col 46}{space 1}   -0.51{col 55}{space 3}0.608{col 63}{space 4}-.0187627{col 76}{space 3} .0109743
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 6.380281{col 35}{space 2} 1.429191{col 46}{space 1}    4.46{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 3.579118{col 76}{space 3} 9.181445
{txt}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate               {txt}{c |}
{space 14}polity2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} .0634189{col 35}{space 2} .0197103{col 46}{space 1}    3.22{col 55}{space 3}0.001{col 63}{space 4} .0247874{col 76}{space 3} .1020504
{txt}{space 5}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-2.151567{col 35}{space 2}  .266629{col 46}{space 1}   -8.07{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} -2.67415{col 76}{space 3}-1.628984
{txt}{space 14}ethfrac {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} -1.80433{col 35}{space 2} .4992169{col 46}{space 1}   -3.61{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4}-2.782777{col 76}{space 3}-.8258828
{txt}{space 12}lrexclpop {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.3132966{col 35}{space 2} .1057634{col 46}{space 1}   -2.96{col 55}{space 3}0.003{col 63}{space 4}-.5205892{col 76}{space 3}-.1060041
{txt}{space 14}regchg3 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.4612279{col 35}{space 2} .3007844{col 46}{space 1}   -1.53{col 55}{space 3}0.125{col 63}{space 4}-1.050754{col 76}{space 3} .1282986
{txt}{space 11}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0001582{col 35}{space 2} .0001503{col 46}{space 1}   -1.05{col 55}{space 3}0.292{col 63}{space 4}-.0004528{col 76}{space 3} .0001363
{txt}{space 11}poplog_lag {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}-.0401226{col 35}{space 2} .0885912{col 46}{space 1}   -0.45{col 55}{space 3}0.651{col 63}{space 4} -.213758{col 76}{space 3} .1335129
{txt}{space 16}_cons {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2}   5.2383{col 35}{space 2} .9810566{col 46}{space 1}    5.34{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} 3.315465{col 76}{space 3} 7.161136
{txt}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 13}/lnalpha {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 1.180712{col 35}{space 2} .2277356{col 46}{space 1}    5.18{col 55}{space 3}0.000{col 63}{space 4} .7343584{col 76}{space 3} 1.627066
{txt}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                alpha {c |}{col 23}{res}{space 2} 3.256692{col 35}{space 2} .7416648{col 63}{space 4} 2.084144{col 76}{space 3}  5.08892
{txt}{hline 22}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * Model 7
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.embargofull_yes_lag sanc_imposed_zero_lag sa_yes_lag MCW_import_state_zeros_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if civilwar_yes ==1, inflate( polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2464.0674}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1516.7471}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1435.5757}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1426.1661}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1422.6532}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1421.6764}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1415.4603}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1397.3769}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1386.6833}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1385.6742}  (backed up)
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1363.7738}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1362.6409}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1362.6327}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1362.6327}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       881
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       151
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       730

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}12{txt})     = {res}     71.02
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1362.633                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 27}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 28}{c |}{col 40}    Robust
{col 1}         One_sidedviolence{col 28}{c |}      Coef.{col 40}   Std. Err.{col 52}      z{col 60}   P>|z|{col 68}     [95% Con{col 81}f. Interval]
{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence          {txt}{c |}
{space 5}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 1.988265{col 40}{space 2} .5231722{col 51}{space 1}    3.80{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}  .962866{col 81}{space 3} 3.013664
{txt}{space 5}sanc_imposed_zero_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} -.614371{col 40}{space 2} .3989982{col 51}{space 1}   -1.54{col 60}{space 3}0.124{col 68}{space 4}-1.396393{col 81}{space 3} .1676511
{txt}{space 16}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .6115996{col 40}{space 2} .5270187{col 51}{space 1}    1.16{col 60}{space 3}0.246{col 68}{space 4} -.421338{col 81}{space 3} 1.644537
{txt}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} -.000367{col 40}{space 2} .0004782{col 51}{space 1}   -0.77{col 60}{space 3}0.443{col 68}{space 4}-.0013044{col 81}{space 3} .0005703
{txt}{space 19}polity2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.1596084{col 40}{space 2} .0608017{col 51}{space 1}   -2.63{col 60}{space 3}0.009{col 68}{space 4}-.2787775{col 81}{space 3}-.0404393
{txt}{space 10}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .8423424{col 40}{space 2} .3415757{col 51}{space 1}    2.47{col 60}{space 3}0.014{col 68}{space 4} .1728664{col 81}{space 3} 1.511818
{txt}{space 19}ethfrac {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-3.860521{col 40}{space 2} 1.128552{col 51}{space 1}   -3.42{col 60}{space 3}0.001{col 68}{space 4}-6.072443{col 81}{space 3}-1.648599
{txt}{space 17}lrexclpop {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.3083385{col 40}{space 2} .2315402{col 51}{space 1}   -1.33{col 60}{space 3}0.183{col 68}{space 4}-.7621489{col 81}{space 3} .1454718
{txt}{space 19}regchg3 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .1393214{col 40}{space 2} .3641971{col 51}{space 1}    0.38{col 60}{space 3}0.702{col 68}{space 4}-.5744918{col 81}{space 3} .8531346
{txt}{space 16}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}  .001029{col 40}{space 2} .0003244{col 51}{space 1}    3.17{col 60}{space 3}0.002{col 68}{space 4} .0003931{col 81}{space 3} .0016648
{txt}{space 16}poplog_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0056533{col 40}{space 2}  .179764{col 51}{space 1}   -0.03{col 60}{space 3}0.975{col 68}{space 4}-.3579843{col 81}{space 3} .3466777
{txt}{space 8}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0047834{col 40}{space 2} .0072774{col 51}{space 1}   -0.66{col 60}{space 3}0.511{col 68}{space 4}-.0190469{col 81}{space 3}   .00948
{txt}{space 21}_cons {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}  6.70679{col 40}{space 2} 1.598558{col 51}{space 1}    4.20{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} 3.573673{col 81}{space 3} 9.839906
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                    {txt}{c |}
{space 19}polity2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0568442{col 40}{space 2} .0195184{col 51}{space 1}    2.91{col 60}{space 3}0.004{col 68}{space 4} .0185888{col 81}{space 3} .0950997
{txt}{space 10}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-2.345539{col 40}{space 2} .2816771{col 51}{space 1}   -8.33{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}-2.897616{col 81}{space 3}-1.793463
{txt}{space 19}ethfrac {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-2.157846{col 40}{space 2} .5193369{col 51}{space 1}   -4.16{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}-3.175728{col 81}{space 3}-1.139964
{txt}{space 17}lrexclpop {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.4028041{col 40}{space 2} .1100289{col 51}{space 1}   -3.66{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}-.6184568{col 81}{space 3}-.1871513
{txt}{space 19}regchg3 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.2995356{col 40}{space 2} .3082575{col 51}{space 1}   -0.97{col 60}{space 3}0.331{col 68}{space 4}-.9037092{col 81}{space 3} .3046381
{txt}{space 16}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0002166{col 40}{space 2} .0001573{col 51}{space 1}   -1.38{col 60}{space 3}0.169{col 68}{space 4} -.000525{col 81}{space 3} .0000917
{txt}{space 16}poplog_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0334352{col 40}{space 2} .0940083{col 51}{space 1}   -0.36{col 60}{space 3}0.722{col 68}{space 4}-.2176881{col 81}{space 3} .1508177
{txt}{space 21}_cons {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 5.864659{col 40}{space 2}   1.0253{col 51}{space 1}    5.72{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} 3.855107{col 81}{space 3}  7.87421
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 18}/lnalpha {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}  1.15374{col 40}{space 2}  .233303{col 51}{space 1}    4.95{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} .6964747{col 81}{space 3} 1.611006
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                     alpha {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 3.170027{col 40}{space 2} .7395769{col 68}{space 4} 2.006666{col 81}{space 3} 5.007845
{txt}{hline 27}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * Model 8
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.embargofull_yes_lag##c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag sanc_imposed_zero_lag sa_yes_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if civilwar_yes ==1, inflate(polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2464.0674}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1516.7471}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1435.5757}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1426.1661}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1422.6532}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1421.6764}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1418.6964}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1394.9061}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1383.093}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1376.8123}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1361.7975}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1360.3491}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1360.3232}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1360.3231}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       881
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       151
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       730

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}13{txt})     = {res}     65.36
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1360.323                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 30}{c |}{col 42}    Robust
{col 1}           One_sidedviolence{col 30}{c |}      Coef.{col 42}   Std. Err.{col 54}      z{col 62}   P>|z|{col 70}     [95% Con{col 83}f. Interval]
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence            {txt}{c |}
{space 7}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 2.193507{col 42}{space 2} .5261815{col 53}{space 1}    4.17{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 1.162211{col 83}{space 3} 3.224804
{txt}{space 2}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}  .000119{col 42}{space 2} .0005947{col 53}{space 1}    0.20{col 62}{space 3}0.841{col 70}{space 4}-.0010466{col 83}{space 3} .0012845
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 9}embargofull_yes_lag#{c |}
c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}
{space 26}1  {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0031355{col 42}{space 2} .0009006{col 53}{space 1}   -3.48{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-.0049006{col 83}{space 3}-.0013704
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 7}sanc_imposed_zero_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.7752931{col 42}{space 2}  .406915{col 53}{space 1}   -1.91{col 62}{space 3}0.057{col 70}{space 4}-1.572832{col 83}{space 3} .0222458
{txt}{space 18}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .7888923{col 42}{space 2} .5247058{col 53}{space 1}    1.50{col 62}{space 3}0.133{col 70}{space 4}-.2395122{col 83}{space 3} 1.817297
{txt}{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.1664342{col 42}{space 2} .0624927{col 53}{space 1}   -2.66{col 62}{space 3}0.008{col 70}{space 4}-.2889176{col 83}{space 3}-.0439507
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .8608494{col 42}{space 2} .3405505{col 53}{space 1}    2.53{col 62}{space 3}0.011{col 70}{space 4} .1933827{col 83}{space 3} 1.528316
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-3.785651{col 42}{space 2} 1.155587{col 53}{space 1}   -3.28{col 62}{space 3}0.001{col 70}{space 4} -6.05056{col 83}{space 3}-1.520742
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.2538701{col 42}{space 2} .2232397{col 53}{space 1}   -1.14{col 62}{space 3}0.255{col 70}{space 4}-.6914118{col 83}{space 3} .1836717
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .1201535{col 42}{space 2}  .357407{col 53}{space 1}    0.34{col 62}{space 3}0.737{col 70}{space 4}-.5803514{col 83}{space 3} .8206584
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0010516{col 42}{space 2} .0003183{col 53}{space 1}    3.30{col 62}{space 3}0.001{col 70}{space 4} .0004277{col 83}{space 3} .0016754
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0560675{col 42}{space 2} .1849103{col 53}{space 1}   -0.30{col 62}{space 3}0.762{col 70}{space 4} -.418485{col 83}{space 3}   .30635
{txt}{space 10}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -.005256{col 42}{space 2} .0069451{col 53}{space 1}   -0.76{col 62}{space 3}0.449{col 70}{space 4}-.0188682{col 83}{space 3} .0083561
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 6.752223{col 42}{space 2}  1.59337{col 53}{space 1}    4.24{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 3.629275{col 83}{space 3} 9.875171
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                      {txt}{c |}
{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0551672{col 42}{space 2} .0201107{col 53}{space 1}    2.74{col 62}{space 3}0.006{col 70}{space 4}  .015751{col 83}{space 3} .0945834
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-2.347309{col 42}{space 2} .2820832{col 53}{space 1}   -8.32{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-2.900181{col 83}{space 3}-1.794436
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-2.100617{col 42}{space 2} .5227417{col 53}{space 1}   -4.02{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-3.125172{col 83}{space 3}-1.076063
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.4059753{col 42}{space 2} .1105615{col 53}{space 1}   -3.67{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-.6226718{col 83}{space 3}-.1892788
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.2929301{col 42}{space 2}  .307553{col 53}{space 1}   -0.95{col 62}{space 3}0.341{col 70}{space 4}-.8957229{col 83}{space 3} .3098627
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0002142{col 42}{space 2} .0001561{col 53}{space 1}   -1.37{col 62}{space 3}0.170{col 70}{space 4}-.0005202{col 83}{space 3} .0000918
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0420964{col 42}{space 2} .0931754{col 53}{space 1}   -0.45{col 62}{space 3}0.651{col 70}{space 4}-.2247168{col 83}{space 3}  .140524
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 5.916747{col 42}{space 2} 1.022759{col 53}{space 1}    5.79{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 3.912177{col 83}{space 3} 7.921317
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}/lnalpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}   1.1426{col 42}{space 2} .2383023{col 53}{space 1}    4.79{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .6755359{col 83}{space 3} 1.609664
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                       alpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 3.134908{col 42}{space 2} .7470556{col 70}{space 4} 1.965086{col 83}{space 3} 5.001129
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * Model 9//check
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.embargofull_yes_lag sanc_imposed_zero_lag sa_yes_lag MCW_import_state_zeros_lag polity2 ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if IntrastateBinary ==1, inflate( polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)
{txt}note: IntrastateBinary omitted because of collinearity

Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1586.598}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1222.4459}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1191.4921}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1184.6951}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1183.9326}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1183.9064}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1183.9064}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1183.9064}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1178.5375}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1161.9832}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1147.1499}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1138.5992}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1135.7339}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1135.704}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1135.7039}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       389
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       128
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       261

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}11{txt})     = {res}     72.86
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1135.704                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 27}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 28}{c |}{col 40}    Robust
{col 1}         One_sidedviolence{col 28}{c |}      Coef.{col 40}   Std. Err.{col 52}      z{col 60}   P>|z|{col 68}     [95% Con{col 81}f. Interval]
{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence          {txt}{c |}
{space 5}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 1.959067{col 40}{space 2} .6671604{col 51}{space 1}    2.94{col 60}{space 3}0.003{col 68}{space 4} .6514563{col 81}{space 3} 3.266677
{txt}{space 5}sanc_imposed_zero_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.4663915{col 40}{space 2} .4272789{col 51}{space 1}   -1.09{col 60}{space 3}0.275{col 68}{space 4}-1.303843{col 81}{space 3} .3710597
{txt}{space 16}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}  .590788{col 40}{space 2} .5366646{col 51}{space 1}    1.10{col 60}{space 3}0.271{col 68}{space 4}-.4610553{col 81}{space 3} 1.642631
{txt}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0004466{col 40}{space 2} .0004995{col 51}{space 1}   -0.89{col 60}{space 3}0.371{col 68}{space 4}-.0014255{col 81}{space 3} .0005323
{txt}{space 19}polity2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.1912734{col 40}{space 2} .0631323{col 51}{space 1}   -3.03{col 60}{space 3}0.002{col 68}{space 4}-.3150104{col 81}{space 3}-.0675364
{txt}{space 19}ethfrac {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-3.491289{col 40}{space 2} 1.148698{col 51}{space 1}   -3.04{col 60}{space 3}0.002{col 68}{space 4}-5.742695{col 81}{space 3}-1.239883
{txt}{space 17}lrexclpop {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.4019426{col 40}{space 2}  .267385{col 51}{space 1}   -1.50{col 60}{space 3}0.133{col 68}{space 4}-.9260075{col 81}{space 3} .1221224
{txt}{space 19}regchg3 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.1198273{col 40}{space 2} .4551411{col 51}{space 1}   -0.26{col 60}{space 3}0.792{col 68}{space 4}-1.011887{col 81}{space 3} .7722329
{txt}{space 16}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}  .001046{col 40}{space 2} .0004105{col 51}{space 1}    2.55{col 60}{space 3}0.011{col 68}{space 4} .0002415{col 81}{space 3} .0018505
{txt}{space 16}poplog_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0091192{col 40}{space 2} .1885581{col 51}{space 1}    0.05{col 60}{space 3}0.961{col 68}{space 4}-.3604479{col 81}{space 3} .3786862
{txt}{space 8}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0049289{col 40}{space 2} .0080361{col 51}{space 1}   -0.61{col 60}{space 3}0.540{col 68}{space 4}-.0206793{col 81}{space 3} .0108215
{txt}{space 21}_cons {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 7.466271{col 40}{space 2} 1.774937{col 51}{space 1}    4.21{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} 3.987459{col 81}{space 3} 10.94508
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                    {txt}{c |}
{space 19}polity2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0566687{col 40}{space 2} .0238102{col 51}{space 1}    2.38{col 60}{space 3}0.017{col 68}{space 4} .0100015{col 81}{space 3} .1033359
{txt}{space 10}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}        0{col 40}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 19}ethfrac {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-1.682919{col 40}{space 2} .5652979{col 51}{space 1}   -2.98{col 60}{space 3}0.003{col 68}{space 4}-2.790883{col 81}{space 3}-.5749558
{txt}{space 17}lrexclpop {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.3900713{col 40}{space 2} .1191484{col 51}{space 1}   -3.27{col 60}{space 3}0.001{col 68}{space 4} -.623598{col 81}{space 3}-.1565447
{txt}{space 19}regchg3 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0934079{col 40}{space 2} .3458297{col 51}{space 1}    0.27{col 60}{space 3}0.787{col 68}{space 4} -.584406{col 81}{space 3} .7712217
{txt}{space 16}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0002341{col 40}{space 2} .0001952{col 51}{space 1}   -1.20{col 60}{space 3}0.230{col 68}{space 4}-.0006168{col 81}{space 3} .0001485
{txt}{space 16}poplog_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .1302705{col 40}{space 2} .1230258{col 51}{space 1}    1.06{col 60}{space 3}0.290{col 68}{space 4}-.1108556{col 81}{space 3} .3713965
{txt}{space 21}_cons {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 1.476589{col 40}{space 2}  1.25887{col 51}{space 1}    1.17{col 60}{space 3}0.241{col 68}{space 4}-.9907508{col 81}{space 3} 3.943929
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 18}/lnalpha {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 1.270604{col 40}{space 2}  .236021{col 51}{space 1}    5.38{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} .8080115{col 81}{space 3} 1.733197
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                     alpha {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 3.563005{col 40}{space 2}  .840944{col 68}{space 4} 2.243442{col 81}{space 3} 5.658715
{txt}{hline 27}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. * Model 10
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.embargofull_yes_lag##c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag sanc_imposed_zero_lag sa_yes_lag polity2 ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if IntrastateBinary ==1, inflate(polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)
{txt}note: IntrastateBinary omitted because of collinearity

Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1586.598}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1222.4459}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1191.4921}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1184.6951}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1183.9326}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1183.9064}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1183.9064}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1183.9064}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1179.8467}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1160.8483}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1146.3811}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1137.6592}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1133.3287}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1133.2919}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1133.2918}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       389
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       128
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       261

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}12{txt})     = {res}     66.80
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1133.292                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 30}{c |}{col 42}    Robust
{col 1}           One_sidedviolence{col 30}{c |}      Coef.{col 42}   Std. Err.{col 54}      z{col 62}   P>|z|{col 70}     [95% Con{col 83}f. Interval]
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence            {txt}{c |}
{space 7}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}  2.17102{col 42}{space 2}  .669088{col 53}{space 1}    3.24{col 62}{space 3}0.001{col 70}{space 4} .8596313{col 83}{space 3} 3.482408
{txt}{space 2}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0000559{col 42}{space 2} .0005871{col 53}{space 1}    0.10{col 62}{space 3}0.924{col 70}{space 4}-.0010947{col 83}{space 3} .0012066
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 9}embargofull_yes_lag#{c |}
c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}
{space 26}1  {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0032584{col 42}{space 2} .0009204{col 53}{space 1}   -3.54{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-.0050624{col 83}{space 3}-.0014543
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 7}sanc_imposed_zero_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.6322265{col 42}{space 2} .4231773{col 53}{space 1}   -1.49{col 62}{space 3}0.135{col 70}{space 4}-1.461639{col 83}{space 3} .1971858
{txt}{space 18}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .7921347{col 42}{space 2} .5257041{col 53}{space 1}    1.51{col 62}{space 3}0.132{col 70}{space 4}-.2382265{col 83}{space 3} 1.822496
{txt}{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.1992435{col 42}{space 2} .0656536{col 53}{space 1}   -3.03{col 62}{space 3}0.002{col 70}{space 4}-.3279223{col 83}{space 3}-.0705647
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-3.457535{col 42}{space 2} 1.168074{col 53}{space 1}   -2.96{col 62}{space 3}0.003{col 70}{space 4}-5.746918{col 83}{space 3}-1.168151
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.3280863{col 42}{space 2} .2573932{col 53}{space 1}   -1.27{col 62}{space 3}0.202{col 70}{space 4}-.8325676{col 83}{space 3}  .176395
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.2264665{col 42}{space 2} .4281534{col 53}{space 1}   -0.53{col 62}{space 3}0.597{col 70}{space 4}-1.065632{col 83}{space 3} .6126987
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0010204{col 42}{space 2}  .000385{col 53}{space 1}    2.65{col 62}{space 3}0.008{col 70}{space 4} .0002658{col 83}{space 3}  .001775
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0431645{col 42}{space 2}   .19082{col 53}{space 1}   -0.23{col 62}{space 3}0.821{col 70}{space 4}-.4171648{col 83}{space 3} .3308358
{txt}{space 10}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0058803{col 42}{space 2} .0074868{col 53}{space 1}   -0.79{col 62}{space 3}0.432{col 70}{space 4}-.0205543{col 83}{space 3} .0087936
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 7.563887{col 42}{space 2} 1.729454{col 53}{space 1}    4.37{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 4.174219{col 83}{space 3} 10.95355
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                      {txt}{c |}
{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0536088{col 42}{space 2} .0247802{col 53}{space 1}    2.16{col 62}{space 3}0.031{col 70}{space 4} .0050405{col 83}{space 3} .1021771
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}        0{col 42}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-1.597966{col 42}{space 2} .5658592{col 53}{space 1}   -2.82{col 62}{space 3}0.005{col 70}{space 4} -2.70703{col 83}{space 3}-.4889029
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.3934615{col 42}{space 2} .1185989{col 53}{space 1}   -3.32{col 62}{space 3}0.001{col 70}{space 4}-.6259111{col 83}{space 3}-.1610119
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0957255{col 42}{space 2} .3419131{col 53}{space 1}    0.28{col 62}{space 3}0.780{col 70}{space 4}-.5744118{col 83}{space 3} .7658629
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0002307{col 42}{space 2} .0001925{col 53}{space 1}   -1.20{col 62}{space 3}0.231{col 70}{space 4} -.000608{col 83}{space 3} .0001466
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .1148007{col 42}{space 2}  .121245{col 53}{space 1}    0.95{col 62}{space 3}0.344{col 70}{space 4}-.1228352{col 83}{space 3} .3524365
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}   1.5768{col 42}{space 2} 1.243995{col 53}{space 1}    1.27{col 62}{space 3}0.205{col 70}{space 4}-.8613859{col 83}{space 3} 4.014985
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}/lnalpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.258245{col 42}{space 2} .2393014{col 53}{space 1}    5.26{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .7892231{col 83}{space 3} 1.727267
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                       alpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 3.519241{col 42}{space 2} .8421593{col 70}{space 4} 2.201685{col 83}{space 3} 5.625262
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. ********Table A4: Impartial Embargoes, MCWs and Civilian Killings Across All States
. *Model 1
. zinb One_sidedviolence embargofull_yes_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag , inflate(polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4117.2784}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1810.0455}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1621.3878}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1570.0585}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1562.0298}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1561.0833}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1560.9809}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1560.979}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1560.979}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1560.979}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1535.7423}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1518.4647}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1516.5295}  (backed up)
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1506.3945}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1501.7187}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1501.639}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1501.6387}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1501.6387}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,889
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       163
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}     1,726

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})      = {res}     61.55
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1501.639                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}  One_sidedviolence{col 21}{c |}      Coef.{col 33}   Std. Err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% Con{col 74}f. Interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence   {txt}{c |}
embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.604046{col 33}{space 2} .4428508{col 44}{space 1}    3.62{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .7360741{col 74}{space 3} 2.472017
{txt}{space 12}polity2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1582009{col 33}{space 2} .0557182{col 44}{space 1}   -2.84{col 53}{space 3}0.005{col 61}{space 4}-.2674066{col 74}{space 3}-.0489953
{txt}{space 3}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .884026{col 33}{space 2} .3233331{col 44}{space 1}    2.73{col 53}{space 3}0.006{col 61}{space 4} .2503048{col 74}{space 3} 1.517747
{txt}{space 12}ethfrac {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-3.486857{col 33}{space 2} .9899645{col 44}{space 1}   -3.52{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-5.427151{col 74}{space 3}-1.546562
{txt}{space 10}lrexclpop {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1865853{col 33}{space 2} .1803426{col 44}{space 1}   -1.03{col 53}{space 3}0.301{col 61}{space 4}-.5400504{col 74}{space 3} .1668798
{txt}{space 12}regchg3 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2775546{col 33}{space 2} .3507516{col 44}{space 1}    0.79{col 53}{space 3}0.429{col 61}{space 4}-.4099059{col 74}{space 3} .9650152
{txt}{space 9}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0013306{col 33}{space 2} .0003261{col 44}{space 1}    4.08{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0006913{col 74}{space 3} .0019698
{txt}{space 9}poplog_lag {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0776697{col 33}{space 2} .1286559{col 44}{space 1}   -0.60{col 53}{space 3}0.546{col 61}{space 4}-.3298306{col 74}{space 3} .1744911
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 6.835581{col 33}{space 2} 1.340091{col 44}{space 1}    5.10{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}  4.20905{col 74}{space 3} 9.462111
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate             {txt}{c |}
{space 12}polity2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0449199{col 33}{space 2}  .018672{col 44}{space 1}    2.41{col 53}{space 3}0.016{col 61}{space 4} .0083235{col 74}{space 3} .0815163
{txt}{space 3}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.570494{col 33}{space 2} .2625747{col 44}{space 1}   -9.79{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-3.085131{col 74}{space 3}-2.055857
{txt}{space 12}ethfrac {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.335888{col 33}{space 2} .5085543{col 44}{space 1}   -4.59{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-3.332636{col 74}{space 3}-1.339139
{txt}{space 10}lrexclpop {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4198941{col 33}{space 2} .0997038{col 44}{space 1}   -4.21{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.6153099{col 74}{space 3}-.2244783
{txt}{space 12}regchg3 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.6216724{col 33}{space 2}  .320202{col 44}{space 1}   -1.94{col 53}{space 3}0.052{col 61}{space 4}-1.249257{col 74}{space 3}  .005912
{txt}{space 9}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.29e-06{col 33}{space 2} .0001397{col 44}{space 1}    0.01{col 53}{space 3}0.993{col 61}{space 4}-.0002725{col 74}{space 3} .0002751
{txt}{space 9}poplog_lag {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0828511{col 33}{space 2} .0802725{col 44}{space 1}   -1.03{col 53}{space 3}0.302{col 61}{space 4}-.2401823{col 74}{space 3} .0744801
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}   6.5067{col 33}{space 2} .8690512{col 44}{space 1}    7.49{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 4.803391{col 74}{space 3} 8.210009
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 11}/lnalpha {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.260427{col 33}{space 2}  .283836{col 44}{space 1}    4.44{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .7041189{col 74}{space 3} 1.816736
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
              alpha {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 3.526928{col 33}{space 2} 1.001069{col 61}{space 4} 2.022064{col 74}{space 3} 6.151745
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *Model 2
. zinb One_sidedviolence embargofull_yes_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq, inflate(polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4117.2784}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1810.0455}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1621.3878}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1570.0585}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1562.0298}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1561.0833}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1560.9809}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1560.979}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1560.979}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1560.979}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1535.372}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1517.8733}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1516.3662}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1504.4098}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1501.3847}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1501.3292}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1501.3291}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1501.3291}  (backed up)
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,889
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       163
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}     1,726

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}9{txt})      = {res}     63.86
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1501.329                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}  One_sidedviolence{col 21}{c |}      Coef.{col 33}   Std. Err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% Con{col 74}f. Interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence   {txt}{c |}
embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  1.77107{col 33}{space 2}  .528168{col 44}{space 1}    3.35{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4} .7358795{col 74}{space 3}  2.80626
{txt}{space 12}polity2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1625601{col 33}{space 2} .0574891{col 44}{space 1}   -2.83{col 53}{space 3}0.005{col 61}{space 4}-.2752366{col 74}{space 3}-.0498835
{txt}{space 3}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .9040064{col 33}{space 2} .3262838{col 44}{space 1}    2.77{col 53}{space 3}0.006{col 61}{space 4} .2645018{col 74}{space 3} 1.543511
{txt}{space 12}ethfrac {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-3.350974{col 33}{space 2}  .980838{col 44}{space 1}   -3.42{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4}-5.273381{col 74}{space 3}-1.428567
{txt}{space 10}lrexclpop {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2053614{col 33}{space 2} .1861169{col 44}{space 1}   -1.10{col 53}{space 3}0.270{col 61}{space 4}-.5701439{col 74}{space 3}  .159421
{txt}{space 12}regchg3 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .187892{col 33}{space 2}  .364558{col 44}{space 1}    0.52{col 53}{space 3}0.606{col 61}{space 4}-.5266285{col 74}{space 3} .9024126
{txt}{space 9}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0013016{col 33}{space 2} .0003213{col 44}{space 1}    4.05{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .0006718{col 74}{space 3} .0019313
{txt}{space 9}poplog_lag {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1057913{col 33}{space 2} .1289893{col 44}{space 1}   -0.82{col 53}{space 3}0.412{col 61}{space 4}-.3586057{col 74}{space 3} .1470231
{txt}{space 1}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.005032{col 33}{space 2} .0068248{col 44}{space 1}   -0.74{col 53}{space 3}0.461{col 61}{space 4}-.0184084{col 74}{space 3} .0083444
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 7.136187{col 33}{space 2} 1.355048{col 44}{space 1}    5.27{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 4.480341{col 74}{space 3} 9.792033
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate             {txt}{c |}
{space 12}polity2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0446892{col 33}{space 2} .0186939{col 44}{space 1}    2.39{col 53}{space 3}0.017{col 61}{space 4} .0080498{col 74}{space 3} .0813286
{txt}{space 3}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.568525{col 33}{space 2} .2620765{col 44}{space 1}   -9.80{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-3.082186{col 74}{space 3}-2.054865
{txt}{space 12}ethfrac {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.322212{col 33}{space 2} .5074607{col 44}{space 1}   -4.58{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-3.316817{col 74}{space 3}-1.327608
{txt}{space 10}lrexclpop {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4206088{col 33}{space 2} .0997988{col 44}{space 1}   -4.21{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.6162108{col 74}{space 3}-.2250067
{txt}{space 12}regchg3 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.6288393{col 33}{space 2} .3217498{col 44}{space 1}   -1.95{col 53}{space 3}0.051{col 61}{space 4}-1.259457{col 74}{space 3} .0017787
{txt}{space 9}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.89e-06{col 33}{space 2} .0001397{col 44}{space 1}   -0.01{col 53}{space 3}0.989{col 61}{space 4}-.0002758{col 74}{space 3}  .000272
{txt}{space 9}poplog_lag {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0857745{col 33}{space 2} .0803707{col 44}{space 1}   -1.07{col 53}{space 3}0.286{col 61}{space 4}-.2432982{col 74}{space 3} .0717492
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 6.535462{col 33}{space 2} .8711161{col 44}{space 1}    7.50{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 4.828106{col 74}{space 3} 8.242818
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 11}/lnalpha {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.255716{col 33}{space 2} .2816492{col 44}{space 1}    4.46{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .7036942{col 74}{space 3} 1.807739
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
              alpha {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 3.510352{col 33}{space 2} .9886878{col 61}{space 4} 2.021206{col 74}{space 3} 6.096645
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * Model 3 
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.embargofull_yes_lag sa_yes_lag MCW_import_state_zeros_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq, inflate( polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4009.0529}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1765.8978}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1628.8846}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1547.4437}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1528.9409}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1525.6745}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.8148}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.4988}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.2806}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.1967}  
Iteration 10:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.1964}  
Iteration 11:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.1964}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.1964}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1519.2578}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1506.6943}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1484.4238}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1469.7822}  (not concave)
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1468.5791}  (not concave)
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1468.3801}  (not concave)
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1468.2914}  (not concave)
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1468.2129}  (not concave)
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1468.175}  (not concave)
Iteration 10:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1468.0125}  (not concave)
Iteration 11:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1467.9575}  (not concave)
Iteration 12:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:  -1467.93}  (not concave)
Iteration 13:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1467.8833}  (not concave)
Iteration 14:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1467.8404}  (not concave)
Iteration 15:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1467.3074}  (not concave)
Iteration 16:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1466.1083}  (not concave)
Iteration 17:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1465.6458}  (not concave)
Iteration 18:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1465.3006}  (not concave)
Iteration 19:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1464.9927}  (not concave)
Iteration 20:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1464.6873}  
Iteration 21:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1463.8942}  
Iteration 22:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1462.7315}  
Iteration 23:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1462.6978}  
Iteration 24:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1462.6978}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,832
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       160
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}     1,672

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}11{txt})     = {res}     70.11
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1462.698                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 27}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 28}{c |}{col 40}    Robust
{col 1}         One_sidedviolence{col 28}{c |}      Coef.{col 40}   Std. Err.{col 52}      z{col 60}   P>|z|{col 68}     [95% Con{col 81}f. Interval]
{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence          {txt}{c |}
{space 5}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 1.998427{col 40}{space 2} .5152837{col 51}{space 1}    3.88{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} .9884889{col 81}{space 3} 3.008364
{txt}{space 16}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}  .593342{col 40}{space 2}  .516662{col 51}{space 1}    1.15{col 60}{space 3}0.251{col 68}{space 4}-.4192969{col 81}{space 3} 1.605981
{txt}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0004356{col 40}{space 2} .0004556{col 51}{space 1}   -0.96{col 60}{space 3}0.339{col 68}{space 4}-.0013285{col 81}{space 3} .0004573
{txt}{space 19}polity2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.1680459{col 40}{space 2} .0585034{col 51}{space 1}   -2.87{col 60}{space 3}0.004{col 68}{space 4}-.2827104{col 81}{space 3}-.0533813
{txt}{space 10}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .8530349{col 40}{space 2} .3259001{col 51}{space 1}    2.62{col 60}{space 3}0.009{col 68}{space 4} .2142824{col 81}{space 3} 1.491787
{txt}{space 19}ethfrac {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-3.561983{col 40}{space 2} 1.045748{col 51}{space 1}   -3.41{col 60}{space 3}0.001{col 68}{space 4} -5.61161{col 81}{space 3}-1.512355
{txt}{space 17}lrexclpop {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} -.324832{col 40}{space 2} .2083604{col 51}{space 1}   -1.56{col 60}{space 3}0.119{col 68}{space 4}-.7332109{col 81}{space 3} .0835468
{txt}{space 19}regchg3 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}  .148672{col 40}{space 2} .3626853{col 51}{space 1}    0.41{col 60}{space 3}0.682{col 68}{space 4}-.5621781{col 81}{space 3} .8595221
{txt}{space 16}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0011571{col 40}{space 2} .0003126{col 51}{space 1}    3.70{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} .0005445{col 81}{space 3} .0017697
{txt}{space 16}poplog_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0578598{col 40}{space 2}  .184563{col 51}{space 1}   -0.31{col 60}{space 3}0.754{col 68}{space 4}-.4195967{col 81}{space 3} .3038771
{txt}{space 8}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0042349{col 40}{space 2} .0070045{col 51}{space 1}   -0.60{col 60}{space 3}0.545{col 68}{space 4}-.0179636{col 81}{space 3} .0094937
{txt}{space 21}_cons {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 6.843863{col 40}{space 2} 1.507173{col 51}{space 1}    4.54{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} 3.889859{col 81}{space 3} 9.797867
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                    {txt}{c |}
{space 19}polity2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0395679{col 40}{space 2} .0189186{col 51}{space 1}    2.09{col 60}{space 3}0.036{col 68}{space 4}  .002488{col 81}{space 3} .0766477
{txt}{space 10}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-2.650754{col 40}{space 2} .2775872{col 51}{space 1}   -9.55{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}-3.194815{col 81}{space 3}-2.106693
{txt}{space 19}ethfrac {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-2.581632{col 40}{space 2} .5339833{col 51}{space 1}   -4.83{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} -3.62822{col 81}{space 3}-1.535044
{txt}{space 17}lrexclpop {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.4848873{col 40}{space 2} .1046849{col 51}{space 1}   -4.63{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} -.690066{col 81}{space 3}-.2797086
{txt}{space 19}regchg3 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.4642397{col 40}{space 2} .3219127{col 51}{space 1}   -1.44{col 60}{space 3}0.149{col 68}{space 4}-1.095177{col 81}{space 3} .1666976
{txt}{space 16}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0000474{col 40}{space 2} .0001461{col 51}{space 1}   -0.32{col 60}{space 3}0.745{col 68}{space 4}-.0003338{col 81}{space 3}  .000239
{txt}{space 16}poplog_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0855444{col 40}{space 2} .0862246{col 51}{space 1}   -0.99{col 60}{space 3}0.321{col 68}{space 4}-.2545415{col 81}{space 3} .0834527
{txt}{space 21}_cons {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 6.989063{col 40}{space 2} .9152888{col 51}{space 1}    7.64{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}  5.19513{col 81}{space 3} 8.782996
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 18}/lnalpha {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 1.204447{col 40}{space 2} .2876861{col 51}{space 1}    4.19{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} .6405925{col 81}{space 3} 1.768301
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                     alpha {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 3.334914{col 40}{space 2} .9594082{col 68}{space 4} 1.897605{col 81}{space 3} 5.860888
{txt}{hline 27}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * Model 4
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.embargofull_yes_lag##c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag sa_yes_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq, inflate(polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4009.0529}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1765.8978}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1628.8846}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1547.4437}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1528.9409}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1525.6745}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.8148}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.4988}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.2806}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.1967}  
Iteration 10:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.1964}  
Iteration 11:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.1964}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.1964}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1516.4357}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1491.5842}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1475.8839}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1465.197}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1464.7536}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1463.5368}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1460.9248}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1460.905}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1460.905}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,832
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       160
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}     1,672

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}12{txt})     = {res}     69.77
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1460.905                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 30}{c |}{col 42}    Robust
{col 1}           One_sidedviolence{col 30}{c |}      Coef.{col 42}   Std. Err.{col 54}      z{col 62}   P>|z|{col 70}     [95% Con{col 83}f. Interval]
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence            {txt}{c |}
{space 7}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 2.206067{col 42}{space 2} .5639053{col 53}{space 1}    3.91{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 1.100833{col 83}{space 3} 3.311301
{txt}{space 2}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0001597{col 42}{space 2} .0004508{col 53}{space 1}   -0.35{col 62}{space 3}0.723{col 70}{space 4}-.0010433{col 83}{space 3} .0007238
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 9}embargofull_yes_lag#{c |}
c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}
{space 26}1  {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0026517{col 42}{space 2} .0008664{col 53}{space 1}   -3.06{col 62}{space 3}0.002{col 70}{space 4}-.0043497{col 83}{space 3}-.0009536
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 18}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .7581418{col 42}{space 2} .5167856{col 53}{space 1}    1.47{col 62}{space 3}0.142{col 70}{space 4}-.2547394{col 83}{space 3} 1.771023
{txt}{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.1719828{col 42}{space 2}  .059881{col 53}{space 1}   -2.87{col 62}{space 3}0.004{col 70}{space 4}-.2893474{col 83}{space 3}-.0546181
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .8013592{col 42}{space 2}  .333271{col 53}{space 1}    2.40{col 62}{space 3}0.016{col 70}{space 4} .1481602{col 83}{space 3} 1.454558
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-3.530653{col 42}{space 2} 1.076882{col 53}{space 1}   -3.28{col 62}{space 3}0.001{col 70}{space 4}-5.641303{col 83}{space 3}-1.420003
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -.287384{col 42}{space 2} .2039743{col 53}{space 1}   -1.41{col 62}{space 3}0.159{col 70}{space 4}-.6871662{col 83}{space 3} .1123982
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0974617{col 42}{space 2} .3668037{col 53}{space 1}    0.27{col 62}{space 3}0.790{col 70}{space 4}-.6214603{col 83}{space 3} .8163838
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0011496{col 42}{space 2} .0003057{col 53}{space 1}    3.76{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .0005504{col 83}{space 3} .0017488
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.1021141{col 42}{space 2} .1884503{col 53}{space 1}   -0.54{col 62}{space 3}0.588{col 70}{space 4}-.4714699{col 83}{space 3} .2672417
{txt}{space 10}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0049094{col 42}{space 2} .0070488{col 53}{space 1}   -0.70{col 62}{space 3}0.486{col 70}{space 4}-.0187248{col 83}{space 3}  .008906
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 7.019849{col 42}{space 2} 1.553763{col 53}{space 1}    4.52{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 3.974529{col 83}{space 3} 10.06517
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                      {txt}{c |}
{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0381824{col 42}{space 2} .0196495{col 53}{space 1}    1.94{col 62}{space 3}0.052{col 70}{space 4}  -.00033{col 83}{space 3} .0766948
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-2.663062{col 42}{space 2}  .287107{col 53}{space 1}   -9.28{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-3.225781{col 83}{space 3}-2.100343
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-2.544106{col 42}{space 2} .5456435{col 53}{space 1}   -4.66{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-3.613548{col 83}{space 3}-1.474664
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.4888607{col 42}{space 2} .1063877{col 53}{space 1}   -4.60{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-.6973767{col 83}{space 3}-.2803447
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.4672405{col 42}{space 2} .3266604{col 53}{space 1}   -1.43{col 62}{space 3}0.153{col 70}{space 4}-1.107483{col 83}{space 3} .1730022
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0000443{col 42}{space 2} .0001466{col 53}{space 1}   -0.30{col 62}{space 3}0.762{col 70}{space 4}-.0003317{col 83}{space 3}  .000243
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0957201{col 42}{space 2} .0872791{col 53}{space 1}   -1.10{col 62}{space 3}0.273{col 70}{space 4}-.2667841{col 83}{space 3} .0753439
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 7.066686{col 42}{space 2} .9228564{col 53}{space 1}    7.66{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 5.257921{col 83}{space 3} 8.875452
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}/lnalpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.216907{col 42}{space 2} .3135763{col 53}{space 1}    3.88{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .6023083{col 83}{space 3} 1.831505
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                       alpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 3.376726{col 42}{space 2} 1.058861{col 70}{space 4}  1.82633{col 83}{space 3} 6.243274
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. ********Table A5: Impartial Embargoes (Controlling for Conflict Intensity)
. *Model 1
. zinb One_sidedviolence embargofull_yes_lag L2Battledeaths_Best polity2   ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if civilwar_yes ==1, inflate(polity2  ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2503.1876}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1608.8328}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1525.9907}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1507.8829}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1505.585}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1505.5551}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1505.5551}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1505.5551}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1492.9327}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1473.8203}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1464.3152}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1463.7636}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1449.1646}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1447.9873}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1447.9798}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1447.9798}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       894
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       154
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       740

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}9{txt})      = {res}     60.65
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -1447.98                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}  One_sidedviolence{col 21}{c |}      Coef.{col 33}   Std. Err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% Con{col 74}f. Interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence   {txt}{c |}
embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.697691{col 33}{space 2} .5720997{col 44}{space 1}    2.97{col 53}{space 3}0.003{col 61}{space 4} .5763958{col 74}{space 3} 2.818985
{txt}L2Battledeaths_Best {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0000993{col 33}{space 2} .0000508{col 44}{space 1}   -1.95{col 53}{space 3}0.051{col 61}{space 4}-.0001989{col 74}{space 3} 4.08e-07
{txt}{space 12}polity2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1858485{col 33}{space 2} .0727232{col 44}{space 1}   -2.56{col 53}{space 3}0.011{col 61}{space 4}-.3283834{col 74}{space 3}-.0433137
{txt}{space 12}ethfrac {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-3.755428{col 33}{space 2} 1.137913{col 44}{space 1}   -3.30{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4}-5.985697{col 74}{space 3}-1.525159
{txt}{space 10}lrexclpop {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1758278{col 33}{space 2} .2082424{col 44}{space 1}   -0.84{col 53}{space 3}0.398{col 61}{space 4}-.5839753{col 74}{space 3} .2323198
{txt}{space 12}regchg3 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0235528{col 33}{space 2} .3810598{col 44}{space 1}   -0.06{col 53}{space 3}0.951{col 61}{space 4}-.7704164{col 74}{space 3} .7233107
{txt}{space 9}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0010784{col 33}{space 2} .0003227{col 44}{space 1}    3.34{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4} .0004459{col 74}{space 3} .0017109
{txt}{space 9}poplog_lag {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0266542{col 33}{space 2} .1376769{col 44}{space 1}    0.19{col 53}{space 3}0.846{col 61}{space 4}-.2431875{col 74}{space 3} .2964958
{txt}{space 1}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0036642{col 33}{space 2} .0072727{col 44}{space 1}   -0.50{col 53}{space 3}0.614{col 61}{space 4}-.0179184{col 74}{space 3} .0105901
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 7.129798{col 33}{space 2} 1.483468{col 44}{space 1}    4.81{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 4.222254{col 74}{space 3} 10.03734
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate             {txt}{c |}
{space 12}polity2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0628456{col 33}{space 2} .0185316{col 44}{space 1}    3.39{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4} .0265243{col 74}{space 3} .0991669
{txt}{space 12}ethfrac {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.620426{col 33}{space 2} .4717296{col 44}{space 1}   -3.44{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4}-2.544999{col 74}{space 3}-.6958529
{txt}{space 10}lrexclpop {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3489056{col 33}{space 2} .1017442{col 44}{space 1}   -3.43{col 53}{space 3}0.001{col 61}{space 4}-.5483206{col 74}{space 3}-.1494907
{txt}{space 12}regchg3 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3710083{col 33}{space 2} .2485273{col 44}{space 1}   -1.49{col 53}{space 3}0.135{col 61}{space 4}-.8581128{col 74}{space 3} .1160962
{txt}{space 9}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0001124{col 33}{space 2} .0001331{col 44}{space 1}    0.84{col 53}{space 3}0.398{col 61}{space 4}-.0001485{col 74}{space 3} .0003733
{txt}{space 9}poplog_lag {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1875242{col 33}{space 2} .0772047{col 44}{space 1}   -2.43{col 53}{space 3}0.015{col 61}{space 4}-.3388426{col 74}{space 3}-.0362059
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 5.024615{col 33}{space 2} .8872742{col 44}{space 1}    5.66{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}  3.28559{col 74}{space 3} 6.763641
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 11}/lnalpha {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.233705{col 33}{space 2}  .225347{col 44}{space 1}    5.47{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .7920326{col 74}{space 3} 1.675377
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
              alpha {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 3.433927{col 33}{space 2} .7738254{col 61}{space 4}  2.20788{col 74}{space 3} 5.340807
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *Model 2
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.embargofull_yes_lag L2Battledeaths_Best sa_yes_lag MCW_import_state_zeros_lag polity2  ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if civilwar_yes ==1, inflate( polity2 ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2462.5499}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1577.3045}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:  -1495.75}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1478.1385}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1476.0775}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1476.0349}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1476.0348}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1476.0348}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1474.6304}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1462.7388}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1444.4671}  (not concave)
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1434.4555}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1424.3539}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1420.9345}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1415.7441}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1415.6815}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1415.6815}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       880
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       151
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       729

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}11{txt})     = {res}     73.11
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1415.681                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 27}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 28}{c |}{col 40}    Robust
{col 1}         One_sidedviolence{col 28}{c |}      Coef.{col 40}   Std. Err.{col 52}      z{col 60}   P>|z|{col 68}     [95% Con{col 81}f. Interval]
{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence          {txt}{c |}
{space 5}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 1.935283{col 40}{space 2} .5581656{col 51}{space 1}    3.47{col 60}{space 3}0.001{col 68}{space 4} .8412982{col 81}{space 3} 3.029267
{txt}{space 7}L2Battledeaths_Best {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0000996{col 40}{space 2} .0000413{col 51}{space 1}   -2.42{col 60}{space 3}0.016{col 68}{space 4}-.0001805{col 81}{space 3}-.0000188
{txt}{space 16}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .4805556{col 40}{space 2} .5041252{col 51}{space 1}    0.95{col 60}{space 3}0.340{col 68}{space 4}-.5075116{col 81}{space 3} 1.468623
{txt}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0003762{col 40}{space 2} .0004653{col 51}{space 1}   -0.81{col 60}{space 3}0.419{col 68}{space 4}-.0012881{col 81}{space 3} .0005358
{txt}{space 19}polity2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.1849407{col 40}{space 2} .0715967{col 51}{space 1}   -2.58{col 60}{space 3}0.010{col 68}{space 4}-.3252677{col 81}{space 3}-.0446137
{txt}{space 19}ethfrac {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-3.947195{col 40}{space 2} 1.131747{col 51}{space 1}   -3.49{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}-6.165378{col 81}{space 3}-1.729013
{txt}{space 17}lrexclpop {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.3115457{col 40}{space 2} .2415091{col 51}{space 1}   -1.29{col 60}{space 3}0.197{col 68}{space 4}-.7848948{col 81}{space 3} .1618033
{txt}{space 19}regchg3 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0135357{col 40}{space 2} .3659115{col 51}{space 1}    0.04{col 60}{space 3}0.970{col 68}{space 4}-.7036376{col 81}{space 3} .7307089
{txt}{space 16}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0009413{col 40}{space 2} .0003149{col 51}{space 1}    2.99{col 60}{space 3}0.003{col 68}{space 4} .0003242{col 81}{space 3} .0015584
{txt}{space 16}poplog_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0472945{col 40}{space 2} .1936031{col 51}{space 1}    0.24{col 60}{space 3}0.807{col 68}{space 4}-.3321606{col 81}{space 3} .4267496
{txt}{space 8}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0036703{col 40}{space 2}  .007285{col 51}{space 1}   -0.50{col 60}{space 3}0.614{col 68}{space 4}-.0179487{col 81}{space 3} .0106082
{txt}{space 21}_cons {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 7.212809{col 40}{space 2} 1.715924{col 51}{space 1}    4.20{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}  3.84966{col 81}{space 3} 10.57596
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                    {txt}{c |}
{space 19}polity2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0575105{col 40}{space 2} .0181416{col 51}{space 1}    3.17{col 60}{space 3}0.002{col 68}{space 4} .0219536{col 81}{space 3} .0930675
{txt}{space 19}ethfrac {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-1.800402{col 40}{space 2} .4889371{col 51}{space 1}   -3.68{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}-2.758701{col 81}{space 3} -.842103
{txt}{space 17}lrexclpop {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.4111308{col 40}{space 2} .1070881{col 51}{space 1}   -3.84{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}-.6210197{col 81}{space 3} -.201242
{txt}{space 19}regchg3 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.2433462{col 40}{space 2} .2494895{col 51}{space 1}   -0.98{col 60}{space 3}0.329{col 68}{space 4}-.7323366{col 81}{space 3} .2456442
{txt}{space 16}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0000843{col 40}{space 2} .0001372{col 51}{space 1}    0.61{col 60}{space 3}0.539{col 68}{space 4}-.0001846{col 81}{space 3} .0003533
{txt}{space 16}poplog_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.1963693{col 40}{space 2} .0793543{col 51}{space 1}   -2.47{col 60}{space 3}0.013{col 68}{space 4}-.3519008{col 81}{space 3}-.0408378
{txt}{space 21}_cons {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 5.457503{col 40}{space 2}  .926595{col 51}{space 1}    5.89{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}  3.64141{col 81}{space 3} 7.273596
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 18}/lnalpha {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 1.161109{col 40}{space 2} .2200792{col 51}{space 1}    5.28{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} .7297618{col 81}{space 3} 1.592456
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                     alpha {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 3.193473{col 40}{space 2} .7028171{col 68}{space 4} 2.074586{col 81}{space 3} 4.915809
{txt}{hline 27}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *Model 3
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.embargofull_yes_lag##c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag L2Battledeaths_Best sa_yes_lag polity2  ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if civilwar_yes ==1, inflate(polity2  ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2462.5499}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1577.3045}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:  -1495.75}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1478.1385}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1476.0775}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1476.0349}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1476.0348}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1476.0348}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1474.6101}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1462.7355}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1444.4413}  (not concave)
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1434.6081}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1426.0049}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1415.7202}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1413.8939}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1413.8573}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1413.8573}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       880
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       151
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       729

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}12{txt})     = {res}     82.87
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1413.857                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 30}{c |}{col 42}    Robust
{col 1}           One_sidedviolence{col 30}{c |}      Coef.{col 42}   Std. Err.{col 54}      z{col 62}   P>|z|{col 70}     [95% Con{col 83}f. Interval]
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence            {txt}{c |}
{space 7}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 2.079348{col 42}{space 2} .5616397{col 53}{space 1}    3.70{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .9785542{col 83}{space 3} 3.180141
{txt}{space 2}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0000918{col 42}{space 2} .0004528{col 53}{space 1}   -0.20{col 62}{space 3}0.839{col 70}{space 4}-.0009793{col 83}{space 3} .0007956
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 9}embargofull_yes_lag#{c |}
c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}
{space 26}1  {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0028488{col 42}{space 2} .0008137{col 53}{space 1}   -3.50{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-.0044437{col 83}{space 3}-.0012539
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 9}L2Battledeaths_Best {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0001078{col 42}{space 2} .0000327{col 53}{space 1}   -3.30{col 62}{space 3}0.001{col 70}{space 4}-.0001719{col 83}{space 3}-.0000437
{txt}{space 18}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .6149558{col 42}{space 2} .4991824{col 53}{space 1}    1.23{col 62}{space 3}0.218{col 70}{space 4}-.3634237{col 83}{space 3} 1.593335
{txt}{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.1915169{col 42}{space 2} .0727548{col 53}{space 1}   -2.63{col 62}{space 3}0.008{col 70}{space 4}-.3341138{col 83}{space 3}-.0489201
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-3.933957{col 42}{space 2} 1.147608{col 53}{space 1}   -3.43{col 62}{space 3}0.001{col 70}{space 4}-6.183227{col 83}{space 3}-1.684687
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.2641259{col 42}{space 2} .2350624{col 53}{space 1}   -1.12{col 62}{space 3}0.261{col 70}{space 4}-.7248396{col 83}{space 3} .1965879
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0185049{col 42}{space 2} .3657094{col 53}{space 1}   -0.05{col 62}{space 3}0.960{col 70}{space 4}-.7352822{col 83}{space 3} .6982724
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0009446{col 42}{space 2} .0003092{col 53}{space 1}    3.06{col 62}{space 3}0.002{col 70}{space 4} .0003386{col 83}{space 3} .0015506
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0217046{col 42}{space 2} .1922852{col 53}{space 1}    0.11{col 62}{space 3}0.910{col 70}{space 4}-.3551675{col 83}{space 3} .3985767
{txt}{space 10}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0035488{col 42}{space 2} .0069913{col 53}{space 1}   -0.51{col 62}{space 3}0.612{col 70}{space 4}-.0172515{col 83}{space 3} .0101539
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 7.162882{col 42}{space 2} 1.683551{col 53}{space 1}    4.25{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 3.863182{col 83}{space 3} 10.46258
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                      {txt}{c |}
{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0565281{col 42}{space 2} .0184952{col 53}{space 1}    3.06{col 62}{space 3}0.002{col 70}{space 4} .0202781{col 83}{space 3} .0927781
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-1.772396{col 42}{space 2} .4913396{col 53}{space 1}   -3.61{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-2.735404{col 83}{space 3}-.8093885
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.4126554{col 42}{space 2} .1076906{col 53}{space 1}   -3.83{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-.6237252{col 83}{space 3}-.2015856
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -.241102{col 42}{space 2} .2486774{col 53}{space 1}   -0.97{col 62}{space 3}0.332{col 70}{space 4}-.7285007{col 83}{space 3} .2462966
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0000863{col 42}{space 2} .0001361{col 53}{space 1}    0.63{col 62}{space 3}0.526{col 70}{space 4}-.0001804{col 83}{space 3} .0003531
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}  -.20074{col 42}{space 2} .0788559{col 53}{space 1}   -2.55{col 62}{space 3}0.011{col 70}{space 4}-.3552947{col 83}{space 3}-.0461853
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 5.483127{col 42}{space 2} .9211445{col 53}{space 1}    5.95{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 3.677717{col 83}{space 3} 7.288537
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}/lnalpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.148018{col 42}{space 2} .2205643{col 53}{space 1}    5.20{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .7157203{col 83}{space 3} 1.580316
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                       alpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}  3.15194{col 42}{space 2} .6952054{col 70}{space 4}  2.04566{col 83}{space 3} 4.856492
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. ********Table A6: Impartial Embargoes and Rebel-perpetrated One-sided Violence
. 
. *Model 1
. zinb rebel_osv embargofull_yes_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if civilwar_yes ==1, inflate(polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -2208.114}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1670.0249}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1544.5507}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1495.3275}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1493.7264}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1493.7258}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1493.7258}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1493.7258}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1467.8978}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1462.7857}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1462.6648}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1462.6646}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1462.6646}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       895
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       181
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       714

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}9{txt})      = {res}     86.75
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1462.665                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}          rebel_osv{col 21}{c |}      Coef.{col 33}   Std. Err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% Con{col 74}f. Interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}rebel_osv           {txt}{c |}
embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1310674{col 33}{space 2} .2420893{col 44}{space 1}    0.54{col 53}{space 3}0.588{col 61}{space 4}-.3434188{col 74}{space 3} .6055536
{txt}{space 12}polity2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0490634{col 33}{space 2} .0215161{col 44}{space 1}   -2.28{col 53}{space 3}0.023{col 61}{space 4}-.0912342{col 74}{space 3}-.0068927
{txt}{space 3}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .8315716{col 33}{space 2} .3313337{col 44}{space 1}    2.51{col 53}{space 3}0.012{col 61}{space 4} .1821695{col 74}{space 3} 1.480974
{txt}{space 12}ethfrac {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6161124{col 33}{space 2} .3140916{col 44}{space 1}    1.96{col 53}{space 3}0.050{col 61}{space 4} .0005041{col 74}{space 3} 1.231721
{txt}{space 10}lrexclpop {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2395523{col 33}{space 2}   .06063{col 44}{space 1}    3.95{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} .1207198{col 74}{space 3} .3583848
{txt}{space 12}regchg3 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0734411{col 33}{space 2} .1847084{col 44}{space 1}   -0.40{col 53}{space 3}0.691{col 61}{space 4}-.4354629{col 74}{space 3} .2885808
{txt}{space 9}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0001992{col 33}{space 2}  .000131{col 44}{space 1}   -1.52{col 53}{space 3}0.128{col 61}{space 4} -.000456{col 74}{space 3} .0000575
{txt}{space 9}poplog_lag {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1926753{col 33}{space 2} .0661928{col 44}{space 1}    2.91{col 53}{space 3}0.004{col 61}{space 4} .0629398{col 74}{space 3} .3224108
{txt}{space 1}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0004007{col 33}{space 2} .0032814{col 44}{space 1}   -0.12{col 53}{space 3}0.903{col 61}{space 4}-.0068322{col 74}{space 3} .0060307
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.848534{col 33}{space 2} .6791748{col 44}{space 1}    2.72{col 53}{space 3}0.006{col 61}{space 4}  .517376{col 74}{space 3} 3.179692
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate             {txt}{c |}
{space 12}polity2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0246354{col 33}{space 2} .0171283{col 44}{space 1}   -1.44{col 53}{space 3}0.150{col 61}{space 4}-.0582063{col 74}{space 3} .0089355
{txt}{space 3}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-3.219316{col 33}{space 2} .3059426{col 44}{space 1}  -10.52{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-3.818953{col 74}{space 3} -2.61968
{txt}{space 12}ethfrac {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6305574{col 33}{space 2} .3960543{col 44}{space 1}    1.59{col 53}{space 3}0.111{col 61}{space 4}-.1456948{col 74}{space 3}  1.40681
{txt}{space 10}lrexclpop {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1461441{col 33}{space 2} .0801322{col 44}{space 1}   -1.82{col 53}{space 3}0.068{col 61}{space 4}-.3032003{col 74}{space 3} .0109121
{txt}{space 12}regchg3 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0545834{col 33}{space 2} .2579375{col 44}{space 1}   -0.21{col 53}{space 3}0.832{col 61}{space 4}-.5601317{col 74}{space 3} .4509648
{txt}{space 9}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0000764{col 33}{space 2} .0001439{col 44}{space 1}    0.53{col 53}{space 3}0.596{col 61}{space 4}-.0002056{col 74}{space 3} .0003584
{txt}{space 9}poplog_lag {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.368045{col 33}{space 2}  .079611{col 44}{space 1}   -4.62{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.5240797{col 74}{space 3}-.2120104
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 7.219917{col 33}{space 2} .8273714{col 44}{space 1}    8.73{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 5.598299{col 74}{space 3} 8.841535
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 11}/lnalpha {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2042144{col 33}{space 2} .0862057{col 44}{space 1}   -2.37{col 53}{space 3}0.018{col 61}{space 4}-.3731746{col 74}{space 3}-.0352543
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
              alpha {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .8152875{col 33}{space 2} .0702825{col 61}{space 4}  .688545{col 74}{space 3} .9653599
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *Model 2
. zinb rebel_osv i.embargofull_yes_lag sa_yes_lag MCW_import_state_zeros_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if civilwar_yes ==1, inflate( polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2187.9462}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1665.9817}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1527.2806}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1493.8315}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1493.0543}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1493.0522}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1493.0522}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1493.0522}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1465.8888}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1461.3025}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1461.2314}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1461.2313}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       881
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       181
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       700

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}11{txt})     = {res}     93.74
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1461.231                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 27}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 28}{c |}{col 40}    Robust
{col 1}                 rebel_osv{col 28}{c |}      Coef.{col 40}   Std. Err.{col 52}      z{col 60}   P>|z|{col 68}     [95% Con{col 81}f. Interval]
{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}rebel_osv                  {txt}{c |}
{space 5}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0390276{col 40}{space 2} .2515185{col 51}{space 1}    0.16{col 60}{space 3}0.877{col 68}{space 4}-.4539396{col 81}{space 3} .5319949
{txt}{space 16}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.1172272{col 40}{space 2}  .232938{col 51}{space 1}   -0.50{col 60}{space 3}0.615{col 68}{space 4}-.5737773{col 81}{space 3} .3393228
{txt}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0001874{col 40}{space 2} .0001425{col 51}{space 1}    1.31{col 60}{space 3}0.189{col 68}{space 4} -.000092{col 81}{space 3} .0004668
{txt}{space 19}polity2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0506314{col 40}{space 2} .0225389{col 51}{space 1}   -2.25{col 60}{space 3}0.025{col 68}{space 4}-.0948068{col 81}{space 3}-.0064561
{txt}{space 10}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .7928681{col 40}{space 2} .3285271{col 51}{space 1}    2.41{col 60}{space 3}0.016{col 68}{space 4} .1489667{col 81}{space 3} 1.436769
{txt}{space 19}ethfrac {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .6305657{col 40}{space 2} .3129803{col 51}{space 1}    2.01{col 60}{space 3}0.044{col 68}{space 4} .0171356{col 81}{space 3} 1.243996
{txt}{space 17}lrexclpop {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}  .264615{col 40}{space 2} .0662829{col 51}{space 1}    3.99{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} .1347028{col 81}{space 3} .3945272
{txt}{space 19}regchg3 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0505134{col 40}{space 2} .1894429{col 51}{space 1}   -0.27{col 60}{space 3}0.790{col 68}{space 4}-.4218147{col 81}{space 3} .3207879
{txt}{space 16}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0001725{col 40}{space 2} .0001315{col 51}{space 1}   -1.31{col 60}{space 3}0.190{col 68}{space 4}-.0004303{col 81}{space 3} .0000853
{txt}{space 16}poplog_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .1568406{col 40}{space 2} .0799222{col 51}{space 1}    1.96{col 60}{space 3}0.050{col 68}{space 4}  .000196{col 81}{space 3} .3134853
{txt}{space 8}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0002229{col 40}{space 2} .0033383{col 51}{space 1}    0.07{col 60}{space 3}0.947{col 68}{space 4}-.0063201{col 81}{space 3} .0067658
{txt}{space 21}_cons {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}  2.19879{col 40}{space 2} .7889315{col 51}{space 1}    2.79{col 60}{space 3}0.005{col 68}{space 4} .6525132{col 81}{space 3} 3.745068
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                    {txt}{c |}
{space 19}polity2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0245602{col 40}{space 2} .0171415{col 51}{space 1}   -1.43{col 60}{space 3}0.152{col 68}{space 4} -.058157{col 81}{space 3} .0090365
{txt}{space 10}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-3.209769{col 40}{space 2} .3055567{col 51}{space 1}  -10.50{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}-3.808649{col 81}{space 3}-2.610889
{txt}{space 19}ethfrac {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .6606133{col 40}{space 2} .3970572{col 51}{space 1}    1.66{col 60}{space 3}0.096{col 68}{space 4}-.1176045{col 81}{space 3} 1.438831
{txt}{space 17}lrexclpop {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.1359376{col 40}{space 2} .0806468{col 51}{space 1}   -1.69{col 60}{space 3}0.092{col 68}{space 4}-.2940024{col 81}{space 3} .0221272
{txt}{space 19}regchg3 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} -.060828{col 40}{space 2} .2589425{col 51}{space 1}   -0.23{col 60}{space 3}0.814{col 68}{space 4}-.5683461{col 81}{space 3}   .44669
{txt}{space 16}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0000791{col 40}{space 2} .0001433{col 51}{space 1}    0.55{col 60}{space 3}0.581{col 68}{space 4}-.0002019{col 81}{space 3}   .00036
{txt}{space 16}poplog_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.3652266{col 40}{space 2} .0792215{col 51}{space 1}   -4.61{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}-.5204978{col 81}{space 3}-.2099554
{txt}{space 21}_cons {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 7.130798{col 40}{space 2} .8265246{col 51}{space 1}    8.63{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}  5.51084{col 81}{space 3} 8.750756
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 18}/lnalpha {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.2113764{col 40}{space 2} .0880931{col 51}{space 1}   -2.40{col 60}{space 3}0.016{col 68}{space 4}-.3840358{col 81}{space 3} -.038717
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                     alpha {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .8094693{col 40}{space 2} .0713087{col 68}{space 4}  .681107{col 81}{space 3} .9620229
{txt}{hline 27}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *Model 3
. zinb rebel_osv i.embargofull_yes_lag##c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag sa_yes_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if civilwar_yes ==1, inflate(polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2187.9462}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1665.9817}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1527.2806}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1493.8315}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1493.0543}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1493.0522}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1493.0522}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1493.0522}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1464.7769}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1459.9447}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1459.8695}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1459.8694}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       881
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       181
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       700

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}12{txt})     = {res}     96.25
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1459.869                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 30}{c |}{col 42}    Robust
{col 1}                   rebel_osv{col 30}{c |}      Coef.{col 42}   Std. Err.{col 54}      z{col 62}   P>|z|{col 70}     [95% Con{col 83}f. Interval]
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}rebel_osv                    {txt}{c |}
{space 7}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .1895282{col 42}{space 2} .2765309{col 53}{space 1}    0.69{col 62}{space 3}0.493{col 70}{space 4}-.3524624{col 83}{space 3} .7315188
{txt}{space 2}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0003446{col 42}{space 2} .0001677{col 53}{space 1}    2.06{col 62}{space 3}0.040{col 70}{space 4}  .000016{col 83}{space 3} .0006732
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 9}embargofull_yes_lag#{c |}
c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}
{space 26}1  {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0004749{col 42}{space 2} .0002492{col 53}{space 1}   -1.91{col 62}{space 3}0.057{col 70}{space 4}-.0009633{col 83}{space 3} .0000134
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 18}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0796303{col 42}{space 2} .2206029{col 53}{space 1}   -0.36{col 62}{space 3}0.718{col 70}{space 4}-.5120041{col 83}{space 3} .3527435
{txt}{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0450233{col 42}{space 2}  .023176{col 53}{space 1}   -1.94{col 62}{space 3}0.052{col 70}{space 4}-.0904475{col 83}{space 3} .0004009
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .7887975{col 42}{space 2} .3256678{col 53}{space 1}    2.42{col 62}{space 3}0.015{col 70}{space 4} .1505003{col 83}{space 3} 1.427095
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .6114904{col 42}{space 2} .3188886{col 53}{space 1}    1.92{col 62}{space 3}0.055{col 70}{space 4}-.0135198{col 83}{space 3} 1.236501
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .2813451{col 42}{space 2} .0654104{col 53}{space 1}    4.30{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .1531431{col 83}{space 3} .4095471
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0350772{col 42}{space 2} .1903157{col 53}{space 1}   -0.18{col 62}{space 3}0.854{col 70}{space 4}-.4080891{col 83}{space 3} .3379348
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0001655{col 42}{space 2}  .000131{col 53}{space 1}   -1.26{col 62}{space 3}0.207{col 70}{space 4}-.0004224{col 83}{space 3} .0000913
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .1213237{col 42}{space 2} .0798507{col 53}{space 1}    1.52{col 62}{space 3}0.129{col 70}{space 4}-.0351808{col 83}{space 3} .2778281
{txt}{space 10}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0001574{col 42}{space 2} .0032924{col 53}{space 1}    0.05{col 62}{space 3}0.962{col 70}{space 4}-.0062955{col 83}{space 3} .0066103
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 2.433191{col 42}{space 2} .7970318{col 53}{space 1}    3.05{col 62}{space 3}0.002{col 70}{space 4} .8710371{col 83}{space 3} 3.995344
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                      {txt}{c |}
{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0245315{col 42}{space 2} .0171414{col 53}{space 1}   -1.43{col 62}{space 3}0.152{col 70}{space 4} -.058128{col 83}{space 3}  .009065
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-3.210031{col 42}{space 2} .3055465{col 53}{space 1}  -10.51{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-3.808891{col 83}{space 3}-2.611171
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .6606388{col 42}{space 2} .3970546{col 53}{space 1}    1.66{col 62}{space 3}0.096{col 70}{space 4}-.1175739{col 83}{space 3} 1.438852
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.1359893{col 42}{space 2} .0806218{col 53}{space 1}   -1.69{col 62}{space 3}0.092{col 70}{space 4}-.2940052{col 83}{space 3} .0220266
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0608283{col 42}{space 2} .2589244{col 53}{space 1}   -0.23{col 62}{space 3}0.814{col 70}{space 4}-.5683107{col 83}{space 3} .4466541
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0000792{col 42}{space 2} .0001433{col 53}{space 1}    0.55{col 62}{space 3}0.581{col 70}{space 4}-.0002017{col 83}{space 3} .0003601
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.3654483{col 42}{space 2} .0792143{col 53}{space 1}   -4.61{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-.5207055{col 83}{space 3}-.2101911
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 7.133488{col 42}{space 2} .8263967{col 53}{space 1}    8.63{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 5.513781{col 83}{space 3} 8.753196
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}/lnalpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.2245112{col 42}{space 2} .0896116{col 53}{space 1}   -2.51{col 62}{space 3}0.012{col 70}{space 4}-.4001466{col 83}{space 3}-.0488757
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                       alpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .7989066{col 42}{space 2} .0715913{col 70}{space 4} .6702218{col 83}{space 3} .9522995
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. //New Variables for Reverse  and Granger Causality 
. //gen L1Embargo= l.embargofull_yes_lag
. //gen L2Embargo= l.L1Embargo
. //gen L1osv= l.One_sidedviolence
. //gen L2osv= l.L1osv
. 
. ********Table A7: Logit Model -Reverse Causality 
. xtlogit embargofull_yes_lag L1osv L2osv, i(group_id)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-811.57067}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-802.93568}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-800.78057}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-800.42449}  (backed up)
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-795.71247}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-795.59516}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-795.59483}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-795.59483}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log likelihood = {res}-795.59483
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log likelihood = {res}-704.17463
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log likelihood = {res}-635.93666
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log likelihood = {res}-584.12785
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log likelihood = {res}-542.74973
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log likelihood = {res}-508.14043
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log likelihood = {res}-477.83251
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log likelihood = {res} -450.0205
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log likelihood = {res}-425.33137

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:  -450.828}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-405.37234}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-366.33515}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-362.39793}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-360.04798}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-359.65982}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-359.63339}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-359.63339}  (backed up)
Iteration 8:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-359.42187}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -359.4217}  
Iteration 10:{space 2}log likelihood = {res: -359.4217}  
{res}
{txt}Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}     1,812
{txt}Group variable: {res}group_id{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}       133

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}        10
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}      13.6
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        14

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}2{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}     2.48
{txt}Log likelihood  = {res} -359.4217{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.2889

{txt}{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}embargofull_yes_lag{col 21}{c |}      Coef.{col 33}   Std. Err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% Con{col 74}f. Interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 14}L1osv {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0000102{col 33}{space 2}  .000022{col 44}{space 1}   -0.46{col 53}{space 3}0.644{col 61}{space 4}-.0000534{col 74}{space 3}  .000033
{txt}{space 14}L2osv {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0004091{col 33}{space 2} .0002718{col 44}{space 1}    1.51{col 53}{space 3}0.132{col 61}{space 4}-.0001235{col 74}{space 3} .0009417
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-6.822276{col 33}{space 2} .4658379{col 44}{space 1}  -14.65{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-7.735301{col 74}{space 3} -5.90925
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 11}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 3.653916{col 33}{space 2} .2215826{col 61}{space 4} 3.219622{col 74}{space 3}  4.08821
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
            sigma_u {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 6.214953{col 33}{space 2} .6885627{col 61}{space 4} 5.001867{col 74}{space 3} 7.722245
{txt}                rho {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .9215119{col 33}{space 2} .0160266{col 61}{space 4} .8837853{col 74}{space 3} .9477159
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{txt}LR test of rho=0: {help j_chibar##|_new:chibar2(01) = }{res}872.35{col 56}{txt}Prob >= chibar2 = {res}0.000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. ********Table A8:Granger Causality test
. 
. *H1: Full Embargoes do not granger-cause OSV 
.                         //logit embargofull_yes_lag L1osv L2osv L1Embargo L2Embargo 
.                         
. xtlogit embargofull_yes_lag L1osv L2osv L1Embargo L2Embargo, i(group_id)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-751.91494}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-228.18001}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -215.0112}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-170.40751}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-168.23503}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-167.69456}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-167.68989}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-167.68988}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log likelihood = {res}-167.68988
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log likelihood = {res}-166.91449
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log likelihood = {res}  -166.191
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log likelihood = {res}-165.56239
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log likelihood = {res}-165.09837
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log likelihood = {res}-164.91728
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log likelihood = {res} -165.2359

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-164.91723}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-163.10543}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-162.98397}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-162.97755}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-162.97698}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-162.97698}  
{res}
{txt}Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}     1,679
{txt}Group variable: {res}group_id{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}       133

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         9
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}      12.6
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        13

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}4{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}   236.38
{txt}Log likelihood  = {res}-162.97698{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0000

{txt}{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}embargofull_yes_lag{col 21}{c |}      Coef.{col 33}   Std. Err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% Con{col 74}f. Interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 14}L1osv {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-4.33e-06{col 33}{space 2} .0000544{col 44}{space 1}   -0.08{col 53}{space 3}0.936{col 61}{space 4}-.0001109{col 74}{space 3} .0001022
{txt}{space 14}L2osv {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0011903{col 33}{space 2} .0007005{col 44}{space 1}    1.70{col 53}{space 3}0.089{col 61}{space 4}-.0001827{col 74}{space 3} .0025633
{txt}{space 10}L1Embargo {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 5.731197{col 33}{space 2} .6805025{col 44}{space 1}    8.42{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 4.397437{col 74}{space 3} 7.064958
{txt}{space 10}L2Embargo {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.444205{col 33}{space 2} .7041235{col 44}{space 1}    2.05{col 53}{space 3}0.040{col 61}{space 4} .0641479{col 74}{space 3} 2.824261
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-5.122028{col 33}{space 2} .4218258{col 44}{space 1}  -12.14{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-5.948791{col 74}{space 3}-4.295264
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 11}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .7638739{col 33}{space 2} .5458339{col 61}{space 4}-.3059409{col 74}{space 3} 1.833689
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
            sigma_u {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  1.46512{col 33}{space 2}  .399856{col 61}{space 4} .8581551{col 74}{space 3} 2.501384
{txt}                rho {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .3948492{col 33}{space 2} .1304234{col 61}{space 4}  .182905{col 74}{space 3} .6553954
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{txt}LR test of rho=0: {help j_chibar##|_new:chibar2(01) = }{res}9.43{col 56}{txt}Prob >= chibar2 = {res}0.001
{txt}
{com}. testparm L1osv L2osv

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[embargofull_yes_lag]L1osv = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} [embargofull_yes_lag]L2osv = 0{p_end}

{txt}{col 12}chi2(  2) ={res}    2.89
{txt}{col 10}Prob > chi2 =  {res}  0.2358
{txt}
{com}. 
. *H2: H2: OSV doesnot granger 
. xtreg One_sidedviolence L1Embargo L2Embargo L1osv L2osv, i(group_id)
{res}
{txt}Random-effects GLS regression                   Number of obs     = {res}     1,679
{txt}Group variable: {res}group_id                        {txt}Number of groups  = {res}       133

{txt}R-sq:                                           Obs per group:
     within  = {res}0.0013                                         {txt}min = {res}         9
{txt}     between = {res}0.0491                                         {txt}avg = {res}      12.6
{txt}     overall = {res}0.0002                                         {txt}max = {res}        13

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}4{txt})      =  {res}     0.27
{txt}corr(u_i, X)   = {res}0{txt} (assumed)                    Prob > chi2       =     {res}0.9916

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}One_sidedv~e{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}L1Embargo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-13.30251{col 26}{space 2} 1958.358{col 37}{space 1}   -0.01{col 46}{space 3}0.995{col 54}{space 4}-3851.613{col 67}{space 3} 3825.008
{txt}{space 3}L2Embargo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-293.9658{col 26}{space 2} 1944.729{col 37}{space 1}   -0.15{col 46}{space 3}0.880{col 54}{space 4}-4105.565{col 67}{space 3} 3517.634
{txt}{space 7}L1osv {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0083361{col 26}{space 2} .0244413{col 37}{space 1}    0.34{col 46}{space 3}0.733{col 54}{space 4} -.039568{col 67}{space 3} .0562402
{txt}{space 7}L2osv {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0011528{col 26}{space 2} .0244413{col 37}{space 1}    0.05{col 46}{space 3}0.962{col 54}{space 4}-.0467512{col 67}{space 3} .0490568
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 378.6528{col 26}{space 2} 328.7145{col 37}{space 1}    1.15{col 46}{space 3}0.249{col 54}{space 4}-265.6158{col 67}{space 3} 1022.921
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
     sigma_u {c |} {res}         0
     {txt}sigma_e {c |} {res} 12077.232
         {txt}rho {c |} {res}         0{txt}   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}

{com}. testparm L1Embargo L2Embargo

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L1Embargo = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L2Embargo = 0{p_end}

{txt}{col 12}chi2(  2) ={res}    0.15
{txt}{col 10}Prob > chi2 =  {res}  0.9281
{txt}
{com}. 
. ********Table A9: Impartial Embargoes, MCWs and Civilian Killings: Excluding Outliers 
. //(These models exclude all observations where the DV (one-sided violence) exceeded the 95th percentile at the 6k threshold)
. 
. *Model 1
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.embargofull_yes_lag sa_yes_lag MCW_import_state_zeros_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if civilwar_yes ==1 & One_sidedviolence<6000, inflate( polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2102.0041}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1503.7405}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1470.1078}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1330.8312}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1323.2793}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1323.1715}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1323.1715}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1323.1715}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1300.2484}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1294.2822}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1294.0524}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1294.0519}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1294.0519}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       880
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       150
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       730

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}11{txt})     = {res}     81.83
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1294.052                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 27}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 28}{c |}{col 40}    Robust
{col 1}         One_sidedviolence{col 28}{c |}      Coef.{col 40}   Std. Err.{col 52}      z{col 60}   P>|z|{col 68}     [95% Con{col 81}f. Interval]
{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence          {txt}{c |}
{space 5}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .9866691{col 40}{space 2} .3810879{col 51}{space 1}    2.59{col 60}{space 3}0.010{col 68}{space 4} .2397506{col 81}{space 3} 1.733588
{txt}{space 16}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .4482766{col 40}{space 2} .3955825{col 51}{space 1}    1.13{col 60}{space 3}0.257{col 68}{space 4}-.3270508{col 81}{space 3} 1.223604
{txt}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} -.000664{col 40}{space 2} .0003261{col 51}{space 1}   -2.04{col 60}{space 3}0.042{col 68}{space 4}-.0013032{col 81}{space 3}-.0000248
{txt}{space 19}polity2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0054919{col 40}{space 2}  .026827{col 51}{space 1}   -0.20{col 60}{space 3}0.838{col 68}{space 4}-.0580718{col 81}{space 3} .0470881
{txt}{space 10}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.1916456{col 40}{space 2} .4255561{col 51}{space 1}   -0.45{col 60}{space 3}0.652{col 68}{space 4} -1.02572{col 81}{space 3} .6424289
{txt}{space 19}ethfrac {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.8145549{col 40}{space 2} .5152882{col 51}{space 1}   -1.58{col 60}{space 3}0.114{col 68}{space 4}-1.824501{col 81}{space 3} .1953914
{txt}{space 17}lrexclpop {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .2699807{col 40}{space 2} .0947566{col 51}{space 1}    2.85{col 60}{space 3}0.004{col 68}{space 4} .0842611{col 81}{space 3} .4557002
{txt}{space 19}regchg3 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .3153101{col 40}{space 2} .2571209{col 51}{space 1}    1.23{col 60}{space 3}0.220{col 68}{space 4}-.1886376{col 81}{space 3} .8192577
{txt}{space 16}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0003961{col 40}{space 2} .0002416{col 51}{space 1}   -1.64{col 60}{space 3}0.101{col 68}{space 4}-.0008695{col 81}{space 3} .0000774
{txt}{space 16}poplog_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0565073{col 40}{space 2} .1331857{col 51}{space 1}    0.42{col 60}{space 3}0.671{col 68}{space 4}-.2045318{col 81}{space 3} .3175465
{txt}{space 8}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0020705{col 40}{space 2} .0046892{col 51}{space 1}   -0.44{col 60}{space 3}0.659{col 68}{space 4}-.0112611{col 81}{space 3} .0071202
{txt}{space 21}_cons {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 4.616768{col 40}{space 2} 1.252766{col 51}{space 1}    3.69{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} 2.161392{col 81}{space 3} 7.072145
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                    {txt}{c |}
{space 19}polity2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0630274{col 40}{space 2} .0174979{col 51}{space 1}    3.60{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} .0287321{col 81}{space 3} .0973228
{txt}{space 10}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-2.274665{col 40}{space 2} .2600127{col 51}{space 1}   -8.75{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}-2.784281{col 81}{space 3} -1.76505
{txt}{space 19}ethfrac {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-1.848605{col 40}{space 2} .4700015{col 51}{space 1}   -3.93{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}-2.769791{col 81}{space 3}-.9274191
{txt}{space 17}lrexclpop {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.3748454{col 40}{space 2} .1044447{col 51}{space 1}   -3.59{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}-.5795532{col 81}{space 3}-.1701376
{txt}{space 19}regchg3 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.2656291{col 40}{space 2} .2765826{col 51}{space 1}   -0.96{col 60}{space 3}0.337{col 68}{space 4}-.8077211{col 81}{space 3} .2764629
{txt}{space 16}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0002778{col 40}{space 2}  .000148{col 51}{space 1}   -1.88{col 60}{space 3}0.060{col 68}{space 4}-.0005678{col 81}{space 3} .0000122
{txt}{space 16}poplog_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} -.047375{col 40}{space 2} .0900884{col 51}{space 1}   -0.53{col 60}{space 3}0.599{col 68}{space 4} -.223945{col 81}{space 3} .1291951
{txt}{space 21}_cons {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 5.935746{col 40}{space 2} 1.009706{col 51}{space 1}    5.88{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} 3.956759{col 81}{space 3} 7.914734
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 18}/lnalpha {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .2830633{col 40}{space 2}  .091297{col 51}{space 1}    3.10{col 60}{space 3}0.002{col 68}{space 4} .1041244{col 81}{space 3} .4620021
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                     alpha {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 1.327189{col 40}{space 2} .1211684{col 68}{space 4} 1.109738{col 81}{space 3} 1.587249
{txt}{hline 27}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *Model 2
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.embargofull_yes_lag##c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag sa_yes_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if civilwar_yes ==1 & One_sidedviolence<6000, inflate(polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2102.0041}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1503.7405}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1470.1078}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1330.8312}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1323.2793}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1323.1715}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1323.1715}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1323.1715}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1307.6383}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1294.3125}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1293.7965}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1293.7898}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1293.7898}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       880
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       150
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       730

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}12{txt})     = {res}     90.40
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -1293.79                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 30}{c |}{col 42}    Robust
{col 1}           One_sidedviolence{col 30}{c |}      Coef.{col 42}   Std. Err.{col 54}      z{col 62}   P>|z|{col 70}     [95% Con{col 83}f. Interval]
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence            {txt}{c |}
{space 7}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}  1.03796{col 42}{space 2} .3958701{col 53}{space 1}    2.62{col 62}{space 3}0.009{col 70}{space 4} .2620686{col 83}{space 3} 1.813851
{txt}{space 2}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0005706{col 42}{space 2} .0003371{col 53}{space 1}   -1.69{col 62}{space 3}0.091{col 70}{space 4}-.0012314{col 83}{space 3} .0000902
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 9}embargofull_yes_lag#{c |}
c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}
{space 26}1  {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -.000688{col 42}{space 2} .0004746{col 53}{space 1}   -1.45{col 62}{space 3}0.147{col 70}{space 4}-.0016182{col 83}{space 3} .0002422
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 18}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .4830229{col 42}{space 2} .3945437{col 53}{space 1}    1.22{col 62}{space 3}0.221{col 70}{space 4}-.2902685{col 83}{space 3} 1.256314
{txt}{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0086332{col 42}{space 2} .0273272{col 53}{space 1}   -0.32{col 62}{space 3}0.752{col 70}{space 4}-.0621935{col 83}{space 3} .0449271
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.1775855{col 42}{space 2} .4218332{col 53}{space 1}   -0.42{col 62}{space 3}0.674{col 70}{space 4}-1.004363{col 83}{space 3} .6491924
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.8174587{col 42}{space 2}  .515512{col 53}{space 1}   -1.59{col 62}{space 3}0.113{col 70}{space 4}-1.827844{col 83}{space 3} .1929262
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .2727305{col 42}{space 2} .0942959{col 53}{space 1}    2.89{col 62}{space 3}0.004{col 70}{space 4}  .087914{col 83}{space 3}  .457547
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .3107945{col 42}{space 2} .2559855{col 53}{space 1}    1.21{col 62}{space 3}0.225{col 70}{space 4}-.1909279{col 83}{space 3} .8125168
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -.000376{col 42}{space 2} .0002431{col 53}{space 1}   -1.55{col 62}{space 3}0.122{col 70}{space 4}-.0008524{col 83}{space 3} .0001004
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0464634{col 42}{space 2} .1354036{col 53}{space 1}    0.34{col 62}{space 3}0.731{col 70}{space 4}-.2189228{col 83}{space 3} .3118496
{txt}{space 10}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0019395{col 42}{space 2} .0046611{col 53}{space 1}   -0.42{col 62}{space 3}0.677{col 70}{space 4} -.011075{col 83}{space 3}  .007196
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}  4.63089{col 42}{space 2}  1.25124{col 53}{space 1}    3.70{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 2.178506{col 83}{space 3} 7.083275
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                      {txt}{c |}
{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}  .062933{col 42}{space 2} .0175107{col 53}{space 1}    3.59{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .0286126{col 83}{space 3} .0972534
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-2.274935{col 42}{space 2}      .26{col 53}{space 1}   -8.75{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-2.784525{col 83}{space 3}-1.765344
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-1.846112{col 42}{space 2} .4703825{col 53}{space 1}   -3.92{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-2.768045{col 83}{space 3}-.9241791
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.3752984{col 42}{space 2} .1044485{col 53}{space 1}   -3.59{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-.5800137{col 83}{space 3}-.1705831
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.2655063{col 42}{space 2} .2765941{col 53}{space 1}   -0.96{col 62}{space 3}0.337{col 70}{space 4}-.8076208{col 83}{space 3} .2766082
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0002777{col 42}{space 2}  .000148{col 53}{space 1}   -1.88{col 62}{space 3}0.061{col 70}{space 4}-.0005677{col 83}{space 3} .0000123
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0476241{col 42}{space 2} .0901024{col 53}{space 1}   -0.53{col 62}{space 3}0.597{col 70}{space 4}-.2242216{col 83}{space 3} .1289734
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}   5.9378{col 42}{space 2} 1.009812{col 53}{space 1}    5.88{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 3.958604{col 83}{space 3} 7.916996
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}/lnalpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .2820312{col 42}{space 2} .0924968{col 53}{space 1}    3.05{col 62}{space 3}0.002{col 70}{space 4} .1007407{col 83}{space 3} .4633216
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                       alpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}  1.32582{col 42}{space 2} .1226342{col 70}{space 4}  1.10599{col 83}{space 3} 1.589344
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *Model 3
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.embargofull_yes_lag sa_yes_lag MCW_import_state_zeros_lag polity2 ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if IntrastateBinary ==1 &  One_sidedviolence<6000, inflate( polity2 ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1267.7848}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1121.2301}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1090.9686}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1090.5615}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1090.5599}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1090.5599}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1090.5599}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1069.3388}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1063.0988}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1062.7855}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1062.785}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1062.785}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       388
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       127
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       261

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}10{txt})     = {res}     77.87
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1062.785                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 27}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 28}{c |}{col 40}    Robust
{col 1}         One_sidedviolence{col 28}{c |}      Coef.{col 40}   Std. Err.{col 52}      z{col 60}   P>|z|{col 68}     [95% Con{col 81}f. Interval]
{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence          {txt}{c |}
{space 5}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .6284527{col 40}{space 2} .3739929{col 51}{space 1}    1.68{col 60}{space 3}0.093{col 68}{space 4}-.1045599{col 81}{space 3} 1.361465
{txt}{space 16}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .4608873{col 40}{space 2}  .388507{col 51}{space 1}    1.19{col 60}{space 3}0.236{col 68}{space 4}-.3005724{col 81}{space 3} 1.222347
{txt}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0007014{col 40}{space 2} .0003143{col 51}{space 1}   -2.23{col 60}{space 3}0.026{col 68}{space 4}-.0013174{col 81}{space 3}-.0000854
{txt}{space 19}polity2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0085788{col 40}{space 2} .0259408{col 51}{space 1}   -0.33{col 60}{space 3}0.741{col 68}{space 4}-.0594218{col 81}{space 3} .0422642
{txt}{space 19}ethfrac {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.1915882{col 40}{space 2} .5031469{col 51}{space 1}   -0.38{col 60}{space 3}0.703{col 68}{space 4}-1.177738{col 81}{space 3} .7945615
{txt}{space 17}lrexclpop {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}  .339276{col 40}{space 2}  .089017{col 51}{space 1}    3.81{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} .1648059{col 81}{space 3}  .513746
{txt}{space 19}regchg3 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .1796014{col 40}{space 2} .2595408{col 51}{space 1}    0.69{col 60}{space 3}0.489{col 68}{space 4}-.3290893{col 81}{space 3} .6882921
{txt}{space 16}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0006123{col 40}{space 2} .0002106{col 51}{space 1}   -2.91{col 60}{space 3}0.004{col 68}{space 4} -.001025{col 81}{space 3}-.0001996
{txt}{space 16}poplog_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0714738{col 40}{space 2} .1396966{col 51}{space 1}    0.51{col 60}{space 3}0.609{col 68}{space 4}-.2023265{col 81}{space 3} .3452742
{txt}{space 8}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0007968{col 40}{space 2} .0044534{col 51}{space 1}   -0.18{col 60}{space 3}0.858{col 68}{space 4}-.0095252{col 81}{space 3} .0079317
{txt}{space 21}_cons {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 4.000569{col 40}{space 2} 1.207763{col 51}{space 1}    3.31{col 60}{space 3}0.001{col 68}{space 4} 1.633396{col 81}{space 3} 6.367741
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                    {txt}{c |}
{space 19}polity2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0650667{col 40}{space 2} .0211962{col 51}{space 1}    3.07{col 60}{space 3}0.002{col 68}{space 4}  .023523{col 81}{space 3} .1066105
{txt}{space 19}ethfrac {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-1.305257{col 40}{space 2} .4725426{col 51}{space 1}   -2.76{col 60}{space 3}0.006{col 68}{space 4}-2.231423{col 81}{space 3}-.3790903
{txt}{space 17}lrexclpop {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.3443018{col 40}{space 2}  .108992{col 51}{space 1}   -3.16{col 60}{space 3}0.002{col 68}{space 4}-.5579222{col 81}{space 3}-.1306814
{txt}{space 19}regchg3 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}  .095739{col 40}{space 2} .3017291{col 51}{space 1}    0.32{col 60}{space 3}0.751{col 68}{space 4}-.4956392{col 81}{space 3} .6871171
{txt}{space 16}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0003017{col 40}{space 2}  .000172{col 51}{space 1}   -1.75{col 60}{space 3}0.079{col 68}{space 4}-.0006388{col 81}{space 3} .0000353
{txt}{space 16}poplog_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .1004457{col 40}{space 2} .1129363{col 51}{space 1}    0.89{col 60}{space 3}0.374{col 68}{space 4}-.1209054{col 81}{space 3} .3217969
{txt}{space 21}_cons {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}  1.73816{col 40}{space 2} 1.197012{col 51}{space 1}    1.45{col 60}{space 3}0.146{col 68}{space 4} -.607941{col 81}{space 3} 4.084261
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 18}/lnalpha {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}  .198895{col 40}{space 2} .0947754{col 51}{space 1}    2.10{col 60}{space 3}0.036{col 68}{space 4} .0131387{col 81}{space 3} .3846513
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                     alpha {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 1.220054{col 40}{space 2}  .115631{col 68}{space 4} 1.013225{col 81}{space 3} 1.469102
{txt}{hline 27}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *Model 4
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.embargofull_yes_lag##c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag sa_yes_lag polity2 ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if IntrastateBinary ==1 &  One_sidedviolence<6000, inflate(polity2 ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1267.7848}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1121.2301}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1090.9686}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1090.5615}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1090.5599}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1090.5599}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1090.5599}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1083.4625}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1063.1947}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1062.5649}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1062.5569}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1062.5569}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       388
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       127
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       261

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}11{txt})     = {res}     89.84
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1062.557                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 30}{c |}{col 42}    Robust
{col 1}           One_sidedviolence{col 30}{c |}      Coef.{col 42}   Std. Err.{col 54}      z{col 62}   P>|z|{col 70}     [95% Con{col 83}f. Interval]
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence            {txt}{c |}
{space 7}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .6723802{col 42}{space 2} .3883169{col 53}{space 1}    1.73{col 62}{space 3}0.083{col 70}{space 4} -.088707{col 83}{space 3} 1.433467
{txt}{space 2}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -.000612{col 42}{space 2} .0003297{col 53}{space 1}   -1.86{col 62}{space 3}0.063{col 70}{space 4}-.0012582{col 83}{space 3} .0000342
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 9}embargofull_yes_lag#{c |}
c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}
{space 26}1  {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0006115{col 42}{space 2} .0004803{col 53}{space 1}   -1.27{col 62}{space 3}0.203{col 70}{space 4}-.0015529{col 83}{space 3} .0003299
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 18}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .4915047{col 42}{space 2} .3893931{col 53}{space 1}    1.26{col 62}{space 3}0.207{col 70}{space 4}-.2716916{col 83}{space 3} 1.254701
{txt}{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0115817{col 42}{space 2} .0267576{col 53}{space 1}   -0.43{col 62}{space 3}0.665{col 70}{space 4}-.0640257{col 83}{space 3} .0408622
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.1924472{col 42}{space 2} .5013586{col 53}{space 1}   -0.38{col 62}{space 3}0.701{col 70}{space 4}-1.175092{col 83}{space 3} .7901977
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .3429935{col 42}{space 2} .0892884{col 53}{space 1}    3.84{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .1679916{col 83}{space 3} .5179955
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .1727443{col 42}{space 2} .2575551{col 53}{space 1}    0.67{col 62}{space 3}0.502{col 70}{space 4}-.3320544{col 83}{space 3} .6775429
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0005976{col 42}{space 2} .0002122{col 53}{space 1}   -2.82{col 62}{space 3}0.005{col 70}{space 4}-.0010135{col 83}{space 3}-.0001817
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0630494{col 42}{space 2}  .141964{col 53}{space 1}    0.44{col 62}{space 3}0.657{col 70}{space 4}-.2151949{col 83}{space 3} .3412937
{txt}{space 10}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0007026{col 42}{space 2} .0044152{col 53}{space 1}   -0.16{col 62}{space 3}0.874{col 70}{space 4}-.0093563{col 83}{space 3}  .007951
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 4.019113{col 42}{space 2}  1.21089{col 53}{space 1}    3.32{col 62}{space 3}0.001{col 70}{space 4} 1.645813{col 83}{space 3} 6.392413
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                      {txt}{c |}
{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0649252{col 42}{space 2} .0212135{col 53}{space 1}    3.06{col 62}{space 3}0.002{col 70}{space 4} .0233474{col 83}{space 3} .1065029
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-1.302685{col 42}{space 2} .4729588{col 53}{space 1}   -2.75{col 62}{space 3}0.006{col 70}{space 4}-2.229668{col 83}{space 3} -.375703
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.3447585{col 42}{space 2} .1089531{col 53}{space 1}   -3.16{col 62}{space 3}0.002{col 70}{space 4}-.5583026{col 83}{space 3}-.1312144
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0959514{col 42}{space 2} .3016937{col 53}{space 1}    0.32{col 62}{space 3}0.750{col 70}{space 4}-.4953574{col 83}{space 3} .6872603
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0003016{col 42}{space 2}  .000172{col 53}{space 1}   -1.75{col 62}{space 3}0.080{col 70}{space 4}-.0006387{col 83}{space 3} .0000355
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .1001123{col 42}{space 2} .1129428{col 53}{space 1}    0.89{col 62}{space 3}0.375{col 70}{space 4}-.1212515{col 83}{space 3} .3214761
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.740626{col 42}{space 2} 1.196966{col 53}{space 1}    1.45{col 62}{space 3}0.146{col 70}{space 4}-.6053847{col 83}{space 3} 4.086637
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}/lnalpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .1979591{col 42}{space 2} .0959836{col 53}{space 1}    2.06{col 62}{space 3}0.039{col 70}{space 4} .0098348{col 83}{space 3} .3860835
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                       alpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.218913{col 42}{space 2} .1169956{col 70}{space 4} 1.009883{col 83}{space 3} 1.471207
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. ********Table A10: Impartial Embargoes, MCWs and Civilian Killings: using GDP per Capita
. 
. 
. *Model 1
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.embargofull_yes_lag sa_yes_lag MCW_import_state_zeros_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 gdpcap poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if civilwar_yes ==1, inflate( polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 gdpcap poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2464.0674}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1517.0218}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1436.7693}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1427.6215}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1423.9458}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1422.7495}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1422.6706}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1422.6691}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1422.6691}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1422.6691}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1416.0153}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1403.7576}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1389.0738}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1376.457}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1368.3017}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1362.953}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1360.1829}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1360.174}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1360.174}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       881
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       151
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       730

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}11{txt})     = {res}     95.83
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1360.174                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 27}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 28}{c |}{col 40}    Robust
{col 1}         One_sidedviolence{col 28}{c |}      Coef.{col 40}   Std. Err.{col 52}      z{col 60}   P>|z|{col 68}     [95% Con{col 81}f. Interval]
{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence          {txt}{c |}
{space 5}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}  1.23246{col 40}{space 2} .4787776{col 51}{space 1}    2.57{col 60}{space 3}0.010{col 68}{space 4} .2940736{col 81}{space 3} 2.170847
{txt}{space 16}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .6000869{col 40}{space 2} .4988465{col 51}{space 1}    1.20{col 60}{space 3}0.229{col 68}{space 4}-.3776342{col 81}{space 3} 1.577808
{txt}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0006541{col 40}{space 2} .0004002{col 51}{space 1}   -1.63{col 60}{space 3}0.102{col 68}{space 4}-.0014385{col 81}{space 3} .0001304
{txt}{space 19}polity2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0458978{col 40}{space 2} .0423886{col 51}{space 1}    1.08{col 60}{space 3}0.279{col 68}{space 4}-.0371824{col 81}{space 3} .1289779
{txt}{space 10}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .2837335{col 40}{space 2} .3624036{col 51}{space 1}    0.78{col 60}{space 3}0.434{col 68}{space 4}-.4265645{col 81}{space 3} .9940315
{txt}{space 19}ethfrac {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-6.627954{col 40}{space 2} 1.666891{col 51}{space 1}   -3.98{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}-9.894999{col 81}{space 3}-3.360908
{txt}{space 17}lrexclpop {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .1850843{col 40}{space 2} .1582167{col 51}{space 1}    1.17{col 60}{space 3}0.242{col 68}{space 4}-.1250147{col 81}{space 3} .4951833
{txt}{space 19}regchg3 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0779453{col 40}{space 2} .3817077{col 51}{space 1}   -0.20{col 60}{space 3}0.838{col 68}{space 4}-.8260786{col 81}{space 3}  .670188
{txt}{space 20}gdpcap {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.3060662{col 40}{space 2} .0617546{col 51}{space 1}   -4.96{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} -.427103{col 81}{space 3}-.1850293
{txt}{space 16}poplog_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0002065{col 40}{space 2} .1478143{col 51}{space 1}    0.00{col 60}{space 3}0.999{col 68}{space 4}-.2895042{col 81}{space 3} .2899171
{txt}{space 8}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0033132{col 40}{space 2}  .006112{col 51}{space 1}   -0.54{col 60}{space 3}0.588{col 68}{space 4}-.0152925{col 81}{space 3} .0086661
{txt}{space 21}_cons {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 9.478884{col 40}{space 2}  1.75446{col 51}{space 1}    5.40{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} 6.040206{col 81}{space 3} 12.91756
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                    {txt}{c |}
{space 19}polity2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0510984{col 40}{space 2} .0212606{col 51}{space 1}    2.40{col 60}{space 3}0.016{col 68}{space 4} .0094284{col 81}{space 3} .0927683
{txt}{space 10}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-2.272088{col 40}{space 2} .2766909{col 51}{space 1}   -8.21{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}-2.814392{col 81}{space 3}-1.729784
{txt}{space 19}ethfrac {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-2.015632{col 40}{space 2} .5014731{col 51}{space 1}   -4.02{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}-2.998501{col 81}{space 3}-1.032762
{txt}{space 17}lrexclpop {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.4040111{col 40}{space 2} .1083389{col 51}{space 1}   -3.73{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}-.6163514{col 81}{space 3}-.1916708
{txt}{space 19}regchg3 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.2281273{col 40}{space 2}  .297797{col 51}{space 1}   -0.77{col 60}{space 3}0.444{col 68}{space 4}-.8117987{col 81}{space 3} .3555442
{txt}{space 20}gdpcap {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0314844{col 40}{space 2} .0531555{col 51}{space 1}    0.59{col 60}{space 3}0.554{col 68}{space 4}-.0726985{col 81}{space 3} .1356674
{txt}{space 16}poplog_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0389406{col 40}{space 2} .0940735{col 51}{space 1}   -0.41{col 60}{space 3}0.679{col 68}{space 4}-.2233213{col 81}{space 3} .1454401
{txt}{space 21}_cons {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 5.464247{col 40}{space 2} .9513982{col 51}{space 1}    5.74{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} 3.599541{col 81}{space 3} 7.328954
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 18}/lnalpha {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 1.098418{col 40}{space 2}  .228981{col 51}{space 1}    4.80{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} .6496232{col 81}{space 3} 1.547212
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                     alpha {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 2.999417{col 40}{space 2} .6868096{col 68}{space 4} 1.914819{col 81}{space 3} 4.698355
{txt}{hline 27}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *Model 2
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.embargofull_yes_lag##c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag sa_yes_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 gdpcap poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if civilwar_yes ==1, inflate(polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 gdpcap poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2464.0674}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1517.0218}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1436.7693}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1427.6215}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1423.9458}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1422.7495}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1422.6706}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1422.6691}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1422.6691}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1422.6691}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1419.587}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1406.8507}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1389.6819}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1374.8262}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1366.9911}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1361.5807}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1358.8834}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1358.8749}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1358.8749}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       881
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       151
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       730

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}12{txt})     = {res}     99.65
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1358.875                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 30}{c |}{col 42}    Robust
{col 1}           One_sidedviolence{col 30}{c |}      Coef.{col 42}   Std. Err.{col 54}      z{col 62}   P>|z|{col 70}     [95% Con{col 83}f. Interval]
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence            {txt}{c |}
{space 7}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.386252{col 42}{space 2} .4953691{col 53}{space 1}    2.80{col 62}{space 3}0.005{col 70}{space 4} .4153461{col 83}{space 3} 2.357157
{txt}{space 2}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0003961{col 42}{space 2} .0003658{col 53}{space 1}   -1.08{col 62}{space 3}0.279{col 70}{space 4}-.0011131{col 83}{space 3} .0003208
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 9}embargofull_yes_lag#{c |}
c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}
{space 26}1  {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -.002274{col 42}{space 2} .0009407{col 53}{space 1}   -2.42{col 62}{space 3}0.016{col 70}{space 4}-.0041179{col 83}{space 3}-.0004302
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 18}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}  .709928{col 42}{space 2} .5042382{col 53}{space 1}    1.41{col 62}{space 3}0.159{col 70}{space 4}-.2783606{col 83}{space 3} 1.698217
{txt}{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0333633{col 42}{space 2} .0424543{col 53}{space 1}    0.79{col 62}{space 3}0.432{col 70}{space 4}-.0498457{col 83}{space 3} .1165723
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .2539494{col 42}{space 2} .3678715{col 53}{space 1}    0.69{col 62}{space 3}0.490{col 70}{space 4}-.4670656{col 83}{space 3} .9749643
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-6.595839{col 42}{space 2} 1.672815{col 53}{space 1}   -3.94{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-9.874496{col 83}{space 3}-3.317182
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .2145375{col 42}{space 2} .1528736{col 53}{space 1}    1.40{col 62}{space 3}0.161{col 70}{space 4}-.0850892{col 83}{space 3} .5141643
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.1096598{col 42}{space 2} .3779284{col 53}{space 1}   -0.29{col 62}{space 3}0.772{col 70}{space 4}-.8503858{col 83}{space 3} .6310663
{txt}{space 22}gdpcap {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.3028624{col 42}{space 2} .0609474{col 53}{space 1}   -4.97{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-.4223172{col 83}{space 3}-.1834077
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0227175{col 42}{space 2} .1475194{col 53}{space 1}   -0.15{col 62}{space 3}0.878{col 70}{space 4}-.3118504{col 83}{space 3} .2664153
{txt}{space 10}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0032799{col 42}{space 2} .0061961{col 53}{space 1}   -0.53{col 62}{space 3}0.597{col 70}{space 4} -.015424{col 83}{space 3} .0088642
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 9.469837{col 42}{space 2} 1.741719{col 53}{space 1}    5.44{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 6.056131{col 83}{space 3} 12.88354
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                      {txt}{c |}
{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0513975{col 42}{space 2} .0215055{col 53}{space 1}    2.39{col 62}{space 3}0.017{col 70}{space 4} .0092475{col 83}{space 3} .0935476
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -2.28307{col 42}{space 2} .2798092{col 53}{space 1}   -8.16{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-2.831486{col 83}{space 3}-1.734654
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-2.021932{col 42}{space 2} .5099528{col 53}{space 1}   -3.96{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-3.021421{col 83}{space 3}-1.022443
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.4040429{col 42}{space 2} .1087764{col 53}{space 1}   -3.71{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-.6172408{col 83}{space 3}-.1908451
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.2332498{col 42}{space 2} .3008142{col 53}{space 1}   -0.78{col 62}{space 3}0.438{col 70}{space 4}-.8228348{col 83}{space 3} .3563351
{txt}{space 22}gdpcap {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0263623{col 42}{space 2}  .052396{col 53}{space 1}    0.50{col 62}{space 3}0.615{col 70}{space 4} -.076332{col 83}{space 3} .1290566
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -.043392{col 42}{space 2} .0933149{col 53}{space 1}   -0.47{col 62}{space 3}0.642{col 70}{space 4}-.2262859{col 83}{space 3}  .139502
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 5.521959{col 42}{space 2} .9524104{col 53}{space 1}    5.80{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 3.655268{col 83}{space 3} 7.388649
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}/lnalpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}  1.10652{col 42}{space 2} .2369389{col 53}{space 1}    4.67{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .6421286{col 83}{space 3} 1.570912
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                       alpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 3.023818{col 42}{space 2}   .71646{col 70}{space 4} 1.900522{col 83}{space 3} 4.811033
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *Model 3 
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.embargofull_yes_lag sa_yes_lag MCW_import_state_zeros_lag polity2 ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 gdpcap poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if IntrastateBinary ==1, inflate(polity2 ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 gdpcap poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1586.598}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1224.5841}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1193.3838}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1186.1241}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1185.1565}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1185.0782}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1185.0778}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1185.0778}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1185.0778}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1179.3053}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1168.5937}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1155.0437}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1144.5479}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1136.4896}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1132.408}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1132.2819}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1132.2816}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1132.2816}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       389
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       128
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       261

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}10{txt})     = {res}    102.52
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1132.282                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 27}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 28}{c |}{col 40}    Robust
{col 1}         One_sidedviolence{col 28}{c |}      Coef.{col 40}   Std. Err.{col 52}      z{col 60}   P>|z|{col 68}     [95% Con{col 81}f. Interval]
{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence          {txt}{c |}
{space 5}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .8710296{col 40}{space 2} .5272222{col 51}{space 1}    1.65{col 60}{space 3}0.099{col 68}{space 4}-.1623068{col 81}{space 3} 1.904366
{txt}{space 16}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .7236973{col 40}{space 2} .5689421{col 51}{space 1}    1.27{col 60}{space 3}0.203{col 68}{space 4}-.3914088{col 81}{space 3} 1.838803
{txt}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0002993{col 40}{space 2} .0004322{col 51}{space 1}   -0.69{col 60}{space 3}0.489{col 68}{space 4}-.0011463{col 81}{space 3} .0005477
{txt}{space 19}polity2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0244025{col 40}{space 2} .0555261{col 51}{space 1}    0.44{col 60}{space 3}0.660{col 68}{space 4}-.0844267{col 81}{space 3} .1332317
{txt}{space 19}ethfrac {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} -6.10115{col 40}{space 2} 1.849015{col 51}{space 1}   -3.30{col 60}{space 3}0.001{col 68}{space 4}-9.725153{col 81}{space 3}-2.477147
{txt}{space 17}lrexclpop {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .2936617{col 40}{space 2} .1995827{col 51}{space 1}    1.47{col 60}{space 3}0.141{col 68}{space 4}-.0975131{col 81}{space 3} .6848366
{txt}{space 19}regchg3 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.5340814{col 40}{space 2} .5155542{col 51}{space 1}   -1.04{col 60}{space 3}0.300{col 68}{space 4}-1.544549{col 81}{space 3} .4763862
{txt}{space 20}gdpcap {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} -.305134{col 40}{space 2} .0687071{col 51}{space 1}   -4.44{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}-.4397975{col 81}{space 3}-.1704704
{txt}{space 16}poplog_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.1228134{col 40}{space 2} .1709617{col 51}{space 1}   -0.72{col 60}{space 3}0.473{col 68}{space 4}-.4578922{col 81}{space 3} .2122655
{txt}{space 8}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0023353{col 40}{space 2} .0064499{col 51}{space 1}   -0.36{col 60}{space 3}0.717{col 68}{space 4}-.0149769{col 81}{space 3} .0103063
{txt}{space 21}_cons {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 10.28554{col 40}{space 2} 1.816666{col 51}{space 1}    5.66{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} 6.724937{col 81}{space 3} 13.84614
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                    {txt}{c |}
{space 19}polity2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}  .049248{col 40}{space 2} .0267139{col 51}{space 1}    1.84{col 60}{space 3}0.065{col 68}{space 4}-.0031102{col 81}{space 3} .1016063
{txt}{space 19}ethfrac {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} -1.50888{col 40}{space 2} .5253204{col 51}{space 1}   -2.87{col 60}{space 3}0.004{col 68}{space 4}-2.538489{col 81}{space 3}-.4792708
{txt}{space 17}lrexclpop {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.3723619{col 40}{space 2} .1155264{col 51}{space 1}   -3.22{col 60}{space 3}0.001{col 68}{space 4}-.5987894{col 81}{space 3}-.1459343
{txt}{space 19}regchg3 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .1302133{col 40}{space 2} .3354465{col 51}{space 1}    0.39{col 60}{space 3}0.698{col 68}{space 4}-.5272499{col 81}{space 3} .7876764
{txt}{space 20}gdpcap {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0221562{col 40}{space 2} .0477683{col 51}{space 1}    0.46{col 60}{space 3}0.643{col 68}{space 4} -.071468{col 81}{space 3} .1157804
{txt}{space 16}poplog_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .1294744{col 40}{space 2}  .120091{col 51}{space 1}    1.08{col 60}{space 3}0.281{col 68}{space 4}-.1058997{col 81}{space 3} .3648485
{txt}{space 21}_cons {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 1.068285{col 40}{space 2} 1.198702{col 51}{space 1}    0.89{col 60}{space 3}0.373{col 68}{space 4}-1.281128{col 81}{space 3} 3.417697
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 18}/lnalpha {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 1.161045{col 40}{space 2} .2217746{col 51}{space 1}    5.24{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} .7263745{col 81}{space 3} 1.595715
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                     alpha {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 3.193268{col 40}{space 2} .7081856{col 68}{space 4} 2.067571{col 81}{space 3} 4.931854
{txt}{hline 27}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *Model 4
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.embargofull_yes_lag##c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag sa_yes_lag polity2 ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 gdpcap poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if IntrastateBinary ==1, inflate(polity2 ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 gdpcap poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1586.598}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1224.5841}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1193.3838}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1186.1241}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1185.1565}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1185.0782}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1185.0778}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1185.0778}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1185.0778}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1180.0208}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1168.5559}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1153.3095}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1141.8189}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1133.2915}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1130.4917}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1130.421}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1130.4209}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1130.4209}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       389
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       128
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       261

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}11{txt})     = {res}    116.36
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1130.421                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 30}{c |}{col 42}    Robust
{col 1}           One_sidedviolence{col 30}{c |}      Coef.{col 42}   Std. Err.{col 54}      z{col 62}   P>|z|{col 70}     [95% Con{col 83}f. Interval]
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence            {txt}{c |}
{space 7}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.026676{col 42}{space 2} .5261542{col 53}{space 1}    1.95{col 62}{space 3}0.051{col 70}{space 4}-.0045672{col 83}{space 3} 2.057919
{txt}{space 2}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0000456{col 42}{space 2} .0004178{col 53}{space 1}    0.11{col 62}{space 3}0.913{col 70}{space 4}-.0007733{col 83}{space 3} .0008644
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 9}embargofull_yes_lag#{c |}
c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}
{space 26}1  {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0028695{col 42}{space 2} .0010104{col 53}{space 1}   -2.84{col 62}{space 3}0.005{col 70}{space 4}-.0048498{col 83}{space 3}-.0008892
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 18}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .9139958{col 42}{space 2} .5914374{col 53}{space 1}    1.55{col 62}{space 3}0.122{col 70}{space 4}-.2452002{col 83}{space 3} 2.073192
{txt}{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0011923{col 42}{space 2} .0568124{col 53}{space 1}    0.02{col 62}{space 3}0.983{col 70}{space 4} -.110158{col 83}{space 3} .1125427
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-5.881132{col 42}{space 2} 1.853518{col 53}{space 1}   -3.17{col 62}{space 3}0.002{col 70}{space 4} -9.51396{col 83}{space 3}-2.248303
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .3197483{col 42}{space 2}  .192367{col 53}{space 1}    1.66{col 62}{space 3}0.096{col 70}{space 4} -.057284{col 83}{space 3} .6967806
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.6705309{col 42}{space 2}  .515946{col 53}{space 1}   -1.30{col 62}{space 3}0.194{col 70}{space 4}-1.681766{col 83}{space 3} .3407047
{txt}{space 22}gdpcap {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.2965131{col 42}{space 2} .0668208{col 53}{space 1}   -4.44{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-.4274793{col 83}{space 3}-.1655468
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.1559254{col 42}{space 2} .1723911{col 53}{space 1}   -0.90{col 62}{space 3}0.366{col 70}{space 4}-.4938058{col 83}{space 3} .1819551
{txt}{space 10}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0026497{col 42}{space 2} .0065193{col 53}{space 1}   -0.41{col 62}{space 3}0.684{col 70}{space 4}-.0154272{col 83}{space 3} .0101279
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 10.18419{col 42}{space 2} 1.797032{col 53}{space 1}    5.67{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}  6.66207{col 83}{space 3} 13.70631
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                      {txt}{c |}
{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0488056{col 42}{space 2} .0271462{col 53}{space 1}    1.80{col 62}{space 3}0.072{col 70}{space 4}-.0044001{col 83}{space 3} .1020112
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -1.48272{col 42}{space 2} .5384097{col 53}{space 1}   -2.75{col 62}{space 3}0.006{col 70}{space 4}-2.537984{col 83}{space 3}-.4274567
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.3724864{col 42}{space 2} .1152737{col 53}{space 1}   -3.23{col 62}{space 3}0.001{col 70}{space 4}-.5984188{col 83}{space 3}-.1465541
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .1188029{col 42}{space 2} .3377571{col 53}{space 1}    0.35{col 62}{space 3}0.725{col 70}{space 4}-.5431888{col 83}{space 3} .7807947
{txt}{space 22}gdpcap {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}  .015404{col 42}{space 2} .0470354{col 53}{space 1}    0.33{col 62}{space 3}0.743{col 70}{space 4}-.0767837{col 83}{space 3} .1075917
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .1180123{col 42}{space 2}  .118996{col 53}{space 1}    0.99{col 62}{space 3}0.321{col 70}{space 4}-.1152157{col 83}{space 3} .3512402
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}  1.17045{col 42}{space 2} 1.191085{col 53}{space 1}    0.98{col 62}{space 3}0.326{col 70}{space 4}-1.164034{col 83}{space 3} 3.504933
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}/lnalpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.164182{col 42}{space 2}  .224046{col 53}{space 1}    5.20{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .7250597{col 83}{space 3} 1.603304
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                       alpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 3.203301{col 42}{space 2} .7176868{col 70}{space 4} 2.064854{col 83}{space 3} 4.969424
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. ********Table A11: Matching Model: Entropy Balancing Regression Impartial Arms Embargoes and MCW Flows
. //ssc install ebalance
. //ebalance embargofull_yes_lag MCW_import_state_zeros_lag sa_yes_lag polity2                       IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag, gen(weight2) tolerance(0.52)
. 
. *Model 1
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.embargofull_yes_lag sa_yes_lag MCW_import_state_zeros_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq  if civilwar_yes ==1 [pweight=weight2], inflate( polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1221.041}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-858.41624}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-832.99234}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-831.73087}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-831.71925}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-831.71925}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-831.71925}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-828.12265}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-816.02892}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-810.75935}  (not concave)
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-808.04208}  (not concave)
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-806.41162}  (not concave)
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-804.81106}  (not concave)
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-803.05252}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-797.21075}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-796.01988}  
Iteration 10:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-796.00593}  
Iteration 11:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-796.00592}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       881
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       151
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       730

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}11{txt})     = {res}     61.67
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-796.0059                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 27}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 28}{c |}{col 40}    Robust
{col 1}         One_sidedviolence{col 28}{c |}      Coef.{col 40}   Std. Err.{col 52}      z{col 60}   P>|z|{col 68}     [95% Con{col 81}f. Interval]
{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence          {txt}{c |}
{space 5}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 1.308148{col 40}{space 2} .4771531{col 51}{space 1}    2.74{col 60}{space 3}0.006{col 68}{space 4} .3729454{col 81}{space 3} 2.243351
{txt}{space 16}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 1.470546{col 40}{space 2} .4684185{col 51}{space 1}    3.14{col 60}{space 3}0.002{col 68}{space 4} .5524623{col 81}{space 3} 2.388629
{txt}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0002502{col 40}{space 2} .0008533{col 51}{space 1}    0.29{col 60}{space 3}0.769{col 68}{space 4}-.0014222{col 81}{space 3} .0019227
{txt}{space 19}polity2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0486238{col 40}{space 2}  .061828{col 51}{space 1}   -0.79{col 60}{space 3}0.432{col 68}{space 4}-.1698045{col 81}{space 3}  .072557
{txt}{space 10}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 1.513077{col 40}{space 2} .4595761{col 51}{space 1}    3.29{col 60}{space 3}0.001{col 68}{space 4} .6123244{col 81}{space 3}  2.41383
{txt}{space 19}ethfrac {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.8418592{col 40}{space 2} 1.005613{col 51}{space 1}   -0.84{col 60}{space 3}0.403{col 68}{space 4}-2.812824{col 81}{space 3} 1.129105
{txt}{space 17}lrexclpop {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.1078232{col 40}{space 2} .2694537{col 51}{space 1}   -0.40{col 60}{space 3}0.689{col 68}{space 4}-.6359428{col 81}{space 3} .4202964
{txt}{space 19}regchg3 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}  .608737{col 40}{space 2} .4462168{col 51}{space 1}    1.36{col 60}{space 3}0.172{col 68}{space 4}-.2658319{col 81}{space 3} 1.483306
{txt}{space 16}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0017602{col 40}{space 2} .0004913{col 51}{space 1}    3.58{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} .0007974{col 81}{space 3} .0027231
{txt}{space 16}poplog_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-1.008696{col 40}{space 2} .2632143{col 51}{space 1}   -3.83{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}-1.524587{col 81}{space 3}-.4928059
{txt}{space 8}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0068427{col 40}{space 2} .0060581{col 51}{space 1}   -1.13{col 60}{space 3}0.259{col 68}{space 4}-.0187163{col 81}{space 3} .0050309
{txt}{space 21}_cons {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}  12.8492{col 40}{space 2} 2.474466{col 51}{space 1}    5.19{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}  7.99933{col 81}{space 3} 17.69906
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                    {txt}{c |}
{space 19}polity2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0907104{col 40}{space 2} .0262049{col 51}{space 1}    3.46{col 60}{space 3}0.001{col 68}{space 4} .0393498{col 81}{space 3} .1420709
{txt}{space 10}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-2.031545{col 40}{space 2} .3740151{col 51}{space 1}   -5.43{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}-2.764601{col 81}{space 3}-1.298489
{txt}{space 19}ethfrac {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-2.238994{col 40}{space 2} .5917102{col 51}{space 1}   -3.78{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}-3.398724{col 81}{space 3}-1.079263
{txt}{space 17}lrexclpop {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.8395756{col 40}{space 2} .1750424{col 51}{space 1}   -4.80{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}-1.182652{col 81}{space 3}-.4964987
{txt}{space 19}regchg3 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0872879{col 40}{space 2} .3829049{col 51}{space 1}   -0.23{col 60}{space 3}0.820{col 68}{space 4}-.8377678{col 81}{space 3}  .663192
{txt}{space 16}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0000864{col 40}{space 2} .0002087{col 51}{space 1}    0.41{col 60}{space 3}0.679{col 68}{space 4}-.0003226{col 81}{space 3} .0004954
{txt}{space 16}poplog_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .1888585{col 40}{space 2} .1545882{col 51}{space 1}    1.22{col 60}{space 3}0.222{col 68}{space 4}-.1141288{col 81}{space 3} .4918459
{txt}{space 21}_cons {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 4.664267{col 40}{space 2} 1.671309{col 51}{space 1}    2.79{col 60}{space 3}0.005{col 68}{space 4} 1.388562{col 81}{space 3} 7.939972
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 18}/lnalpha {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 1.046775{col 40}{space 2} .1858219{col 51}{space 1}    5.63{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} .6825708{col 81}{space 3} 1.410979
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                     alpha {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}  2.84845{col 40}{space 2} .5293045{col 68}{space 4} 1.978959{col 81}{space 3} 4.099969
{txt}{hline 27}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *Model 2
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.embargofull_yes_lag##c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag sa_yes_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if civilwar_yes ==1 [pweight=weight2], inflate(polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1221.041}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-858.41624}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-832.99234}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-831.73087}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-831.71925}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-831.71925}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-831.71925}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-828.88023}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-816.36208}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-810.62124}  (not concave)
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-807.52693}  (not concave)
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-805.96595}  (not concave)
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-804.16076}  (not concave)
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-803.34871}  (not concave)
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-802.57477}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-802.26996}  
Iteration 10:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-795.27701}  
Iteration 11:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-794.97806}  
Iteration 12:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-794.97549}  
Iteration 13:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-794.97548}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       881
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       151
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       730

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}12{txt})     = {res}     58.51
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-794.9755                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 30}{c |}{col 42}    Robust
{col 1}           One_sidedviolence{col 30}{c |}      Coef.{col 42}   Std. Err.{col 54}      z{col 62}   P>|z|{col 70}     [95% Con{col 83}f. Interval]
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence            {txt}{c |}
{space 7}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.567301{col 42}{space 2} .4591323{col 53}{space 1}    3.41{col 62}{space 3}0.001{col 70}{space 4} .6674187{col 83}{space 3} 2.467184
{txt}{space 2}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0013186{col 42}{space 2} .0007705{col 53}{space 1}    1.71{col 62}{space 3}0.087{col 70}{space 4}-.0001917{col 83}{space 3} .0028288
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 9}embargofull_yes_lag#{c |}
c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}
{space 26}1  {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0025597{col 42}{space 2} .0008193{col 53}{space 1}   -3.12{col 62}{space 3}0.002{col 70}{space 4}-.0041656{col 83}{space 3}-.0009539
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 18}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.498649{col 42}{space 2} .4623398{col 53}{space 1}    3.24{col 62}{space 3}0.001{col 70}{space 4} .5924797{col 83}{space 3} 2.404818
{txt}{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0646542{col 42}{space 2} .0571483{col 53}{space 1}   -1.13{col 62}{space 3}0.258{col 70}{space 4}-.1766628{col 83}{space 3} .0473544
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.541698{col 42}{space 2} .4601487{col 53}{space 1}    3.35{col 62}{space 3}0.001{col 70}{space 4} .6398229{col 83}{space 3} 2.443573
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.7184963{col 42}{space 2} .9493437{col 53}{space 1}   -0.76{col 62}{space 3}0.449{col 70}{space 4}-2.579176{col 83}{space 3} 1.142183
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0327512{col 42}{space 2}   .24211{col 53}{space 1}   -0.14{col 62}{space 3}0.892{col 70}{space 4}-.5072781{col 83}{space 3} .4417758
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .6801793{col 42}{space 2} .4285078{col 53}{space 1}    1.59{col 62}{space 3}0.112{col 70}{space 4}-.1596805{col 83}{space 3} 1.520039
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0019296{col 42}{space 2} .0005101{col 53}{space 1}    3.78{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .0009298{col 83}{space 3} .0029294
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-1.105907{col 42}{space 2} .2580893{col 53}{space 1}   -4.28{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-1.611753{col 83}{space 3}-.6000613
{txt}{space 10}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -.006646{col 42}{space 2} .0060387{col 53}{space 1}   -1.10{col 62}{space 3}0.271{col 70}{space 4}-.0184816{col 83}{space 3} .0051897
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 13.04459{col 42}{space 2} 2.400377{col 53}{space 1}    5.43{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 8.339935{col 83}{space 3} 17.74924
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                      {txt}{c |}
{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0882587{col 42}{space 2} .0263998{col 53}{space 1}    3.34{col 62}{space 3}0.001{col 70}{space 4} .0365161{col 83}{space 3} .1400013
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-2.028753{col 42}{space 2} .3727399{col 53}{space 1}   -5.44{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} -2.75931{col 83}{space 3}-1.298196
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-2.229749{col 42}{space 2} .5920111{col 53}{space 1}   -3.77{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-3.390069{col 83}{space 3}-1.069428
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.8369243{col 42}{space 2} .1748368{col 53}{space 1}   -4.79{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-1.179598{col 83}{space 3}-.4942505
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0829675{col 42}{space 2} .3815946{col 53}{space 1}   -0.22{col 62}{space 3}0.828{col 70}{space 4}-.8308791{col 83}{space 3} .6649441
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}  .000096{col 42}{space 2}  .000208{col 53}{space 1}    0.46{col 62}{space 3}0.644{col 70}{space 4}-.0003116{col 83}{space 3} .0005036
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .1791129{col 42}{space 2} .1537664{col 53}{space 1}    1.16{col 62}{space 3}0.244{col 70}{space 4}-.1222636{col 83}{space 3} .4804895
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 4.719629{col 42}{space 2} 1.663982{col 53}{space 1}    2.84{col 62}{space 3}0.005{col 70}{space 4} 1.458284{col 83}{space 3} 7.980973
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}/lnalpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.039609{col 42}{space 2} .1901328{col 53}{space 1}    5.47{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .6669558{col 83}{space 3} 1.412263
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                       alpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 2.828112{col 42}{space 2} .5377166{col 70}{space 4} 1.948297{col 83}{space 3} 4.105233
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. ********Table A12: GSDB Analysis Arms Embargoes and MCW Flows
. 
. *Model 1
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.GSDB_arms_embargo_lag sa_yes_lag MCW_import_state_zeros_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag if civilwar_yes ==1, inflate( polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2464.0674}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1516.7471}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1435.5757}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1426.1661}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1422.6532}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1421.6764}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1415.4721}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1398.0829}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1384.3136}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1376.7861}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1372.7557}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1372.7343}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1372.7343}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       881
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       151
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       730

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}10{txt})     = {res}     64.86
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1372.734                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 27}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 28}{c |}{col 40}    Robust
{col 1}         One_sidedviolence{col 28}{c |}      Coef.{col 40}   Std. Err.{col 52}      z{col 60}   P>|z|{col 68}     [95% Con{col 81}f. Interval]
{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence          {txt}{c |}
{space 3}1.GSDB_arms_embargo_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.3643399{col 40}{space 2} .5928922{col 51}{space 1}   -0.61{col 60}{space 3}0.539{col 68}{space 4}-1.526387{col 81}{space 3} .7977074
{txt}{space 16}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0316485{col 40}{space 2} .7002363{col 51}{space 1}   -0.05{col 60}{space 3}0.964{col 68}{space 4}-1.404086{col 81}{space 3} 1.340789
{txt}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0008617{col 40}{space 2} .0005275{col 51}{space 1}   -1.63{col 60}{space 3}0.102{col 68}{space 4}-.0018956{col 81}{space 3} .0001721
{txt}{space 19}polity2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.2005026{col 40}{space 2} .0819187{col 51}{space 1}   -2.45{col 60}{space 3}0.014{col 68}{space 4}-.3610603{col 81}{space 3}-.0399449
{txt}{space 10}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .8739935{col 40}{space 2} .5034024{col 51}{space 1}    1.74{col 60}{space 3}0.083{col 68}{space 4}-.1126571{col 81}{space 3} 1.860644
{txt}{space 19}ethfrac {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-2.250301{col 40}{space 2} 1.161212{col 51}{space 1}   -1.94{col 60}{space 3}0.053{col 68}{space 4}-4.526235{col 81}{space 3}  .025632
{txt}{space 17}lrexclpop {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.1606918{col 40}{space 2} .2746902{col 51}{space 1}   -0.58{col 60}{space 3}0.559{col 68}{space 4}-.6990746{col 81}{space 3} .3776911
{txt}{space 19}regchg3 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0555302{col 40}{space 2} .5139355{col 51}{space 1}   -0.11{col 60}{space 3}0.914{col 68}{space 4}-1.062825{col 81}{space 3} .9517648
{txt}{space 16}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0010712{col 40}{space 2} .0004213{col 51}{space 1}    2.54{col 60}{space 3}0.011{col 68}{space 4} .0002455{col 81}{space 3} .0018969
{txt}{space 16}poplog_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0718689{col 40}{space 2} .2449202{col 51}{space 1}    0.29{col 60}{space 3}0.769{col 68}{space 4}-.4081658{col 81}{space 3} .5519036
{txt}{space 21}_cons {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}  5.57615{col 40}{space 2} 1.860313{col 51}{space 1}    3.00{col 60}{space 3}0.003{col 68}{space 4} 1.930004{col 81}{space 3} 9.222296
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                    {txt}{c |}
{space 19}polity2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} .0541223{col 40}{space 2}   .02186{col 51}{space 1}    2.48{col 60}{space 3}0.013{col 68}{space 4} .0112774{col 81}{space 3} .0969672
{txt}{space 10}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-2.382683{col 40}{space 2}  .299275{col 51}{space 1}   -7.96{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}-2.969251{col 81}{space 3}-1.796115
{txt}{space 19}ethfrac {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-2.105038{col 40}{space 2} .5377822{col 51}{space 1}   -3.91{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}-3.159071{col 81}{space 3}-1.051004
{txt}{space 17}lrexclpop {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}  -.40565{col 40}{space 2} .1163119{col 51}{space 1}   -3.49{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4}-.6336171{col 81}{space 3}-.1776828
{txt}{space 19}regchg3 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.3274103{col 40}{space 2} .3309469{col 51}{space 1}   -0.99{col 60}{space 3}0.323{col 68}{space 4}-.9760543{col 81}{space 3} .3212337
{txt}{space 16}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0002179{col 40}{space 2} .0001612{col 51}{space 1}   -1.35{col 60}{space 3}0.176{col 68}{space 4}-.0005337{col 81}{space 3}  .000098
{txt}{space 16}poplog_lag {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2}-.0439557{col 40}{space 2} .0959139{col 51}{space 1}   -0.46{col 60}{space 3}0.647{col 68}{space 4}-.2319435{col 81}{space 3}  .144032
{txt}{space 21}_cons {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 5.911551{col 40}{space 2} 1.030691{col 51}{space 1}    5.74{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} 3.891433{col 81}{space 3} 7.931668
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 18}/lnalpha {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 1.353189{col 40}{space 2}  .274373{col 51}{space 1}    4.93{col 60}{space 3}0.000{col 68}{space 4} .8154279{col 81}{space 3}  1.89095
{txt}{hline 27}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                     alpha {c |}{col 28}{res}{space 2} 3.869747{col 40}{space 2} 1.061754{col 68}{space 4} 2.260143{col 81}{space 3} 6.625662
{txt}{hline 27}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *Model 2
. zinb One_sidedviolence i.GSDB_arms_embargo_lag##c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag sa_yes_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag if civilwar_yes ==1, inflate( polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2464.0674}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1516.7471}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1435.5757}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1426.1661}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1422.6532}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1421.6764}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1415.3123}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1404.1469}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1394.1417}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1381.4025}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1372.5001}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1372.3914}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1372.3912}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1372.3912}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       881
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       151
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       730

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}11{txt})     = {res}     66.85
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1372.391                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 30}{c |}{col 42}    Robust
{col 1}           One_sidedviolence{col 30}{c |}      Coef.{col 42}   Std. Err.{col 54}      z{col 62}   P>|z|{col 70}     [95% Con{col 83}f. Interval]
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence            {txt}{c |}
{space 5}1.GSDB_arms_embargo_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -.210475{col 42}{space 2} .5970185{col 53}{space 1}   -0.35{col 62}{space 3}0.724{col 70}{space 4} -1.38061{col 83}{space 3} .9596598
{txt}{space 2}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0008912{col 42}{space 2}  .000528{col 53}{space 1}   -1.69{col 62}{space 3}0.091{col 70}{space 4} -.001926{col 83}{space 3} .0001437
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 7}GSDB_arms_embargo_lag#{c |}
c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}
{space 26}1  {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -.007952{col 42}{space 2} .0035426{col 53}{space 1}   -2.24{col 62}{space 3}0.025{col 70}{space 4}-.0148954{col 83}{space 3}-.0010085
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 18}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0515256{col 42}{space 2} .7064287{col 53}{space 1}   -0.07{col 62}{space 3}0.942{col 70}{space 4}  -1.4361{col 83}{space 3} 1.333049
{txt}{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.2017483{col 42}{space 2} .0817788{col 53}{space 1}   -2.47{col 62}{space 3}0.014{col 70}{space 4}-.3620319{col 83}{space 3}-.0414647
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .8947098{col 42}{space 2} .5043774{col 53}{space 1}    1.77{col 62}{space 3}0.076{col 70}{space 4}-.0938517{col 83}{space 3} 1.883271
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-2.282869{col 42}{space 2} 1.164259{col 53}{space 1}   -1.96{col 62}{space 3}0.050{col 70}{space 4}-4.564775{col 83}{space 3}-.0009627
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.1721793{col 42}{space 2} .2747947{col 53}{space 1}   -0.63{col 62}{space 3}0.531{col 70}{space 4}-.7107669{col 83}{space 3} .3664083
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0625995{col 42}{space 2} .5132581{col 53}{space 1}   -0.12{col 62}{space 3}0.903{col 70}{space 4}-1.068567{col 83}{space 3}  .943368
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0010697{col 42}{space 2} .0004245{col 53}{space 1}    2.52{col 62}{space 3}0.012{col 70}{space 4} .0002376{col 83}{space 3} .0019018
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0887445{col 42}{space 2} .2456154{col 53}{space 1}    0.36{col 62}{space 3}0.718{col 70}{space 4}-.3926528{col 83}{space 3} .5701417
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 5.467099{col 42}{space 2}   1.8583{col 53}{space 1}    2.94{col 62}{space 3}0.003{col 70}{space 4} 1.824897{col 83}{space 3} 9.109301
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                      {txt}{c |}
{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0526876{col 42}{space 2} .0221765{col 53}{space 1}    2.38{col 62}{space 3}0.018{col 70}{space 4} .0092225{col 83}{space 3} .0961526
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-2.378646{col 42}{space 2} .2998475{col 53}{space 1}   -7.93{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-2.966336{col 83}{space 3}-1.790956
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-2.102842{col 42}{space 2} .5383041{col 53}{space 1}   -3.91{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-3.157899{col 83}{space 3}-1.047786
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.4097361{col 42}{space 2} .1168938{col 53}{space 1}   -3.51{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-.6388437{col 83}{space 3}-.1806286
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -.322381{col 42}{space 2}  .330824{col 53}{space 1}   -0.97{col 62}{space 3}0.330{col 70}{space 4}-.9707841{col 83}{space 3}  .326022
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0002146{col 42}{space 2} .0001614{col 53}{space 1}   -1.33{col 62}{space 3}0.184{col 70}{space 4}-.0005309{col 83}{space 3} .0001018
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0448773{col 42}{space 2} .0958308{col 53}{space 1}   -0.47{col 62}{space 3}0.640{col 70}{space 4}-.2327022{col 83}{space 3} .1429475
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 5.915992{col 42}{space 2} 1.029355{col 53}{space 1}    5.75{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 3.898493{col 83}{space 3} 7.933492
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}/lnalpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.358462{col 42}{space 2} .2757136{col 53}{space 1}    4.93{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .8180735{col 83}{space 3} 1.898851
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                       alpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 3.890207{col 42}{space 2} 1.072583{col 70}{space 4}  2.26613{col 83}{space 3} 6.678218
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. ********Table A13: Controlling for Five-year Moving Average of Government Civilian Killings
. 
.  //tssmooth ma One_sidedviolence5 = One_sidedviolence, window(5 1 0)
. //The smoother applied was by group_id : (1/6)*[x(t-5) + x(t-4) + x(t-3) + x(t-2) + x(t-1) + 1*x(t)]; x(t) One_sidedviolence
. 
. *Model 1
. zinb One_sidedviolence One_sidedviolence5 i.embargofull_yes_lag##c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag sa_yes_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq , inflate(polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4009.0529}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1765.8978}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1628.8846}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1547.4437}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1528.9409}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1525.6745}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.8148}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.4988}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.2806}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.1967}  
Iteration 10:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.1964}  
Iteration 11:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.1964}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1523.1964}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1516.3934}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1490.5126}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1468.907}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1452.073}  (not concave)
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1449.9497}  (not concave)
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1449.2775}  (not concave)
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1449.1303}  (not concave)
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1449.0671}  (not concave)
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1449.0382}  (not concave)
Iteration 10:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1449.014}  (not concave)
Iteration 11:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1448.9922}  (not concave)
Iteration 12:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1448.9644}  (not concave)
Iteration 13:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1448.926}  (not concave)
Iteration 14:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1448.906}  (not concave)
Iteration 15:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1448.8806}  (not concave)
Iteration 16:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1448.8453}  (not concave)
Iteration 17:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1448.8194}  (not concave)
Iteration 18:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1448.7925}  (not concave)
Iteration 19:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1445.7227}  (not concave)
Iteration 20:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1434.7372}  (not concave)
Iteration 21:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1419.4173}  
Iteration 22:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1419.2381}  
Iteration 23:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1409.6121}  
Iteration 24:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1409.5083}  
Iteration 25:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1409.5083}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,832
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       160
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}     1,672

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}13{txt})     = {res}    135.44
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1409.508                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 30}{c |}{col 42}    Robust
{col 1}           One_sidedviolence{col 30}{c |}      Coef.{col 42}   Std. Err.{col 54}      z{col 62}   P>|z|{col 70}     [95% Con{col 83}f. Interval]
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence            {txt}{c |}
{space 10}One_sidedviolence5 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0000774{col 42}{space 2} .0000116{col 53}{space 1}    6.70{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .0000548{col 83}{space 3}    .0001
{txt}{space 7}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .9853968{col 42}{space 2}  .440165{col 53}{space 1}    2.24{col 62}{space 3}0.025{col 70}{space 4} .1226894{col 83}{space 3} 1.848104
{txt}{space 2}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0005854{col 42}{space 2} .0003349{col 53}{space 1}   -1.75{col 62}{space 3}0.080{col 70}{space 4}-.0012418{col 83}{space 3}  .000071
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 9}embargofull_yes_lag#{c |}
c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}
{space 26}1  {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0004269{col 42}{space 2} .0005632{col 53}{space 1}   -0.76{col 62}{space 3}0.448{col 70}{space 4}-.0015308{col 83}{space 3}  .000677
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 18}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .5041659{col 42}{space 2}  .363302{col 53}{space 1}    1.39{col 62}{space 3}0.165{col 70}{space 4} -.207893{col 83}{space 3} 1.216225
{txt}{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0325455{col 42}{space 2} .0234899{col 53}{space 1}   -1.39{col 62}{space 3}0.166{col 70}{space 4}-.0785848{col 83}{space 3} .0134939
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .9126391{col 42}{space 2} .2739339{col 53}{space 1}    3.33{col 62}{space 3}0.001{col 70}{space 4} .3757384{col 83}{space 3}  1.44954
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.1205047{col 42}{space 2} .4854963{col 53}{space 1}   -0.25{col 62}{space 3}0.804{col 70}{space 4} -1.07206{col 83}{space 3} .8310506
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .1040361{col 42}{space 2} .0877945{col 53}{space 1}    1.18{col 62}{space 3}0.236{col 70}{space 4}-.0680379{col 83}{space 3} .2761102
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .7181405{col 42}{space 2}  .251618{col 53}{space 1}    2.85{col 62}{space 3}0.004{col 70}{space 4} .2249782{col 83}{space 3} 1.211303
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0001195{col 42}{space 2}  .000229{col 53}{space 1}   -0.52{col 62}{space 3}0.602{col 70}{space 4}-.0005683{col 83}{space 3} .0003294
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0531864{col 42}{space 2} .1273875{col 53}{space 1}    0.42{col 62}{space 3}0.676{col 70}{space 4}-.1964886{col 83}{space 3} .3028613
{txt}{space 10}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0007667{col 42}{space 2} .0048675{col 53}{space 1}   -0.16{col 62}{space 3}0.875{col 70}{space 4}-.0103068{col 83}{space 3} .0087735
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 3.195691{col 42}{space 2} 1.176837{col 53}{space 1}    2.72{col 62}{space 3}0.007{col 70}{space 4} .8891335{col 83}{space 3} 5.502248
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                      {txt}{c |}
{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0497669{col 42}{space 2} .0162222{col 53}{space 1}    3.07{col 62}{space 3}0.002{col 70}{space 4} .0179719{col 83}{space 3} .0815618
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-2.550418{col 42}{space 2} .2469786{col 53}{space 1}  -10.33{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-3.034487{col 83}{space 3}-2.066349
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-2.138685{col 42}{space 2} .4523572{col 53}{space 1}   -4.73{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-3.025289{col 83}{space 3}-1.252082
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.4474255{col 42}{space 2} .0970595{col 53}{space 1}   -4.61{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-.6376587{col 83}{space 3}-.2571923
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.3793057{col 42}{space 2}  .274173{col 53}{space 1}   -1.38{col 62}{space 3}0.167{col 70}{space 4}-.9166749{col 83}{space 3} .1580636
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0001554{col 42}{space 2} .0001374{col 53}{space 1}   -1.13{col 62}{space 3}0.258{col 70}{space 4}-.0004247{col 83}{space 3}  .000114
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0917221{col 42}{space 2} .0807211{col 53}{space 1}   -1.14{col 62}{space 3}0.256{col 70}{space 4}-.2499326{col 83}{space 3} .0664884
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 6.936283{col 42}{space 2} .9001653{col 53}{space 1}    7.71{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 5.171991{col 83}{space 3} 8.700575
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}/lnalpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .2881929{col 42}{space 2} .1111025{col 53}{space 1}    2.59{col 62}{space 3}0.009{col 70}{space 4}  .070436{col 83}{space 3} .5059499
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                       alpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.334015{col 42}{space 2} .1482124{col 70}{space 4} 1.072976{col 83}{space 3}  1.65856
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *Model 2
.  zinb One_sidedviolence One_sidedviolence5 i.embargofull_yes_lag##c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag sa_yes_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq if civilwar_yes ==1, inflate(polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2464.0674}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1516.7471}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1435.5757}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1426.1661}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1422.6532}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1421.6764}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1421.667}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1418.696}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1393.7919}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1376.6068}  (not concave)
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1362.7607}  (not concave)
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1355.1207}  (not concave)
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1346.0765}  (not concave)
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1336.0084}  (not concave)
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1330.3301}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1316.9105}  
Iteration 10:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1312.2188}  
Iteration 11:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1312.1033}  
Iteration 12:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1312.1031}  
Iteration 13:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1312.1031}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}       881
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       151
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}       730

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}13{txt})     = {res}    124.43
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1312.103                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 30}{c |}{col 42}    Robust
{col 1}           One_sidedviolence{col 30}{c |}      Coef.{col 42}   Std. Err.{col 54}      z{col 62}   P>|z|{col 70}     [95% Con{col 83}f. Interval]
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence            {txt}{c |}
{space 10}One_sidedviolence5 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0000787{col 42}{space 2} .0000118{col 53}{space 1}    6.69{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .0000556{col 83}{space 3} .0001017
{txt}{space 7}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}  .977389{col 42}{space 2} .4442725{col 53}{space 1}    2.20{col 62}{space 3}0.028{col 70}{space 4}  .106631{col 83}{space 3} 1.848147
{txt}{space 2}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0006485{col 42}{space 2} .0003463{col 53}{space 1}   -1.87{col 62}{space 3}0.061{col 70}{space 4}-.0013273{col 83}{space 3} .0000302
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 9}embargofull_yes_lag#{c |}
c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}
{space 26}1  {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0002992{col 42}{space 2}  .000542{col 53}{space 1}   -0.55{col 62}{space 3}0.581{col 70}{space 4}-.0013615{col 83}{space 3} .0007632
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 18}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .4899672{col 42}{space 2} .3736995{col 53}{space 1}    1.31{col 62}{space 3}0.190{col 70}{space 4}-.2424704{col 83}{space 3} 1.222405
{txt}{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0203174{col 42}{space 2} .0263822{col 53}{space 1}   -0.77{col 62}{space 3}0.441{col 70}{space 4}-.0720255{col 83}{space 3} .0313907
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .6437441{col 42}{space 2} .3487628{col 53}{space 1}    1.85{col 62}{space 3}0.065{col 70}{space 4}-.0398185{col 83}{space 3} 1.327307
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.2056153{col 42}{space 2} .5131357{col 53}{space 1}   -0.40{col 62}{space 3}0.689{col 70}{space 4}-1.211343{col 83}{space 3} .8001122
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .1272928{col 42}{space 2} .0943406{col 53}{space 1}    1.35{col 62}{space 3}0.177{col 70}{space 4}-.0576113{col 83}{space 3}  .312197
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .6258678{col 42}{space 2} .2609464{col 53}{space 1}    2.40{col 62}{space 3}0.016{col 70}{space 4} .1144222{col 83}{space 3} 1.137313
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0002212{col 42}{space 2}  .000249{col 53}{space 1}   -0.89{col 62}{space 3}0.374{col 70}{space 4}-.0007091{col 83}{space 3} .0002668
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0647701{col 42}{space 2} .1330304{col 53}{space 1}    0.49{col 62}{space 3}0.626{col 70}{space 4}-.1959648{col 83}{space 3}  .325505
{txt}{space 10}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0009688{col 42}{space 2} .0048664{col 53}{space 1}   -0.20{col 62}{space 3}0.842{col 70}{space 4}-.0105067{col 83}{space 3} .0085691
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 3.471372{col 42}{space 2} 1.227572{col 53}{space 1}    2.83{col 62}{space 3}0.005{col 70}{space 4} 1.065375{col 83}{space 3} 5.877368
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                      {txt}{c |}
{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0646448{col 42}{space 2} .0174952{col 53}{space 1}    3.70{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} .0303549{col 83}{space 3} .0989348
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-2.276749{col 42}{space 2} .2625266{col 53}{space 1}   -8.67{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-2.791292{col 83}{space 3}-1.762206
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-1.782639{col 42}{space 2} .4650685{col 53}{space 1}   -3.83{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-2.694156{col 83}{space 3}-.8711216
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.3734722{col 42}{space 2} .1037307{col 53}{space 1}   -3.60{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-.5767806{col 83}{space 3}-.1701638
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.2526022{col 42}{space 2} .2767897{col 53}{space 1}   -0.91{col 62}{space 3}0.361{col 70}{space 4}   -.7951{col 83}{space 3} .2898955
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0002919{col 42}{space 2} .0001485{col 53}{space 1}   -1.97{col 62}{space 3}0.049{col 70}{space 4} -.000583{col 83}{space 3}-8.18e-07
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0437992{col 42}{space 2} .0903658{col 53}{space 1}   -0.48{col 62}{space 3}0.628{col 70}{space 4}-.2209128{col 83}{space 3} .1333145
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 5.859135{col 42}{space 2} 1.006959{col 53}{space 1}    5.82{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 3.885531{col 83}{space 3}  7.83274
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}/lnalpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .3190904{col 42}{space 2} .1099833{col 53}{space 1}    2.90{col 62}{space 3}0.004{col 70}{space 4} .1035272{col 83}{space 3} .5346536
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                       alpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.375876{col 42}{space 2} .1513233{col 70}{space 4} 1.109076{col 83}{space 3} 1.706857
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
.          
. ********Table A14: Controlling for Physical Integrity Rights (CIRI dataset)      
. 
. //gen L_ciri_PHYSINT = L._ciri_PHYSINT
. zinb One_sidedviolence  L_ciri_PHYSINT i.embargofull_yes_lag##c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag sa_yes_lag polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag embargofull_seq_sq , inflate(polity2 IntrastateBinary ethfrac lrexclpop regchg3 TradeOpen2 poplog_lag) vce(robust)

{txt}Fitting constant-only model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3853.3237}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1651.3443}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1544.4119}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1450.6219}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1421.2916}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1416.9065}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1415.2738}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1414.3746}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1413.7856}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1413.7495}  
Iteration 10:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1413.7493}  
Iteration 11:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1413.7493}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1413.7493}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1404.6689}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1382.4798}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1365.142}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1353.3954}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1351.5887}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1351.3879}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1350.9191}  (backed up)
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1350.4333}  
Iteration 9:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-1348.4855}  
Iteration 10:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1348.461}  
Iteration 11:{space 2}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -1348.461}  
{res}
{txt}Zero-inflated negative binomial regression      Number of obs     = {res}     1,776
                                                {txt}Nonzero obs       = {res}       149
                                                {txt}Zero obs          = {res}     1,627

{txt}Inflation model      = {res}logit                    {txt}Wald chi2({res}13{txt})     = {res}     63.67
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-1348.461                {txt}Prob > chi2       = {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 30}{c |}{col 42}    Robust
{col 1}           One_sidedviolence{col 30}{c |}      Coef.{col 42}   Std. Err.{col 54}      z{col 62}   P>|z|{col 70}     [95% Con{col 83}f. Interval]
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}One_sidedviolence            {txt}{c |}
{space 14}L_ciri_PHYSINT {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.3764049{col 42}{space 2}  .151915{col 53}{space 1}   -2.48{col 62}{space 3}0.013{col 70}{space 4}-.6741527{col 83}{space 3}-.0786571
{txt}{space 7}1.embargofull_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.334067{col 42}{space 2} .5917646{col 53}{space 1}    2.25{col 62}{space 3}0.024{col 70}{space 4} .1742297{col 83}{space 3} 2.493904
{txt}{space 2}MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0002696{col 42}{space 2} .0004558{col 53}{space 1}   -0.59{col 62}{space 3}0.554{col 70}{space 4}-.0011629{col 83}{space 3} .0006238
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 9}embargofull_yes_lag#{c |}
c.MCW_import_state_zeros_lag {c |}
{space 26}1  {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0020038{col 42}{space 2} .0008556{col 53}{space 1}   -2.34{col 62}{space 3}0.019{col 70}{space 4}-.0036808{col 83}{space 3}-.0003268
{txt}{space 28} {c |}
{space 18}sa_yes_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .9761163{col 42}{space 2} .5659299{col 53}{space 1}    1.72{col 62}{space 3}0.085{col 70}{space 4}-.1330859{col 83}{space 3} 2.085319
{txt}{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.1361854{col 42}{space 2} .0517046{col 53}{space 1}   -2.63{col 62}{space 3}0.008{col 70}{space 4}-.2375246{col 83}{space 3}-.0348462
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0177233{col 42}{space 2} .4255555{col 53}{space 1}   -0.04{col 62}{space 3}0.967{col 70}{space 4}-.8517968{col 83}{space 3} .8163503
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-3.569998{col 42}{space 2} 1.307421{col 53}{space 1}   -2.73{col 62}{space 3}0.006{col 70}{space 4}-6.132496{col 83}{space 3}  -1.0075
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.4934588{col 42}{space 2} .2853894{col 53}{space 1}   -1.73{col 62}{space 3}0.084{col 70}{space 4}-1.052812{col 83}{space 3} .0658941
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .5291255{col 42}{space 2} .4434073{col 53}{space 1}    1.19{col 62}{space 3}0.233{col 70}{space 4}-.3399368{col 83}{space 3} 1.398188
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0010215{col 42}{space 2}    .0003{col 53}{space 1}    3.41{col 62}{space 3}0.001{col 70}{space 4} .0004335{col 83}{space 3} .0016095
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.3440458{col 42}{space 2} .2125206{col 53}{space 1}   -1.62{col 62}{space 3}0.105{col 70}{space 4}-.7605785{col 83}{space 3} .0724869
{txt}{space 10}embargofull_seq_sq {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -.001028{col 42}{space 2} .0073838{col 53}{space 1}   -0.14{col 62}{space 3}0.889{col 70}{space 4}   -.0155{col 83}{space 3}  .013444
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 11.32007{col 42}{space 2} 2.604159{col 53}{space 1}    4.35{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 6.216012{col 83}{space 3} 16.42413
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}inflate                      {txt}{c |}
{space 21}polity2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0381892{col 42}{space 2} .0202821{col 53}{space 1}    1.88{col 62}{space 3}0.060{col 70}{space 4}-.0015629{col 83}{space 3} .0779413
{txt}{space 12}IntrastateBinary {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-2.752718{col 42}{space 2} .3123566{col 53}{space 1}   -8.81{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-3.364925{col 83}{space 3} -2.14051
{txt}{space 21}ethfrac {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-2.635527{col 42}{space 2} .6196532{col 53}{space 1}   -4.25{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-3.850025{col 83}{space 3}-1.421029
{txt}{space 19}lrexclpop {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.4730594{col 42}{space 2}  .114221{col 53}{space 1}   -4.14{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-.6969284{col 83}{space 3}-.2491904
{txt}{space 21}regchg3 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.4274917{col 42}{space 2} .3371421{col 53}{space 1}   -1.27{col 62}{space 3}0.205{col 70}{space 4}-1.088278{col 83}{space 3} .2332947
{txt}{space 18}TradeOpen2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0000232{col 42}{space 2} .0001511{col 53}{space 1}   -0.15{col 62}{space 3}0.878{col 70}{space 4}-.0003193{col 83}{space 3} .0002728
{txt}{space 18}poplog_lag {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -.079422{col 42}{space 2} .0901944{col 53}{space 1}   -0.88{col 62}{space 3}0.379{col 70}{space 4}-.2561998{col 83}{space 3} .0973558
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 6.913254{col 42}{space 2} .9734597{col 53}{space 1}    7.10{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 5.005308{col 83}{space 3}   8.8212
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 20}/lnalpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.198868{col 42}{space 2} .3581756{col 53}{space 1}    3.35{col 62}{space 3}0.001{col 70}{space 4}  .496857{col 83}{space 3} 1.900879
{txt}{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
                       alpha {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 3.316362{col 42}{space 2}  1.18784{col 70}{space 4} 1.643548{col 83}{space 3} 6.691777
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
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{txt}end of do-file

{com}. 